{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}26 Sep 2024, 17:34:53
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **********************************************
. *** Table 1***
. **********************************************
. use "C:\FPA Replication\Leader-Year Crazy Scores.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. duplicates drop leadid year, force

{p 0 4}{txt}Duplicates in terms of {res} leadid year{p_end}

{txt}(22 observations deleted)

{com}. collapse (sum) modcrazy15_nolag reallycrazy15_nolag crazyscoresum (mean) crazyscore, by(leadid leader ccode)
{res}{txt}
{com}. gsort -crazyscoresum
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **********************************************
. *** Main Models***
. **********************************************
. use "C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. **********************************************
. ***Table 2:
. **********************************************
. *****Model 1:
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13492.364}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12959.348}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.904}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2761.13}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1613}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5100977{col 33}{space 2}  .062924{col 44}{space 1}    8.11{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3867689{col 74}{space 3} .6334265
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0736385{col 33}{space 2} .0367211{col 44}{space 1}    2.01{col 53}{space 3}0.045{col 61}{space 4} .0016664{col 74}{space 3} .1456105
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3246071{col 33}{space 2} .0279962{col 44}{space 1}  -11.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3794786{col 74}{space 3}-.2697356
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0294574{col 33}{space 2} .0017519{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0328909{col 74}{space 3}-.0260238
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0752998{col 33}{space 2} .0464511{col 44}{space 1}    1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.105{col 61}{space 4}-.0157428{col 74}{space 3} .1663423
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2605669{col 33}{space 2} .0060466{col 44}{space 1}  -43.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2724181{col 74}{space 3}-.2487157
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5763406{col 33}{space 2} .1188873{col 44}{space 1}    4.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3433256{col 74}{space 3} .8093555
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0208494{col 33}{space 2} .0066562{col 44}{space 1}   -3.13{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0338953{col 74}{space 3}-.0078035
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0358837{col 33}{space 2} .0346811{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.301{col 61}{space 4}-.1038574{col 74}{space 3}   .03209
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1207341{col 33}{space 2} .0207632{col 44}{space 1}   -5.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1614292{col 74}{space 3} -.080039
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0115918{col 33}{space 2} .0040423{col 44}{space 1}   -2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0195144{col 74}{space 3}-.0036691
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070915{col 33}{space 2} .0055411{col 44}{space 1}    1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.201{col 61}{space 4}-.0037689{col 74}{space 3} .0179519
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0754789{col 33}{space 2} .0096887{col 44}{space 1}    7.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0564894{col 74}{space 3} .0944683
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .019951{col 33}{space 2} .0020123{col 44}{space 1}    9.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .016007{col 74}{space 3} .0238951
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003327{col 33}{space 2} .0000344{col 44}{space 1}   -9.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004002{col 74}{space 3}-.0002652
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.02e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.56e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.523823{col 33}{space 2} .0439146{col 44}{space 1}  -34.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.609894{col 74}{space 3}-1.437752
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *****Model 2:
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13488.171}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12951.181}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.196}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2795.11}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1620}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7308818{col 33}{space 2} .1303705{col 44}{space 1}    5.61{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4753604{col 74}{space 3} .9864033
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1135067{col 33}{space 2} .0561833{col 44}{space 1}   -2.02{col 53}{space 3}0.043{col 61}{space 4}-.2236239{col 74}{space 3}-.0033895
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0903732{col 33}{space 2} .0450377{col 44}{space 1}   -2.01{col 53}{space 3}0.045{col 61}{space 4}-.1786455{col 74}{space 3}-.0021009
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0731637{col 33}{space 2}  .014761{col 44}{space 1}    4.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0442327{col 74}{space 3} .1020947
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3249517{col 33}{space 2} .0279729{col 44}{space 1}  -11.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3797775{col 74}{space 3}-.2701259
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0294841{col 33}{space 2} .0017532{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0329204{col 74}{space 3}-.0260479
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0815665{col 33}{space 2} .0458722{col 44}{space 1}    1.78{col 53}{space 3}0.075{col 61}{space 4}-.0083414{col 74}{space 3} .1714744
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.264205{col 33}{space 2} .0062767{col 44}{space 1}  -42.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.276507{col 74}{space 3}-.2519029
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5760194{col 33}{space 2} .1195833{col 44}{space 1}    4.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3416404{col 74}{space 3} .8103983
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0210245{col 33}{space 2} .0067324{col 44}{space 1}   -3.12{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0342198{col 74}{space 3}-.0078291
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0362531{col 33}{space 2} .0347106{col 44}{space 1}   -1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.296{col 61}{space 4}-.1042845{col 74}{space 3} .0317784
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1220385{col 33}{space 2} .0208442{col 44}{space 1}   -5.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1628923{col 74}{space 3}-.0811847
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.011485{col 33}{space 2} .0040255{col 44}{space 1}   -2.85{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0193748{col 74}{space 3}-.0035951
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070435{col 33}{space 2} .0055376{col 44}{space 1}    1.27{col 53}{space 3}0.203{col 61}{space 4}  -.00381{col 74}{space 3}  .017897
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0756256{col 33}{space 2} .0096881{col 44}{space 1}    7.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0566372{col 74}{space 3} .0946139
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0200538{col 33}{space 2} .0020154{col 44}{space 1}    9.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0161038{col 74}{space 3} .0240038
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003351{col 33}{space 2} .0000344{col 44}{space 1}   -9.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004025{col 74}{space 3}-.0002677
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.30e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.37e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.45{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.03e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.57e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.516363{col 33}{space 2} .0439647{col 44}{space 1}  -34.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.602532{col 74}{space 3}-1.430194
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *****Model 3:
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13485.625}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12949.269}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.937}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2875.79}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1619}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7492173{col 35}{space 2} .0763762{col 46}{space 1}    9.81{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5995227{col 76}{space 3} .8989119
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .047266{col 35}{space 2} .0524383{col 46}{space 1}    0.90{col 55}{space 3}0.367{col 63}{space 4}-.0555111{col 76}{space 3} .1500431
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.126791{col 35}{space 2} .0275189{col 46}{space 1}   -4.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1807271{col 76}{space 3}-.0728549
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0084402{col 35}{space 2} .0113292{col 46}{space 1}    0.74{col 55}{space 3}0.456{col 63}{space 4}-.0137646{col 76}{space 3} .0306451
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.324164{col 35}{space 2} .0279339{col 46}{space 1}  -11.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3789134{col 76}{space 3}-.2694147
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0294589{col 35}{space 2}  .001755{col 46}{space 1}  -16.79{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0328985{col 76}{space 3}-.0260192
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0709494{col 35}{space 2} .0460432{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.123{col 63}{space 4}-.0192936{col 76}{space 3} .1611924
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2609204{col 35}{space 2} .0060333{col 46}{space 1}  -43.25{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2727455{col 76}{space 3}-.2490953
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5708546{col 35}{space 2} .1188961{col 46}{space 1}    4.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3378225{col 76}{space 3} .8038867
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0205677{col 35}{space 2} .0066328{col 46}{space 1}   -3.10{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.0335678{col 76}{space 3}-.0075677
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.037676{col 35}{space 2} .0347394{col 46}{space 1}   -1.08{col 55}{space 3}0.278{col 63}{space 4}-.1057639{col 76}{space 3} .0304119
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1205519{col 35}{space 2} .0206082{col 46}{space 1}   -5.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1609432{col 76}{space 3}-.0801606
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0114495{col 35}{space 2} .0034579{col 46}{space 1}   -3.31{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0182269{col 76}{space 3}-.0046721
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0070353{col 35}{space 2} .0055149{col 46}{space 1}    1.28{col 55}{space 3}0.202{col 63}{space 4}-.0037738{col 76}{space 3} .0178444
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .076312{col 35}{space 2} .0096572{col 46}{space 1}    7.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0573841{col 76}{space 3} .0952398
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0198518{col 35}{space 2} .0020101{col 46}{space 1}    9.88{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0159121{col 76}{space 3} .0237915
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003315{col 35}{space 2} .0000344{col 46}{space 1}   -9.65{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003988{col 76}{space 3}-.0002642
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.55e-06
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.521001{col 35}{space 2} .0426172{col 46}{space 1}  -35.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -1.60453{col 76}{space 3}-1.437473
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. ***** Substantive Effects;
. *****Figure 1:
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13492.364}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12959.348}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.904}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2761.13}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12943.771}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1613}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5100977{col 33}{space 2}  .062924{col 44}{space 1}    8.11{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3867689{col 74}{space 3} .6334265
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0736385{col 33}{space 2} .0367211{col 44}{space 1}    2.01{col 53}{space 3}0.045{col 61}{space 4} .0016664{col 74}{space 3} .1456105
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3246071{col 33}{space 2} .0279962{col 44}{space 1}  -11.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3794786{col 74}{space 3}-.2697356
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0294574{col 33}{space 2} .0017519{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0328909{col 74}{space 3}-.0260238
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0752998{col 33}{space 2} .0464511{col 44}{space 1}    1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.105{col 61}{space 4}-.0157428{col 74}{space 3} .1663423
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2605669{col 33}{space 2} .0060466{col 44}{space 1}  -43.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2724181{col 74}{space 3}-.2487157
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5763406{col 33}{space 2} .1188873{col 44}{space 1}    4.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3433256{col 74}{space 3} .8093555
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0208494{col 33}{space 2} .0066562{col 44}{space 1}   -3.13{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0338953{col 74}{space 3}-.0078035
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0358837{col 33}{space 2} .0346811{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.301{col 61}{space 4}-.1038574{col 74}{space 3}   .03209
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1207341{col 33}{space 2} .0207632{col 44}{space 1}   -5.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1614292{col 74}{space 3} -.080039
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0115918{col 33}{space 2} .0040423{col 44}{space 1}   -2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0195144{col 74}{space 3}-.0036691
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070915{col 33}{space 2} .0055411{col 44}{space 1}    1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.201{col 61}{space 4}-.0037689{col 74}{space 3} .0179519
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0754789{col 33}{space 2} .0096887{col 44}{space 1}    7.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0564894{col 74}{space 3} .0944683
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .019951{col 33}{space 2} .0020123{col 44}{space 1}    9.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .016007{col 74}{space 3} .0238951
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003327{col 33}{space 2} .0000344{col 44}{space 1}   -9.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004002{col 74}{space 3}-.0002652
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.02e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.56e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.523823{col 33}{space 2} .0439146{col 44}{space 1}  -34.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.609894{col 74}{space 3}-1.437752
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. margins, atmeans at( reallycrazy15 =(0 (1) 1)) noatlegend
{res}
{txt}Adjusted predictions{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 1}Model VCE: {res:Robust}

{txt}{p2colset 1 13 13 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression:}{res:Pr(nonagg), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   std. err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% con{col 67}f. interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0023228{col 26}{space 2} .0001363{col 37}{space 1}   17.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0020557{col 67}{space 3} .0025899
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .010156{col 26}{space 2} .0016584{col 37}{space 1}    6.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0069056{col 67}{space 3} .0134064
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, title("Predicted Probability of Nonaggression Pacts") ytitle("Probability of Forming Nonaggression Pacts") xtitle("Strong Madness Reputation") title("") ciopt(color(gray)) recast(scatter)
{res}
{text}{p 0 0 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: {bf:reallycrazy15}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. margins, atmeans at( modcrazy15 =(0 (1) 1)) noatlegend
{res}
{txt}Adjusted predictions{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 1}Model VCE: {res:Robust}

{txt}{p2colset 1 13 13 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression:}{res:Pr(nonagg), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   std. err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% con{col 67}f. interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0023324{col 26}{space 2} .0001366{col 37}{space 1}   17.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0020648{col 67}{space 3} .0026001
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0029286{col 26}{space 2} .0003498{col 37}{space 1}    8.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .002243{col 67}{space 3} .0036142
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, title("Predicted Probability of Nonaggression Pacts") ytitle("Probability of Forming Nonaggression Pacts") xtitle("Slight Madness Reputation") title("") ciopt(color(gray)) recast(scatter)
{res}
{text}{p 0 0 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: {bf:modcrazy15}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *****Figure 2;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13488.171}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12951.181}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.196}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2795.11}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.028}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1620}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7308818{col 33}{space 2} .1303705{col 44}{space 1}    5.61{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4753604{col 74}{space 3} .9864033
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1135067{col 33}{space 2} .0561833{col 44}{space 1}   -2.02{col 53}{space 3}0.043{col 61}{space 4}-.2236239{col 74}{space 3}-.0033895
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0903732{col 33}{space 2} .0450377{col 44}{space 1}   -2.01{col 53}{space 3}0.045{col 61}{space 4}-.1786455{col 74}{space 3}-.0021009
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0731637{col 33}{space 2}  .014761{col 44}{space 1}    4.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0442327{col 74}{space 3} .1020947
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3249517{col 33}{space 2} .0279729{col 44}{space 1}  -11.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3797775{col 74}{space 3}-.2701259
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0294841{col 33}{space 2} .0017532{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0329204{col 74}{space 3}-.0260479
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0815665{col 33}{space 2} .0458722{col 44}{space 1}    1.78{col 53}{space 3}0.075{col 61}{space 4}-.0083414{col 74}{space 3} .1714744
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.264205{col 33}{space 2} .0062767{col 44}{space 1}  -42.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.276507{col 74}{space 3}-.2519029
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5760194{col 33}{space 2} .1195833{col 44}{space 1}    4.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3416404{col 74}{space 3} .8103983
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0210245{col 33}{space 2} .0067324{col 44}{space 1}   -3.12{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0342198{col 74}{space 3}-.0078291
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0362531{col 33}{space 2} .0347106{col 44}{space 1}   -1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.296{col 61}{space 4}-.1042845{col 74}{space 3} .0317784
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1220385{col 33}{space 2} .0208442{col 44}{space 1}   -5.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1628923{col 74}{space 3}-.0811847
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.011485{col 33}{space 2} .0040255{col 44}{space 1}   -2.85{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0193748{col 74}{space 3}-.0035951
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070435{col 33}{space 2} .0055376{col 44}{space 1}    1.27{col 53}{space 3}0.203{col 61}{space 4}  -.00381{col 74}{space 3}  .017897
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0756256{col 33}{space 2} .0096881{col 44}{space 1}    7.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0566372{col 74}{space 3} .0946139
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0200538{col 33}{space 2} .0020154{col 44}{space 1}    9.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0161038{col 74}{space 3} .0240038
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003351{col 33}{space 2} .0000344{col 44}{space 1}   -9.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004025{col 74}{space 3}-.0002677
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.30e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.37e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.45{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.03e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.57e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.516363{col 33}{space 2} .0439647{col 44}{space 1}  -34.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.602532{col 74}{space 3}-1.430194
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. margins, dydx(reallycrazy15) at( distance =(0 (1) 12)) noatlegend
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 1}Model VCE: {res:Robust}

{txt}{p2colset 1 13 13 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression:}{res:Pr(nonagg), predict()}{p_end}
{p2col:dy/dx wrt:}{res:reallycrazy15}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27} Delta-method
{col 15}{c |}      dy/dx{col 27}   std. err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% con{col 68}f. interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}reallycrazy15 {txt}{c |}
{space 10}_at {c |}
{space 11}1  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0854502{col 27}{space 2} .0150445{col 38}{space 1}    5.68{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0559635{col 68}{space 3} .1149368
{txt}{space 11}2  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0555767{col 27}{space 2} .0097818{col 38}{space 1}    5.68{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0364048{col 68}{space 3} .0747486
{txt}{space 11}3  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0338472{col 27}{space 2} .0059729{col 38}{space 1}    5.67{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0221406{col 68}{space 3} .0455538
{txt}{space 11}4  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0193037{col 27}{space 2} .0034354{col 38}{space 1}    5.62{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0125705{col 68}{space 3} .0260369
{txt}{space 11}5  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0103108{col 27}{space 2} .0018677{col 38}{space 1}    5.52{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0066501{col 68}{space 3} .0139715
{txt}{space 11}6  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0051587{col 27}{space 2} .0009632{col 38}{space 1}    5.36{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0032709{col 68}{space 3} .0070464
{txt}{space 11}7  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0024179{col 27}{space 2} .0004723{col 38}{space 1}    5.12{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0014922{col 68}{space 3} .0033437
{txt}{space 11}8  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0010619{col 27}{space 2} .0002205{col 38}{space 1}    4.82{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0006297{col 68}{space 3} .0014941
{txt}{space 11}9  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0004371{col 27}{space 2} .0000979{col 38}{space 1}    4.46{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0002452{col 68}{space 3} .0006291
{txt}{space 10}10  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0001687{col 27}{space 2} .0000413{col 38}{space 1}    4.09{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0000878{col 68}{space 3} .0002496
{txt}{space 10}11  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0000611{col 27}{space 2} .0000165{col 38}{space 1}    3.71{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0000288{col 68}{space 3} .0000933
{txt}{space 10}12  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0000207{col 27}{space 2} 6.20e-06{col 38}{space 1}    3.35{col 47}{space 3}0.001{col 55}{space 4} 8.59e-06{col 68}{space 3} .0000329
{txt}{space 10}13  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 6.61e-06{col 27}{space 2} 2.20e-06{col 38}{space 1}    3.01{col 47}{space 3}0.003{col 55}{space 4} 2.30e-06{col 68}{space 3} .0000109
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, title("Marginal Effect of Strong Madness Rep. on Distance") ytitle("Marginal Effect of Strong Madness Rep.") xtitle("Distance") title("") recastci(rarea) ciopt(color(gray)) recast(line)
{res}
{text}{p 0 0 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: {bf:distance}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13485.625}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12949.269}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.937}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2875.79}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12933.805}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1619}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7492173{col 35}{space 2} .0763762{col 46}{space 1}    9.81{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5995227{col 76}{space 3} .8989119
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .047266{col 35}{space 2} .0524383{col 46}{space 1}    0.90{col 55}{space 3}0.367{col 63}{space 4}-.0555111{col 76}{space 3} .1500431
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.126791{col 35}{space 2} .0275189{col 46}{space 1}   -4.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1807271{col 76}{space 3}-.0728549
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0084402{col 35}{space 2} .0113292{col 46}{space 1}    0.74{col 55}{space 3}0.456{col 63}{space 4}-.0137646{col 76}{space 3} .0306451
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.324164{col 35}{space 2} .0279339{col 46}{space 1}  -11.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3789134{col 76}{space 3}-.2694147
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0294589{col 35}{space 2}  .001755{col 46}{space 1}  -16.79{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0328985{col 76}{space 3}-.0260192
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0709494{col 35}{space 2} .0460432{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.123{col 63}{space 4}-.0192936{col 76}{space 3} .1611924
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2609204{col 35}{space 2} .0060333{col 46}{space 1}  -43.25{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2727455{col 76}{space 3}-.2490953
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5708546{col 35}{space 2} .1188961{col 46}{space 1}    4.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3378225{col 76}{space 3} .8038867
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0205677{col 35}{space 2} .0066328{col 46}{space 1}   -3.10{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.0335678{col 76}{space 3}-.0075677
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.037676{col 35}{space 2} .0347394{col 46}{space 1}   -1.08{col 55}{space 3}0.278{col 63}{space 4}-.1057639{col 76}{space 3} .0304119
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1205519{col 35}{space 2} .0206082{col 46}{space 1}   -5.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1609432{col 76}{space 3}-.0801606
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0114495{col 35}{space 2} .0034579{col 46}{space 1}   -3.31{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0182269{col 76}{space 3}-.0046721
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0070353{col 35}{space 2} .0055149{col 46}{space 1}    1.28{col 55}{space 3}0.202{col 63}{space 4}-.0037738{col 76}{space 3} .0178444
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .076312{col 35}{space 2} .0096572{col 46}{space 1}    7.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0573841{col 76}{space 3} .0952398
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0198518{col 35}{space 2} .0020101{col 46}{space 1}    9.88{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0159121{col 76}{space 3} .0237915
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003315{col 35}{space 2} .0000344{col 46}{space 1}   -9.65{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003988{col 76}{space 3}-.0002642
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.55e-06
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.521001{col 35}{space 2} .0426172{col 46}{space 1}  -35.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -1.60453{col 76}{space 3}-1.437473
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. margins, dydx(reallycrazy15) at( smallcincnumberally =(0 (1) 20)) noatlegend
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 1}Model VCE: {res:Robust}

{txt}{p2colset 1 13 13 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression:}{res:Pr(nonagg), predict()}{p_end}
{p2col:dy/dx wrt:}{res:reallycrazy15}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27} Delta-method
{col 15}{c |}      dy/dx{col 27}   std. err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% con{col 68}f. interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}reallycrazy15 {txt}{c |}
{space 10}_at {c |}
{space 11}1  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0176437{col 27}{space 2} .0018105{col 38}{space 1}    9.75{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0140952{col 68}{space 3} .0211922
{txt}{space 11}2  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0172436{col 27}{space 2} .0017658{col 38}{space 1}    9.77{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0137827{col 68}{space 3} .0207046
{txt}{space 11}3  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0168509{col 27}{space 2} .0017299{col 38}{space 1}    9.74{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0134603{col 68}{space 3} .0202414
{txt}{space 11}4  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0164652{col 27}{space 2} .0017023{col 38}{space 1}    9.67{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0131288{col 68}{space 3} .0198017
{txt}{space 11}5  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0160867{col 27}{space 2} .0016826{col 38}{space 1}    9.56{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0127889{col 68}{space 3} .0193846
{txt}{space 11}6  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0157153{col 27}{space 2} .0016702{col 38}{space 1}    9.41{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0124418{col 68}{space 3} .0189887
{txt}{space 11}7  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0153507{col 27}{space 2} .0016644{col 38}{space 1}    9.22{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0120886{col 68}{space 3} .0186128
{txt}{space 11}8  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .014993{col 27}{space 2} .0016645{col 38}{space 1}    9.01{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0117306{col 68}{space 3} .0182554
{txt}{space 11}9  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .014642{col 27}{space 2} .0016699{col 38}{space 1}    8.77{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0113691{col 68}{space 3}  .017915
{txt}{space 10}10  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0142978{col 27}{space 2} .0016798{col 38}{space 1}    8.51{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0110054{col 68}{space 3} .0175902
{txt}{space 10}11  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0139601{col 27}{space 2} .0016936{col 38}{space 1}    8.24{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0106407{col 68}{space 3} .0172795
{txt}{space 10}12  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .013629{col 27}{space 2} .0017105{col 38}{space 1}    7.97{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0102763{col 68}{space 3} .0169816
{txt}{space 10}13  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0133042{col 27}{space 2} .0017301{col 38}{space 1}    7.69{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0099133{col 68}{space 3} .0166951
{txt}{space 10}14  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0129858{col 27}{space 2} .0017517{col 38}{space 1}    7.41{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0095526{col 68}{space 3}  .016419
{txt}{space 10}15  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0126737{col 27}{space 2} .0017747{col 38}{space 1}    7.14{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0091953{col 68}{space 3} .0161521
{txt}{space 10}16  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0123677{col 27}{space 2} .0017989{col 38}{space 1}    6.88{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0088419{col 68}{space 3} .0158935
{txt}{space 10}17  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0120678{col 27}{space 2} .0018237{col 38}{space 1}    6.62{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0084934{col 68}{space 3} .0156423
{txt}{space 10}18  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .011774{col 27}{space 2} .0018489{col 38}{space 1}    6.37{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0081502{col 68}{space 3} .0153977
{txt}{space 10}19  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .011486{col 27}{space 2} .0018741{col 38}{space 1}    6.13{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0078129{col 68}{space 3} .0151591
{txt}{space 10}20  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0112039{col 27}{space 2}  .001899{col 38}{space 1}    5.90{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0074818{col 68}{space 3} .0149259
{txt}{space 10}21  {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0109275{col 27}{space 2} .0019235{col 38}{space 1}    5.68{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .0071574{col 68}{space 3} .0146975
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, title("Marginal Effect of Strong Madness Rep.") ytitle("Marginal Effect of Strong Madness Rep.") xtitle("Number of Alliances") title("") recastci(rarea) ciopt(color(gray)) recast(line)
{res}
{text}{p 0 0 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: {bf:smallcincnumberally}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************
. ***** Tables and figures included in the Appendix *****
. ***********************************************
. ***** Figure 3;
. *Madness Reputation Distribution;
. use "C:\FPA Replication\Leader-Year Crazy Scores.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. quantile crazyscore if crazyscore>0, recast(area) ytitle(Value of Madness Reputation) xtitle(Percentile among Observations (Non-Zero Values)) title(Madness Reputation Distribution (Non-Zero Values))
{res}{txt}
{com}. graph export "C:\FPA Replication\Madness Reputation Distribution.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph")
{txt}{p 0 4 2}
file {bf}
C:\FPA Replication\Madness Reputation Distribution.pdf{rm}
saved as
PDF
format
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 3;
. *testing DETERMINANTS OF PERCEIVED MADNESS;
. use "C:\FPA Replication\Leader-Year Crazy Scores.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. duplicates drop leadid year crazyscore modcrazy15_nolag reallycrazy15_nolag dem gwf_personal realgdp rebel milservice age gender yrs_in_ofc leveledu recentMIDs_byleader gdp_change_l1, force

{p 0 4}{txt}Duplicates in terms of {res} leadid year crazyscore modcrazy15_nolag reallycrazy15_nolag dem gwf_personal realgdp rebel milservice age gender yrs_in_ofc leveledu recentMIDs_byleader gdp_change_l1{p_end}

{txt}(22 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. *Continuous Measure;
. tobit crazyscore dem gwf_personal realgdp rebel milservice age gender yrs_in_ofc leveledu recentMIDs_byleader gdp_change_l1 cinc majorpower number rogue allianceformation other_rivals war wartime , ll(0)
{res}{txt}
Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2998.7386}

Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2998.7386}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1393.5542}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-528.96147}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-433.60556}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-337.19134}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-310.38237}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-306.60589}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-306.56519}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-306.56512}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-306.56512}  
{res}
{txt}Tobit regression{col 53}{lalign 17:Number of obs}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:2,512}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 17:Uncensored}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:85}
{txt}{col 1}Limits: Lower = {ralign 4:{res:0}}{col 53}{ralign 17:Left-censored}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:2,427}
{txt}{col 1}        Upper = {ralign 4:{txt:+inf}}{col 53}{ralign 17:   Right-censored}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0}

{txt}{col 53}{lalign 17:LR chi2({res:19})}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:173.62}
{txt}{col 53}{lalign 17:Prob > chi2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.0000}
{txt}Log likelihood = {res:-306.56512}{col 53}{lalign 17:Pseudo R2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.2207}

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         crazyscore{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  Std. err.{col 45}      t{col 53}   P>|t|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 16}dem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6311638{col 33}{space 2} .1678068{col 44}{space 1}    3.76{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3021087{col 74}{space 3} .9602188
{txt}{space 7}gwf_personal {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2993275{col 33}{space 2} .1908598{col 44}{space 1}    1.57{col 53}{space 3}0.117{col 61}{space 4}-.0749325{col 74}{space 3} .6735875
{txt}{space 12}realgdp {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0030289{col 33}{space 2} .0080994{col 44}{space 1}   -0.37{col 53}{space 3}0.708{col 61}{space 4}-.0189112{col 74}{space 3} .0128534
{txt}{space 14}rebel {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.085834{col 33}{space 2} .1657995{col 44}{space 1}   -0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.605{col 61}{space 4}-.4109529{col 74}{space 3}  .239285
{txt}{space 9}milservice {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1065354{col 33}{space 2} .1669091{col 44}{space 1}   -0.64{col 53}{space 3}0.523{col 61}{space 4}-.4338302{col 74}{space 3} .2207594
{txt}{space 16}age {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0027416{col 33}{space 2} .0063024{col 44}{space 1}   -0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.664{col 61}{space 4}   -.0151{col 74}{space 3} .0096168
{txt}{space 13}gender {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2377272{col 33}{space 2} .3946264{col 44}{space 1}    0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.547{col 61}{space 4}-.5361021{col 74}{space 3} 1.011557
{txt}{space 9}yrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0517976{col 33}{space 2} .0149751{col 44}{space 1}    3.46{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0224327{col 74}{space 3} .0811625
{txt}{space 11}leveledu {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1091027{col 33}{space 2} .0763795{col 44}{space 1}   -1.43{col 53}{space 3}0.153{col 61}{space 4}-.2588765{col 74}{space 3} .0406712
{txt}recentMIDs_byleader {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4855064{col 33}{space 2} .1094134{col 44}{space 1}    4.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2709558{col 74}{space 3} .7000569
{txt}{space 6}gdp_change_l1 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0137679{col 33}{space 2} .5089292{col 44}{space 1}   -0.03{col 53}{space 3}0.978{col 61}{space 4}-1.011735{col 74}{space 3} .9841994
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.748893{col 33}{space 2}  4.56371{col 44}{space 1}    0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.411{col 61}{space 4}-5.200159{col 74}{space 3} 12.69794
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3956134{col 33}{space 2} .3001259{col 44}{space 1}    1.32{col 53}{space 3}0.188{col 61}{space 4}-.1929083{col 74}{space 3} .9841351
{txt}{space 13}number {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0145597{col 33}{space 2} .0142622{col 44}{space 1}   -1.02{col 53}{space 3}0.307{col 61}{space 4}-.0425266{col 74}{space 3} .0134073
{txt}{space 14}rogue {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.344066{col 33}{space 2} .2388692{col 44}{space 1}    5.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8756637{col 74}{space 3} 1.812469
{txt}{space 2}allianceformation {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1034707{col 33}{space 2} .2190471{col 44}{space 1}    0.47{col 53}{space 3}0.637{col 61}{space 4}-.3260622{col 74}{space 3} .5330037
{txt}{space 7}other_rivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.017233{col 33}{space 2} .0513337{col 44}{space 1}   -0.34{col 53}{space 3}0.737{col 61}{space 4}-.1178941{col 74}{space 3} .0834281
{txt}{space 16}war {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0658026{col 33}{space 2} .4084455{col 44}{space 1}    0.16{col 53}{space 3}0.872{col 61}{space 4}-.7351248{col 74}{space 3}   .86673
{txt}{space 12}wartime {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8335352{col 33}{space 2} .2548197{col 44}{space 1}    3.27{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .3338551{col 74}{space 3} 1.333215
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.699955{col 33}{space 2} .6084667{col 44}{space 1}   -4.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.893108{col 74}{space 3}-1.506803
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}var(e.crazyscore){c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.041192{col 33}{space 2}  .188644{col 61}{space 4}  .729852{col 74}{space 3} 1.485345
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Slight Madness;
. probit modcrazy15_nolag dem gwf_personal realgdp rebel milservice age gender yrs_in_ofc leveledu recentMIDs_byleader gdp_change_l1 cinc majorpower number rogue allianceformation other_rivals war wartime  , cluster(leadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-323.18401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-262.84073}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-253.98765}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-253.91809}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-253.91806}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-253.91806}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 57}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:2,512}
{txt}{col 57}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:147.86}
{txt}{col 57}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-253.91806}{col 57}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.2143}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:482} clusters in {res:leadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}   modcrazy15_nolag{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 16}dem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6584303{col 33}{space 2} .1901359{col 44}{space 1}    3.46{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .2857708{col 74}{space 3}  1.03109
{txt}{space 7}gwf_personal {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2817894{col 33}{space 2} .1940589{col 44}{space 1}    1.45{col 53}{space 3}0.146{col 61}{space 4}-.0985591{col 74}{space 3} .6621379
{txt}{space 12}realgdp {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0018825{col 33}{space 2}   .01258{col 44}{space 1}    0.15{col 53}{space 3}0.881{col 61}{space 4}-.0227738{col 74}{space 3} .0265388
{txt}{space 14}rebel {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1735424{col 33}{space 2} .2586454{col 44}{space 1}   -0.67{col 53}{space 3}0.502{col 61}{space 4}-.6804781{col 74}{space 3} .3333934
{txt}{space 9}milservice {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1369097{col 33}{space 2} .2060695{col 44}{space 1}   -0.66{col 53}{space 3}0.506{col 61}{space 4}-.5407985{col 74}{space 3} .2669792
{txt}{space 16}age {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0037058{col 33}{space 2} .0063318{col 44}{space 1}   -0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.558{col 61}{space 4} -.016116{col 74}{space 3} .0087044
{txt}{space 13}gender {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2795855{col 33}{space 2} .2774217{col 44}{space 1}    1.01{col 53}{space 3}0.314{col 61}{space 4}-.2641511{col 74}{space 3} .8233221
{txt}{space 9}yrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0401668{col 33}{space 2} .0184258{col 44}{space 1}    2.18{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4}  .004053{col 74}{space 3} .0762807
{txt}{space 11}leveledu {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0794618{col 33}{space 2} .0969215{col 44}{space 1}   -0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.412{col 61}{space 4}-.2694245{col 74}{space 3} .1105009
{txt}recentMIDs_byleader {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3317044{col 33}{space 2} .1252483{col 44}{space 1}    2.65{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4} .0862222{col 74}{space 3} .5771866
{txt}{space 6}gdp_change_l1 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1256742{col 33}{space 2} .6527401{col 44}{space 1}    0.19{col 53}{space 3}0.847{col 61}{space 4}-1.153673{col 74}{space 3} 1.405021
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  2.52084{col 33}{space 2} 4.350778{col 44}{space 1}    0.58{col 53}{space 3}0.562{col 61}{space 4}-6.006529{col 74}{space 3} 11.04821
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7180834{col 33}{space 2}  .305678{col 44}{space 1}    2.35{col 53}{space 3}0.019{col 61}{space 4} .1189655{col 74}{space 3} 1.317201
{txt}{space 13}number {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0073012{col 33}{space 2} .0123438{col 44}{space 1}   -0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.554{col 61}{space 4}-.0314947{col 74}{space 3} .0168923
{txt}{space 14}rogue {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.212742{col 33}{space 2} .2680646{col 44}{space 1}    4.52{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6873448{col 74}{space 3} 1.738139
{txt}{space 2}allianceformation {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .124992{col 33}{space 2} .1768302{col 44}{space 1}    0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.480{col 61}{space 4}-.2215888{col 74}{space 3} .4715728
{txt}{space 7}other_rivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.033488{col 33}{space 2} .0663356{col 44}{space 1}   -0.50{col 53}{space 3}0.614{col 61}{space 4}-.1635034{col 74}{space 3} .0965274
{txt}{space 16}war {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2703067{col 33}{space 2} .5046883{col 44}{space 1}   -0.54{col 53}{space 3}0.592{col 61}{space 4}-1.259478{col 74}{space 3} .7188643
{txt}{space 12}wartime {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6842839{col 33}{space 2} .3093714{col 44}{space 1}    2.21{col 53}{space 3}0.027{col 61}{space 4} .0779271{col 74}{space 3} 1.290641
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.653816{col 33}{space 2} .4536475{col 44}{space 1}   -5.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.542949{col 74}{space 3}-1.764684
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Strong Madness;
. probit reallycrazy15_nolag dem gwf_personal realgdp rebel milservice age gender yrs_in_ofc leveledu recentMIDs_byleader gdp_change_l1 cinc majorpower number rogue allianceformation other_rivals war wartime , cluster(leadid)

{txt}note: {bf:gender} != 1 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:gender} omitted and 68 obs not used.

note: {bf:majorpower} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:majorpower} omitted and 104 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -85.62192}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -67.80553}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -54.57226}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-54.067017}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-54.056721}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-54.056708}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-54.056708}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 57}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:2,340}
{txt}{col 57}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:17})}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:588.82}
{txt}{col 57}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-54.056708}{col 57}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 70} = {res}{ralign 6:0.3687}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:445} clusters in {res:leadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}reallycrazy15_nolag{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 16}dem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1992032{col 33}{space 2} .4230507{col 44}{space 1}   -0.47{col 53}{space 3}0.638{col 61}{space 4}-1.028367{col 74}{space 3} .6299609
{txt}{space 7}gwf_personal {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2015469{col 33}{space 2} .2166576{col 44}{space 1}    0.93{col 53}{space 3}0.352{col 61}{space 4}-.2230941{col 74}{space 3}  .626188
{txt}{space 12}realgdp {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1213903{col 33}{space 2} .0556447{col 44}{space 1}    2.18{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4} .0123287{col 74}{space 3}  .230452
{txt}{space 14}rebel {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .293728{col 33}{space 2}   .36866{col 44}{space 1}    0.80{col 53}{space 3}0.426{col 61}{space 4}-.4288322{col 74}{space 3} 1.016288
{txt}{space 9}milservice {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2213569{col 33}{space 2} .2890924{col 44}{space 1}   -0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.444{col 61}{space 4}-.7879675{col 74}{space 3} .3452537
{txt}{space 16}age {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.007047{col 33}{space 2} .0123322{col 44}{space 1}   -0.57{col 53}{space 3}0.568{col 61}{space 4}-.0312177{col 74}{space 3} .0171237
{txt}{space 13}gender {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}yrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0854178{col 33}{space 2} .0266844{col 44}{space 1}    3.20{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0331173{col 74}{space 3} .1377183
{txt}{space 11}leveledu {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1436898{col 33}{space 2} .1572156{col 44}{space 1}   -0.91{col 53}{space 3}0.361{col 61}{space 4}-.4518267{col 74}{space 3}  .164447
{txt}recentMIDs_byleader {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .744354{col 33}{space 2} .2694503{col 44}{space 1}    2.76{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .2162411{col 74}{space 3} 1.272467
{txt}{space 6}gdp_change_l1 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1999174{col 33}{space 2} .4182836{col 44}{space 1}    0.48{col 53}{space 3}0.633{col 61}{space 4}-.6199033{col 74}{space 3} 1.019738
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-23.11796{col 33}{space 2} 28.12914{col 44}{space 1}   -0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.411{col 61}{space 4}-78.25007{col 74}{space 3} 32.01415
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}number {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000537{col 33}{space 2} .0298026{col 44}{space 1}   -0.00{col 53}{space 3}0.999{col 61}{space 4}-.0584658{col 74}{space 3} .0583584
{txt}{space 14}rogue {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.001513{col 33}{space 2} .4328846{col 44}{space 1}    2.31{col 53}{space 3}0.021{col 61}{space 4} .1530749{col 74}{space 3} 1.849951
{txt}{space 2}allianceformation {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1921551{col 33}{space 2} .4035522{col 44}{space 1}    0.48{col 53}{space 3}0.634{col 61}{space 4}-.5987927{col 74}{space 3}  .983103
{txt}{space 7}other_rivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0258727{col 33}{space 2} .0883739{col 44}{space 1}   -0.29{col 53}{space 3}0.770{col 61}{space 4}-.1990824{col 74}{space 3}  .147337
{txt}{space 16}war {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6794189{col 33}{space 2} .5546248{col 44}{space 1}    1.23{col 53}{space 3}0.221{col 61}{space 4}-.4076258{col 74}{space 3} 1.766464
{txt}{space 12}wartime {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5103183{col 33}{space 2} .3180983{col 44}{space 1}    1.60{col 53}{space 3}0.109{col 61}{space 4}-.1131428{col 74}{space 3} 1.133779
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.323184{col 33}{space 2}  1.06094{col 44}{space 1}   -3.13{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-5.402588{col 74}{space 3}-1.243781
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 4;
. use "C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. *fixed effects;
. *year fixed effects;
. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.year, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:2009.year} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:2009.year} omitted and 12090 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15315.013}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11223.156}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9431.6267}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9233.2614}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9225.4448}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9225.2847}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9225.2839}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:275,659}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:39})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6464.54}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9225.2839}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.3976}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6449959{col 33}{space 2} .0729187{col 44}{space 1}    8.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5020778{col 74}{space 3}  .787914
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0367678{col 33}{space 2} .0458643{col 44}{space 1}    0.80{col 53}{space 3}0.423{col 61}{space 4}-.0531246{col 74}{space 3} .1266602
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4572178{col 33}{space 2} .0383965{col 44}{space 1}  -11.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5324736{col 74}{space 3}-.3819621
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0386905{col 33}{space 2} .0024012{col 44}{space 1}  -16.11{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0433967{col 74}{space 3}-.0339842
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .204553{col 33}{space 2} .0594944{col 44}{space 1}    3.44{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0879461{col 74}{space 3}   .32116
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3391595{col 33}{space 2} .0091137{col 44}{space 1}  -37.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.357022{col 74}{space 3}-.3212969
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6914798{col 33}{space 2} .1440074{col 44}{space 1}    4.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4092305{col 74}{space 3} .9737291
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0202413{col 33}{space 2} .0075852{col 44}{space 1}   -2.67{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4}-.0351081{col 74}{space 3}-.0053745
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0103981{col 33}{space 2} .0448973{col 44}{space 1}   -0.23{col 53}{space 3}0.817{col 61}{space 4}-.0983952{col 74}{space 3} .0775991
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1270606{col 33}{space 2} .0236319{col 44}{space 1}   -5.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1733783{col 74}{space 3}-.0807429
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0127085{col 33}{space 2} .0055898{col 44}{space 1}   -2.27{col 53}{space 3}0.023{col 61}{space 4}-.0236642{col 74}{space 3}-.0017527
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0155142{col 33}{space 2}   .00708{col 44}{space 1}    2.19{col 53}{space 3}0.028{col 61}{space 4} .0016376{col 74}{space 3} .0293907
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0060378{col 33}{space 2} .0110713{col 44}{space 1}    0.55{col 53}{space 3}0.586{col 61}{space 4}-.0156616{col 74}{space 3} .0277373
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0149692{col 33}{space 2} .0025481{col 44}{space 1}    5.87{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .009975{col 74}{space 3} .0199635
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0002457{col 33}{space 2} .0000441{col 44}{space 1}   -5.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003321{col 74}{space 3}-.0001593
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 9.40e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.80e-07{col 44}{space 1}    5.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 5.88e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.29e-06
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 15}year {c |}
{space 14}1987  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4130862{col 33}{space 2} .3346237{col 44}{space 1}   -1.23{col 53}{space 3}0.217{col 61}{space 4}-1.068937{col 74}{space 3} .2427641
{txt}{space 14}1988  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0465216{col 33}{space 2} .2507186{col 44}{space 1}    0.19{col 53}{space 3}0.853{col 61}{space 4}-.4448777{col 74}{space 3}  .537921
{txt}{space 14}1989  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4597848{col 33}{space 2}  .327237{col 44}{space 1}   -1.41{col 53}{space 3}0.160{col 61}{space 4}-1.101157{col 74}{space 3} .1815878
{txt}{space 14}1990  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.879613{col 33}{space 2} .1650696{col 44}{space 1}   11.39{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.556083{col 74}{space 3} 2.203144
{txt}{space 14}1991  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4716667{col 33}{space 2} .1921542{col 44}{space 1}    2.45{col 53}{space 3}0.014{col 61}{space 4} .0950514{col 74}{space 3} .8482819
{txt}{space 14}1992  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.088969{col 33}{space 2} .1689137{col 44}{space 1}    6.45{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7579042{col 74}{space 3} 1.420034
{txt}{space 14}1993  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.015886{col 33}{space 2} .1698496{col 44}{space 1}    5.98{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6829869{col 74}{space 3} 1.348785
{txt}{space 14}1994  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .541823{col 33}{space 2} .1844017{col 44}{space 1}    2.94{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4} .1804024{col 74}{space 3} .9032437
{txt}{space 14}1995  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7698388{col 33}{space 2} .1754135{col 44}{space 1}    4.39{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4260347{col 74}{space 3} 1.113643
{txt}{space 14}1996  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7211916{col 33}{space 2} .1761708{col 44}{space 1}    4.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3759031{col 74}{space 3}  1.06648
{txt}{space 14}1997  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4766345{col 33}{space 2} .1895793{col 44}{space 1}    2.51{col 53}{space 3}0.012{col 61}{space 4} .1050658{col 74}{space 3} .8482031
{txt}{space 14}1998  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0893324{col 33}{space 2} .2186133{col 44}{space 1}    0.41{col 53}{space 3}0.683{col 61}{space 4}-.3391419{col 74}{space 3} .5178066
{txt}{space 14}1999  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1986585{col 33}{space 2} .2675251{col 44}{space 1}   -0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.458{col 61}{space 4}-.7229981{col 74}{space 3} .3256811
{txt}{space 14}2000  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.043141{col 33}{space 2}   .16501{col 44}{space 1}   12.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.719728{col 74}{space 3} 2.366555
{txt}{space 14}2001  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.52928{col 33}{space 2} .1665761{col 44}{space 1}    9.18{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.202797{col 74}{space 3} 1.855764
{txt}{space 14}2002  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.512787{col 33}{space 2} .1643509{col 44}{space 1}   15.29{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 2.190665{col 74}{space 3} 2.834909
{txt}{space 14}2003  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.204002{col 33}{space 2} .1682581{col 44}{space 1}    7.16{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8742219{col 74}{space 3} 1.533782
{txt}{space 14}2004  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2222367{col 33}{space 2} .2196769{col 44}{space 1}    1.01{col 53}{space 3}0.312{col 61}{space 4} -.208322{col 74}{space 3} .6527954
{txt}{space 14}2005  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8903314{col 33}{space 2}  .173427{col 44}{space 1}    5.13{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5504207{col 74}{space 3} 1.230242
{txt}{space 14}2006  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9805684{col 33}{space 2} .1713594{col 44}{space 1}    5.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6447102{col 74}{space 3} 1.316427
{txt}{space 14}2007  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7604925{col 33}{space 2} .1749695{col 44}{space 1}    4.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4175586{col 74}{space 3} 1.103426
{txt}{space 14}2008  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0333892{col 33}{space 2} .2383609{col 44}{space 1}   -0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.889{col 61}{space 4}-.5005681{col 74}{space 3} .4337897
{txt}{space 14}2009  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 14}2010  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1501903{col 33}{space 2}   .27554{col 44}{space 1}   -0.55{col 53}{space 3}0.586{col 61}{space 4}-.6902388{col 74}{space 3} .3898582
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.509076{col 33}{space 2} .1715173{col 44}{space 1}  -14.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.845244{col 74}{space 3}-2.172908
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 8065 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i. year, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:2009.year} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:2009.year} omitted and 12090 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15315.013}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -11206.5}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9417.0117}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9217.4583}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9209.3618}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9209.1974}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9209.1966}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:275,659}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:41})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6415.78}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9209.1966}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.3987}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.004795{col 33}{space 2} .1653984{col 44}{space 1}    6.07{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6806204{col 74}{space 3}  1.32897
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2337216{col 33}{space 2} .0673591{col 44}{space 1}   -3.47{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.3657431{col 74}{space 3}-.1017001
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1463944{col 33}{space 2} .0669143{col 44}{space 1}   -2.19{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4} -.277544{col 74}{space 3}-.0152448
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1061697{col 33}{space 2} .0181741{col 44}{space 1}    5.84{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0705491{col 74}{space 3} .1417903
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4602902{col 33}{space 2} .0384069{col 44}{space 1}  -11.98{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5355664{col 74}{space 3}-.3850141
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0388532{col 33}{space 2} .0024028{col 44}{space 1}  -16.17{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0435627{col 74}{space 3}-.0341438
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2175356{col 33}{space 2} .0586806{col 44}{space 1}    3.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1025237{col 74}{space 3} .3325475
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3450455{col 33}{space 2} .0093731{col 44}{space 1}  -36.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3634164{col 74}{space 3}-.3266745
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   .68588{col 33}{space 2} .1448434{col 44}{space 1}    4.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4019923{col 74}{space 3} .9697678
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   -.0201{col 33}{space 2} .0075866{col 44}{space 1}   -2.65{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4}-.0349693{col 74}{space 3}-.0052306
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0095927{col 33}{space 2} .0448961{col 44}{space 1}   -0.21{col 53}{space 3}0.831{col 61}{space 4}-.0975875{col 74}{space 3} .0784022
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1305713{col 33}{space 2} .0238089{col 44}{space 1}   -5.48{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.177236{col 74}{space 3}-.0839066
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0126389{col 33}{space 2} .0055675{col 44}{space 1}   -2.27{col 53}{space 3}0.023{col 61}{space 4} -.023551{col 74}{space 3}-.0017267
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0152667{col 33}{space 2} .0070652{col 44}{space 1}    2.16{col 53}{space 3}0.031{col 61}{space 4} .0014191{col 74}{space 3} .0291144
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0068076{col 33}{space 2} .0110469{col 44}{space 1}    0.62{col 53}{space 3}0.538{col 61}{space 4} -.014844{col 74}{space 3} .0284592
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0150916{col 33}{space 2} .0025541{col 44}{space 1}    5.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0100856{col 74}{space 3} .0200975
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0002498{col 33}{space 2} .0000441{col 44}{space 1}   -5.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003363{col 74}{space 3}-.0001633
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 9.63e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.80e-07{col 44}{space 1}    5.36{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 6.11e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.31e-06
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 15}year {c |}
{space 14}1987  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.419127{col 33}{space 2} .3379948{col 44}{space 1}   -1.24{col 53}{space 3}0.215{col 61}{space 4}-1.081585{col 74}{space 3} .2433305
{txt}{space 14}1988  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0493911{col 33}{space 2} .2514381{col 44}{space 1}    0.20{col 53}{space 3}0.844{col 61}{space 4}-.4434185{col 74}{space 3} .5422008
{txt}{space 14}1989  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4582825{col 33}{space 2} .3279659{col 44}{space 1}   -1.40{col 53}{space 3}0.162{col 61}{space 4}-1.101084{col 74}{space 3} .1845188
{txt}{space 14}1990  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.883332{col 33}{space 2} .1655519{col 44}{space 1}   11.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.558856{col 74}{space 3} 2.207808
{txt}{space 14}1991  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .471436{col 33}{space 2} .1927899{col 44}{space 1}    2.45{col 53}{space 3}0.014{col 61}{space 4} .0935746{col 74}{space 3} .8492973
{txt}{space 14}1992  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.088493{col 33}{space 2} .1693781{col 44}{space 1}    6.43{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7565178{col 74}{space 3} 1.420468
{txt}{space 14}1993  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.020497{col 33}{space 2} .1702837{col 44}{space 1}    5.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6867474{col 74}{space 3} 1.354247
{txt}{space 14}1994  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5404433{col 33}{space 2} .1851001{col 44}{space 1}    2.92{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .1776538{col 74}{space 3} .9032327
{txt}{space 14}1995  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7761548{col 33}{space 2}  .175832{col 44}{space 1}    4.41{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4315305{col 74}{space 3} 1.120779
{txt}{space 14}1996  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7285027{col 33}{space 2} .1766659{col 44}{space 1}    4.12{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3822439{col 74}{space 3} 1.074762
{txt}{space 14}1997  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4840822{col 33}{space 2} .1902164{col 44}{space 1}    2.54{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4} .1112648{col 74}{space 3} .8568995
{txt}{space 14}1998  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .080344{col 33}{space 2} .2206177{col 44}{space 1}    0.36{col 53}{space 3}0.716{col 61}{space 4}-.3520587{col 74}{space 3} .5127468
{txt}{space 14}1999  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2029114{col 33}{space 2} .2693513{col 44}{space 1}   -0.75{col 53}{space 3}0.451{col 61}{space 4}-.7308303{col 74}{space 3} .3250075
{txt}{space 14}2000  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.049685{col 33}{space 2} .1654133{col 44}{space 1}   12.39{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.725481{col 74}{space 3} 2.373889
{txt}{space 14}2001  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.53766{col 33}{space 2} .1669666{col 44}{space 1}    9.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.210412{col 74}{space 3} 1.864909
{txt}{space 14}2002  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.520867{col 33}{space 2} .1647633{col 44}{space 1}   15.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 2.197937{col 74}{space 3} 2.843797
{txt}{space 14}2003  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.208625{col 33}{space 2} .1685524{col 44}{space 1}    7.17{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8782689{col 74}{space 3} 1.538982
{txt}{space 14}2004  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2288183{col 33}{space 2} .2201423{col 44}{space 1}    1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.299{col 61}{space 4}-.2026526{col 74}{space 3} .6602892
{txt}{space 14}2005  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9001852{col 33}{space 2} .1737491{col 44}{space 1}    5.18{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5596433{col 74}{space 3} 1.240727
{txt}{space 14}2006  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9878666{col 33}{space 2} .1718586{col 44}{space 1}    5.75{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}   .65103{col 74}{space 3} 1.324703
{txt}{space 14}2007  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7634865{col 33}{space 2} .1755074{col 44}{space 1}    4.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4194982{col 74}{space 3} 1.107475
{txt}{space 14}2008  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0251183{col 33}{space 2} .2385608{col 44}{space 1}   -0.11{col 53}{space 3}0.916{col 61}{space 4}-.4926889{col 74}{space 3} .4424524
{txt}{space 14}2009  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 14}2010  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1708085{col 33}{space 2} .2838177{col 44}{space 1}   -0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.547{col 61}{space 4} -.727081{col 74}{space 3} .3854639
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.500116{col 33}{space 2} .1718928{col 44}{space 1}  -14.54{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -2.83702{col 74}{space 3}-2.163213
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 8501 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.year, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:2009.year} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:2009.year} omitted and 12090 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15315.013}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11218.648}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9426.2741}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9227.6262}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9219.8065}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9219.6475}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9219.6467}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:275,659}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:41})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6458.48}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9219.6467}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.3980}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8423415{col 35}{space 2} .0950979{col 46}{space 1}    8.86{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6559531{col 76}{space 3}  1.02873
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0222025{col 35}{space 2} .0643486{col 46}{space 1}   -0.35{col 55}{space 3}0.730{col 63}{space 4}-.1483235{col 76}{space 3} .1039185
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1131635{col 35}{space 2} .0423051{col 46}{space 1}   -2.67{col 55}{space 3}0.007{col 63}{space 4}  -.19608{col 76}{space 3} -.030247
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0183953{col 35}{space 2} .0133106{col 46}{space 1}    1.38{col 55}{space 3}0.167{col 63}{space 4}-.0076931{col 76}{space 3} .0444836
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4566936{col 35}{space 2} .0383111{col 46}{space 1}  -11.92{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.531782{col 76}{space 3}-.3816052
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0386526{col 35}{space 2}  .002406{col 46}{space 1}  -16.06{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0433683{col 76}{space 3}-.0339369
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1996869{col 35}{space 2} .0593085{col 46}{space 1}    3.37{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} .0834444{col 76}{space 3} .3159293
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.339513{col 35}{space 2} .0090438{col 46}{space 1}  -37.54{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3572386{col 76}{space 3}-.3217874
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6886027{col 35}{space 2} .1445262{col 46}{space 1}    4.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4053366{col 76}{space 3} .9718688
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0200715{col 35}{space 2} .0075927{col 46}{space 1}   -2.64{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4}-.0349529{col 76}{space 3}-.0051901
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0119094{col 35}{space 2} .0449948{col 46}{space 1}   -0.26{col 55}{space 3}0.791{col 63}{space 4}-.1000976{col 76}{space 3} .0762789
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1277486{col 35}{space 2}   .02353{col 46}{space 1}   -5.43{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1738664{col 76}{space 3}-.0816307
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0143404{col 35}{space 2}   .00487{col 46}{space 1}   -2.94{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-.0238855{col 76}{space 3}-.0047953
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0153843{col 35}{space 2} .0070237{col 46}{space 1}    2.19{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4} .0016181{col 76}{space 3} .0291504
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0073969{col 35}{space 2} .0110335{col 46}{space 1}    0.67{col 55}{space 3}0.503{col 63}{space 4}-.0142284{col 76}{space 3} .0290221
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0147616{col 35}{space 2} .0025384{col 46}{space 1}    5.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0097865{col 76}{space 3} .0197368
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0002424{col 35}{space 2} .0000439{col 46}{space 1}   -5.53{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003284{col 76}{space 3}-.0001564
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 9.27e-07{col 35}{space 2} 1.79e-07{col 46}{space 1}    5.18{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 5.77e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.28e-06
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 17}year {c |}
{space 16}1987  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4063479{col 35}{space 2} .3345802{col 46}{space 1}   -1.21{col 55}{space 3}0.225{col 63}{space 4}-1.062113{col 76}{space 3} .2494171
{txt}{space 16}1988  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0465198{col 35}{space 2} .2507051{col 46}{space 1}    0.19{col 55}{space 3}0.853{col 63}{space 4}-.4448531{col 76}{space 3} .5378927
{txt}{space 16}1989  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4595125{col 35}{space 2} .3272586{col 46}{space 1}   -1.40{col 55}{space 3}0.160{col 63}{space 4}-1.100928{col 76}{space 3} .1819026
{txt}{space 16}1990  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.882463{col 35}{space 2} .1650254{col 46}{space 1}   11.41{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.559019{col 76}{space 3} 2.205907
{txt}{space 16}1991  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4711397{col 35}{space 2} .1921454{col 46}{space 1}    2.45{col 55}{space 3}0.014{col 63}{space 4} .0945416{col 76}{space 3} .8477378
{txt}{space 16}1992  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.088481{col 35}{space 2}  .168879{col 46}{space 1}    6.45{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .757484{col 76}{space 3} 1.419478
{txt}{space 16}1993  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}   1.0161{col 35}{space 2} .1697945{col 46}{space 1}    5.98{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6833088{col 76}{space 3} 1.348891
{txt}{space 16}1994  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5436055{col 35}{space 2} .1843514{col 46}{space 1}    2.95{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .1822833{col 76}{space 3} .9049276
{txt}{space 16}1995  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7694555{col 35}{space 2} .1753932{col 46}{space 1}    4.39{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4256912{col 76}{space 3}  1.11322
{txt}{space 16}1996  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7183856{col 35}{space 2} .1761351{col 46}{space 1}    4.08{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3731672{col 76}{space 3} 1.063604
{txt}{space 16}1997  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4798115{col 35}{space 2} .1894604{col 46}{space 1}    2.53{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}  .108476{col 76}{space 3}  .851147
{txt}{space 16}1998  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0874299{col 35}{space 2} .2190663{col 46}{space 1}    0.40{col 55}{space 3}0.690{col 63}{space 4}-.3419322{col 76}{space 3}  .516792
{txt}{space 16}1999  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1962702{col 35}{space 2} .2675668{col 46}{space 1}   -0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.463{col 63}{space 4}-.7206915{col 76}{space 3}  .328151
{txt}{space 16}2000  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.045736{col 35}{space 2} .1649193{col 46}{space 1}   12.40{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}   1.7225{col 76}{space 3} 2.368972
{txt}{space 16}2001  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.530467{col 35}{space 2} .1665508{col 46}{space 1}    9.19{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.204034{col 76}{space 3} 1.856901
{txt}{space 16}2002  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.514021{col 35}{space 2} .1642529{col 46}{space 1}   15.31{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 2.192092{col 76}{space 3} 2.835951
{txt}{space 16}2003  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.202802{col 35}{space 2} .1682061{col 46}{space 1}    7.15{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .8731238{col 76}{space 3}  1.53248
{txt}{space 16}2004  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2249693{col 35}{space 2} .2197371{col 46}{space 1}    1.02{col 55}{space 3}0.306{col 63}{space 4}-.2057076{col 76}{space 3} .6556462
{txt}{space 16}2005  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8939193{col 35}{space 2} .1733012{col 46}{space 1}    5.16{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5542551{col 76}{space 3} 1.233583
{txt}{space 16}2006  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .9807077{col 35}{space 2} .1713115{col 46}{space 1}    5.72{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6449433{col 76}{space 3} 1.316472
{txt}{space 16}2007  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .766676{col 35}{space 2} .1750678{col 46}{space 1}    4.38{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4235494{col 76}{space 3} 1.109803
{txt}{space 16}2008  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0306553{col 35}{space 2} .2383069{col 46}{space 1}   -0.13{col 55}{space 3}0.898{col 63}{space 4}-.4977282{col 76}{space 3} .4364176
{txt}{space 16}2009  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}2010  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1310006{col 35}{space 2} .2746791{col 46}{space 1}   -0.48{col 55}{space 3}0.633{col 63}{space 4}-.6693619{col 76}{space 3} .4073606
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.501881{col 35}{space 2} .1708673{col 46}{space 1}  -14.64{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.836774{col 76}{space 3}-2.166987
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 8119 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 5;
. *regional fixed effects;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.regiona i.regionb, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12510.959}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11704.427}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11647.295}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11646.942}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11646.942}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:24})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6788.28}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11646.942}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2453}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4932289{col 33}{space 2} .0544164{col 44}{space 1}    9.06{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3865747{col 74}{space 3} .5998831
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0219199{col 33}{space 2} .0369162{col 44}{space 1}    0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.553{col 61}{space 4}-.0504345{col 74}{space 3} .0942743
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.069395{col 33}{space 2}  .035554{col 44}{space 1}   -1.95{col 53}{space 3}0.051{col 61}{space 4}-.1390796{col 74}{space 3} .0002896
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0048586{col 33}{space 2}  .002021{col 44}{space 1}   -2.40{col 53}{space 3}0.016{col 61}{space 4}-.0088197{col 74}{space 3}-.0008975
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2209775{col 33}{space 2}  .052651{col 44}{space 1}    4.20{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1177833{col 74}{space 3} .3241717
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  -.21651{col 33}{space 2}  .010921{col 44}{space 1}  -19.83{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2379147{col 74}{space 3}-.1951052
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2864547{col 33}{space 2} .1118204{col 44}{space 1}    2.56{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .0672908{col 74}{space 3} .5056185
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0049802{col 33}{space 2} .0047514{col 44}{space 1}   -1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.295{col 61}{space 4}-.0142926{col 74}{space 3} .0043323
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0557302{col 33}{space 2} .0337563{col 44}{space 1}   -1.65{col 53}{space 3}0.099{col 61}{space 4}-.1218914{col 74}{space 3}  .010431
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0643689{col 33}{space 2} .0185306{col 44}{space 1}   -3.47{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.1006881{col 74}{space 3}-.0280496
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0131169{col 33}{space 2} .0038958{col 44}{space 1}    3.37{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0054812{col 74}{space 3} .0207525
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0004661{col 33}{space 2} .0049993{col 44}{space 1}    0.09{col 53}{space 3}0.926{col 61}{space 4}-.0093322{col 74}{space 3} .0102645
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1098182{col 33}{space 2} .0084534{col 44}{space 1}   12.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0932498{col 74}{space 3} .1263866
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0013933{col 33}{space 2}  .001863{col 44}{space 1}   -0.75{col 53}{space 3}0.455{col 61}{space 4}-.0050446{col 74}{space 3} .0022581
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0001006{col 33}{space 2} .0000318{col 44}{space 1}    3.17{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .0000384{col 74}{space 3} .0001629
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.74e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.29e-07{col 44}{space 1}   -3.67{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-7.28e-07{col 74}{space 3}-2.21e-07
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 12}regiona {c |}
{space 17}2  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0497105{col 33}{space 2} .0553022{col 44}{space 1}    0.90{col 53}{space 3}0.369{col 61}{space 4}-.0586798{col 74}{space 3} .1581009
{txt}{space 17}3  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.052391{col 33}{space 2} .0747081{col 44}{space 1}   14.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .9059657{col 74}{space 3} 1.198816
{txt}{space 17}4  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1021824{col 33}{space 2} .1191385{col 44}{space 1}    0.86{col 53}{space 3}0.391{col 61}{space 4}-.1313249{col 74}{space 3} .3356896
{txt}{space 17}5  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .585656{col 33}{space 2} .1550162{col 44}{space 1}    3.78{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2818298{col 74}{space 3} .8894822
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 12}regionb {c |}
{space 17}2  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.026786{col 33}{space 2} .1057155{col 44}{space 1}    9.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8195875{col 74}{space 3} 1.233985
{txt}{space 17}3  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7188505{col 33}{space 2} .1219684{col 44}{space 1}    5.89{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4797967{col 74}{space 3} .9579042
{txt}{space 17}4  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3102422{col 33}{space 2} .1287629{col 44}{space 1}    2.41{col 53}{space 3}0.016{col 61}{space 4} .0578716{col 74}{space 3} .5626129
{txt}{space 17}5  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2692611{col 33}{space 2} .1678606{col 44}{space 1}    1.60{col 53}{space 3}0.109{col 61}{space 4}-.0597397{col 74}{space 3} .5982618
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  -2.8818{col 33}{space 2} .1051942{col 44}{space 1}  -27.40{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.087977{col 74}{space 3}-2.675623
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.regiona i.regionb, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12495.183}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11693.008}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11635.291}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11634.914}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11634.914}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:26})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6868.32}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11634.914}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2461}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8447142{col 33}{space 2} .1168558{col 44}{space 1}    7.23{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6156811{col 74}{space 3} 1.073747
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1480123{col 33}{space 2} .0546117{col 44}{space 1}   -2.71{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4}-.2550493{col 74}{space 3}-.0409753
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1394197{col 33}{space 2} .0451268{col 44}{space 1}   -3.09{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.2278666{col 74}{space 3}-.0509728
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0655615{col 33}{space 2} .0137957{col 44}{space 1}    4.75{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0385225{col 74}{space 3} .0926005
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0715604{col 33}{space 2} .0354914{col 44}{space 1}   -2.02{col 53}{space 3}0.044{col 61}{space 4}-.1411222{col 74}{space 3}-.0019986
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0050003{col 33}{space 2}  .002023{col 44}{space 1}   -2.47{col 53}{space 3}0.013{col 61}{space 4}-.0089653{col 74}{space 3}-.0010354
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2283614{col 33}{space 2} .0518543{col 44}{space 1}    4.40{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1267288{col 74}{space 3}  .329994
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2177883{col 33}{space 2} .0111259{col 44}{space 1}  -19.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2395946{col 74}{space 3} -.195982
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .289305{col 33}{space 2} .1128672{col 44}{space 1}    2.56{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .0680895{col 74}{space 3} .5105206
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0053267{col 33}{space 2} .0048821{col 44}{space 1}   -1.09{col 53}{space 3}0.275{col 61}{space 4}-.0148953{col 74}{space 3}  .004242
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0559096{col 33}{space 2} .0338398{col 44}{space 1}   -1.65{col 53}{space 3}0.098{col 61}{space 4}-.1222345{col 74}{space 3} .0104153
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0655434{col 33}{space 2} .0185136{col 44}{space 1}   -3.54{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1018293{col 74}{space 3}-.0292575
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0131934{col 33}{space 2} .0038622{col 44}{space 1}    3.42{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0056236{col 74}{space 3} .0207632
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0002873{col 33}{space 2} .0049962{col 44}{space 1}    0.06{col 53}{space 3}0.954{col 61}{space 4}-.0095052{col 74}{space 3} .0100797
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1096473{col 33}{space 2}  .008472{col 44}{space 1}   12.94{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0930425{col 74}{space 3} .1262522
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0012916{col 33}{space 2}  .001861{col 44}{space 1}   -0.69{col 53}{space 3}0.488{col 61}{space 4} -.004939{col 74}{space 3} .0023558
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0000989{col 33}{space 2} .0000316{col 44}{space 1}    3.13{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}  .000037{col 74}{space 3} .0001608
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.67e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.28e-07{col 44}{space 1}   -3.65{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-7.17e-07{col 74}{space 3}-2.16e-07
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 12}regiona {c |}
{space 17}2  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0694094{col 33}{space 2} .0548533{col 44}{space 1}    1.27{col 53}{space 3}0.206{col 61}{space 4}-.0381012{col 74}{space 3}   .17692
{txt}{space 17}3  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.071742{col 33}{space 2} .0747155{col 44}{space 1}   14.34{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .9253028{col 74}{space 3} 1.218182
{txt}{space 17}4  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1140703{col 33}{space 2} .1193403{col 44}{space 1}    0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.339{col 61}{space 4}-.1198325{col 74}{space 3}  .347973
{txt}{space 17}5  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6032525{col 33}{space 2} .1553371{col 44}{space 1}    3.88{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2987974{col 74}{space 3} .9077076
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 12}regionb {c |}
{space 17}2  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.012703{col 33}{space 2} .1060309{col 44}{space 1}    9.55{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8048863{col 74}{space 3}  1.22052
{txt}{space 17}3  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6994778{col 33}{space 2} .1223135{col 44}{space 1}    5.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4597477{col 74}{space 3} .9392079
{txt}{space 17}4  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2931502{col 33}{space 2} .1290561{col 44}{space 1}    2.27{col 53}{space 3}0.023{col 61}{space 4} .0402049{col 74}{space 3} .5460955
{txt}{space 17}5  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2485817{col 33}{space 2} .1683397{col 44}{space 1}    1.48{col 53}{space 3}0.140{col 61}{space 4} -.081358{col 74}{space 3} .5785214
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.879046{col 33}{space 2} .1058495{col 44}{space 1}  -27.20{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.086507{col 74}{space 3}-2.671585
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 12 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.regiona i.regionb, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12506.259}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11699.906}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11642.888}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11642.539}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11642.539}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:26})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:6819.20}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11642.539}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2456}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6510054{col 35}{space 2} .0682327{col 46}{space 1}    9.54{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5172717{col 76}{space 3} .7847392
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0479729{col 35}{space 2} .0480137{col 46}{space 1}    1.00{col 55}{space 3}0.318{col 63}{space 4}-.0461322{col 76}{space 3}  .142078
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0868553{col 35}{space 2} .0254001{col 46}{space 1}   -3.42{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.1366386{col 76}{space 3}-.0370719
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0080559{col 35}{space 2} .0097072{col 46}{space 1}   -0.83{col 55}{space 3}0.407{col 63}{space 4}-.0270818{col 76}{space 3} .0109699
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0696833{col 35}{space 2} .0355359{col 46}{space 1}   -1.96{col 55}{space 3}0.050{col 63}{space 4}-.1393325{col 76}{space 3}-.0000342
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0048835{col 35}{space 2} .0020229{col 46}{space 1}   -2.41{col 55}{space 3}0.016{col 63}{space 4}-.0088483{col 76}{space 3}-.0009188
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2237979{col 35}{space 2} .0517502{col 46}{space 1}    4.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1223693{col 76}{space 3} .3252264
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2165842{col 35}{space 2} .0109388{col 46}{space 1}  -19.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2380239{col 76}{space 3}-.1951444
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2836105{col 35}{space 2} .1115595{col 46}{space 1}    2.54{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4} .0649578{col 76}{space 3} .5022632
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0048672{col 35}{space 2} .0047281{col 46}{space 1}   -1.03{col 55}{space 3}0.303{col 63}{space 4} -.014134{col 76}{space 3} .0043997
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0556211{col 35}{space 2} .0337639{col 46}{space 1}   -1.65{col 55}{space 3}0.099{col 63}{space 4}-.1217972{col 76}{space 3}  .010555
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0635744{col 35}{space 2} .0183817{col 46}{space 1}   -3.46{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0996018{col 76}{space 3} -.027547
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0148681{col 35}{space 2} .0034868{col 46}{space 1}    4.26{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0080341{col 76}{space 3}  .021702
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0004585{col 35}{space 2} .0050042{col 46}{space 1}    0.09{col 55}{space 3}0.927{col 63}{space 4}-.0093494{col 76}{space 3} .0102665
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1096391{col 35}{space 2} .0084652{col 46}{space 1}   12.95{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0930477{col 76}{space 3} .1262305
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0013875{col 35}{space 2}  .001861{col 46}{space 1}   -0.75{col 55}{space 3}0.456{col 63}{space 4} -.005035{col 76}{space 3}   .00226
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000998{col 35}{space 2} .0000317{col 46}{space 1}    3.15{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4} .0000377{col 76}{space 3} .0001619
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.69e-07{col 35}{space 2} 1.29e-07{col 46}{space 1}   -3.65{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-7.22e-07{col 76}{space 3}-2.17e-07
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 14}regiona {c |}
{space 19}2  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0461376{col 35}{space 2} .0552747{col 46}{space 1}    0.83{col 55}{space 3}0.404{col 63}{space 4}-.0621988{col 76}{space 3}  .154474
{txt}{space 19}3  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.048355{col 35}{space 2} .0746106{col 46}{space 1}   14.05{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .9021207{col 76}{space 3} 1.194589
{txt}{space 19}4  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1016228{col 35}{space 2} .1189829{col 46}{space 1}    0.85{col 55}{space 3}0.393{col 63}{space 4}-.1315794{col 76}{space 3}  .334825
{txt}{space 19}5  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5799985{col 35}{space 2} .1545693{col 46}{space 1}    3.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .2770482{col 76}{space 3} .8829488
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 14}regionb {c |}
{space 19}2  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.026007{col 35}{space 2} .1055707{col 46}{space 1}    9.72{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .8190926{col 76}{space 3} 1.232922
{txt}{space 19}3  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7214901{col 35}{space 2}  .121769{col 46}{space 1}    5.93{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4828273{col 76}{space 3} .9601528
{txt}{space 19}4  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3121281{col 35}{space 2} .1285694{col 46}{space 1}    2.43{col 55}{space 3}0.015{col 63}{space 4} .0601367{col 76}{space 3} .5641195
{txt}{space 19}5  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2701666{col 35}{space 2} .1677344{col 46}{space 1}    1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.107{col 63}{space 4}-.0585867{col 76}{space 3} .5989199
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.883589{col 35}{space 2} .1049433{col 46}{space 1}  -27.48{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-3.089274{col 76}{space 3}-2.677904
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 6;
. *country fixed effects;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.stateA i.stateB, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:41.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateA} omitted and 3696 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateA} omitted and 3671 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateA} omitted and 3646 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateA} omitted and 3621 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateA} omitted and 3596 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateA} omitted and 3471 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateA} omitted and 3396 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateA} omitted and 3371 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateA} omitted and 3346 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateA} omitted and 3138 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateA} omitted and 3247 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateA} omitted and 3222 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateA} omitted and 3197 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateA} omitted and 3172 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateA} omitted and 3147 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateA} omitted and 1098 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateA} omitted and 417 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateA} omitted and 309 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateA} omitted and 296 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateA} omitted and 470 obs not used.

note: {bf:600.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:600.stateA} omitted and 1192 obs not used.

note: {bf:630.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:630.stateA} omitted and 1067 obs not used.

note: {bf:640.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:640.stateA} omitted and 1042 obs not used.

note: {bf:651.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:651.stateA} omitted and 999 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateA} omitted and 974 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateA} omitted and 378 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateA} omitted and 122 obs not used.

note: {bf:679.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:679.stateA} omitted and 742 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateA} omitted and 148 obs not used.

note: {bf:698.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:698.stateA} omitted and 736 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateA} omitted and 345 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateA} omitted and 554 obs not used.

note: {bf:750.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:750.stateA} omitted and 454 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateA} omitted and 429 obs not used.

note: {bf:770.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:770.stateA} omitted and 404 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateA} omitted and 304 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateA} omitted and 279 obs not used.

note: {bf:812.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:812.stateA} omitted and 232 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateA} omitted and 207 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateA} omitted and 182 obs not used.

note: {bf:840.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:840.stateA} omitted and 157 obs not used.

note: {bf:860.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:860.stateA} omitted and 39 obs not used.

note: {bf:910.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:910.stateA} omitted and 74 obs not used.

note: {bf:920.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:920.stateA} omitted and 49 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateA} omitted and 24 obs not used.

note: {bf:40.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:40.stateB} omitted and 50 obs not used.

note: {bf:41.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:90.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:90.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateB} omitted and 175 obs not used.

note: {bf:100.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:100.stateB} omitted and 200 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:130.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:130.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:135.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:135.stateB} omitted and 250 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateB} omitted and 264 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateB} omitted and 153 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateB} omitted and 76 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateB} omitted and 57 obs not used.

note: {bf:343.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:343.stateB} omitted and 461 obs not used.

note: {bf:346.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:346.stateB} omitted and 59 obs not used.

note: {bf:402.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:402.stateB} omitted and 1120 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateB} omitted and 311 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateB} omitted and 536 obs not used.

note: {bf:645.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:645.stateB} omitted and 1617 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateB} omitted and 891 obs not used.

note: {bf:663.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:663.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateB} omitted and 332 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateB} omitted and 416 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateB} omitted and 1190 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:731.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:731.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:771.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:771.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:775.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:775.stateB} omitted and 2723 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:850.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:850.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateB} omitted and 2727 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -14107.03}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11158.645}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -10322.64}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10211.575}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10201.138}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10200.638}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10200.637}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 55}{lalign 14:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:177,583}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(256)}}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10200.637}{col 55}{lalign 14:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2769}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:8,105} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8671526{col 33}{space 2} .0845775{col 44}{space 1}   10.25{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7013838{col 74}{space 3} 1.032921
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0090195{col 33}{space 2} .0444474{col 44}{space 1}    0.20{col 53}{space 3}0.839{col 61}{space 4}-.0780958{col 74}{space 3} .0961348
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1037535{col 33}{space 2}  .048408{col 44}{space 1}   -2.14{col 53}{space 3}0.032{col 61}{space 4}-.1986313{col 74}{space 3}-.0088756
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0092164{col 33}{space 2} .0025405{col 44}{space 1}   -3.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0141957{col 74}{space 3}-.0042371
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.360472{col 33}{space 2} .1944137{col 44}{space 1}   -7.00{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.741516{col 74}{space 3} -.979428
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2999222{col 33}{space 2} .0130692{col 44}{space 1}  -22.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3255374{col 74}{space 3} -.274307
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .339913{col 33}{space 2}  .104234{col 44}{space 1}    3.26{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}  .135618{col 74}{space 3} .5442079
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0045936{col 33}{space 2} .0038869{col 44}{space 1}    1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.237{col 61}{space 4}-.0030245{col 74}{space 3} .0122117
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0180434{col 33}{space 2} .0369466{col 44}{space 1}    0.49{col 53}{space 3}0.625{col 61}{space 4}-.0543707{col 74}{space 3} .0904575
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0777545{col 33}{space 2} .0251596{col 44}{space 1}   -3.09{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.1270664{col 74}{space 3}-.0284425
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0283788{col 33}{space 2} .0047395{col 44}{space 1}   -5.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0376681{col 74}{space 3}-.0190895
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0115665{col 33}{space 2} .0083784{col 44}{space 1}    1.38{col 53}{space 3}0.167{col 61}{space 4}-.0048549{col 74}{space 3}  .027988
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1686471{col 33}{space 2} .0100281{col 44}{space 1}   16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1489924{col 74}{space 3} .1883018
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0173382{col 33}{space 2}  .002864{col 44}{space 1}    6.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0117249{col 74}{space 3} .0229514
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000929{col 33}{space 2} .0000467{col 44}{space 1}   -1.99{col 53}{space 3}0.047{col 61}{space 4}-.0001844{col 74}{space 3}-1.36e-06
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.02e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.83e-07{col 44}{space 1}    0.56{col 53}{space 3}0.578{col 61}{space 4}-2.57e-07{col 74}{space 3} 4.61e-07
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 13}stateA {c |}
{space 16}20  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.463487{col 33}{space 2} .2018103{col 44}{space 1}   -7.25{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.859028{col 74}{space 3}-1.067946
{txt}{space 16}40  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.138515{col 33}{space 2} .3184174{col 44}{space 1}   -6.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.762601{col 74}{space 3}-1.514428
{txt}{space 16}41  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}42  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}51  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}52  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}70  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}90  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.076161{col 33}{space 2} .2261163{col 44}{space 1}   -9.18{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.519341{col 74}{space 3}-1.632982
{txt}{space 16}91  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.998262{col 33}{space 2} .2563995{col 44}{space 1}   -7.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.500796{col 74}{space 3}-1.495728
{txt}{space 16}92  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -2.22246{col 33}{space 2}  .240881{col 44}{space 1}   -9.23{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.694578{col 74}{space 3}-1.750342
{txt}{space 16}93  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.420147{col 33}{space 2} .2847679{col 44}{space 1}   -8.50{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.978282{col 74}{space 3}-1.862012
{txt}{space 16}94  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}95  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.113295{col 33}{space 2} .3868395{col 44}{space 1}   -5.46{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.871486{col 74}{space 3}-1.355104
{txt}{space 15}100  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.139764{col 33}{space 2} .3808567{col 44}{space 1}   -5.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.886229{col 74}{space 3}-1.393298
{txt}{space 15}101  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}110  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}115  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}135  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.910355{col 33}{space 2} .3682808{col 44}{space 1}   -5.19{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.632172{col 74}{space 3}-1.188538
{txt}{space 15}140  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}145  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}150  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}155  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}160  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}165  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}200  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  -1.1496{col 33}{space 2} .1250365{col 44}{space 1}   -9.19{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.394667{col 74}{space 3}-.9045326
{txt}{space 15}205  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.380628{col 33}{space 2} .2073669{col 44}{space 1}  -11.48{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -2.78706{col 74}{space 3}-1.974197
{txt}{space 15}210  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.393388{col 33}{space 2}  .203946{col 44}{space 1}  -11.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.793115{col 74}{space 3}-1.993661
{txt}{space 15}211  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.405945{col 33}{space 2} .2046753{col 44}{space 1}  -11.75{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.807101{col 74}{space 3}-2.004789
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{txt}{space 15}225  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}235  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.211548{col 33}{space 2} .2089859{col 44}{space 1}  -10.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.621153{col 74}{space 3}-1.801944
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{txt}{space 15}260  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}740  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.7024448{col 33}{space 2} .3146065{col 44}{space 1}   -2.23{col 53}{space 3}0.026{col 61}{space 4}-1.319062{col 74}{space 3}-.0858274
{txt}{space 15}750  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.5669312{col 33}{space 2} .2519374{col 44}{space 1}   -2.25{col 53}{space 3}0.024{col 61}{space 4}-1.060719{col 74}{space 3} -.073143
{txt}{space 15}760  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}770  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.081853{col 33}{space 2} .2532243{col 44}{space 1}   -4.27{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.578163{col 74}{space 3}-.5855424
{txt}{space 15}771  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}775  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}780  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.466533{col 33}{space 2}  .298715{col 44}{space 1}   -4.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.052004{col 74}{space 3}-.8810621
{txt}{space 15}790  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}800  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}811  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.571813{col 33}{space 2} .3859654{col 44}{space 1}   -4.07{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.328291{col 74}{space 3}-.8153344
{txt}{space 15}812  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.680898{col 33}{space 2} .3985724{col 44}{space 1}   -4.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.462085{col 74}{space 3}  -.89971
{txt}{space 15}820  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}830  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}840  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -1.08457{col 33}{space 2} .5894758{col 44}{space 1}   -1.84{col 53}{space 3}0.066{col 61}{space 4}-2.239921{col 74}{space 3} .0707813
{txt}{space 15}850  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}860  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1168834{col 33}{space 2} .3550925{col 44}{space 1}   -0.33{col 53}{space 3}0.742{col 61}{space 4}-.8128519{col 74}{space 3} .5790852
{txt}{space 15}900  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3238148{col 33}{space 2} .3550224{col 44}{space 1}   -0.91{col 53}{space 3}0.362{col 61}{space 4}-1.019646{col 74}{space 3} .3720163
{txt}{space 15}910  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.5255992{col 33}{space 2} .3399182{col 44}{space 1}   -1.55{col 53}{space 3}0.122{col 61}{space 4}-1.191827{col 74}{space 3} .1406283
{txt}{space 15}920  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4094379{col 33}{space 2} .4752122{col 44}{space 1}   -0.86{col 53}{space 3}0.389{col 61}{space 4}-1.340837{col 74}{space 3}  .521961
{txt}{space 15}940  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}950  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4221688{col 33}{space 2} .5077567{col 44}{space 1}   -0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.406{col 61}{space 4}-1.417354{col 74}{space 3} .5730161
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1863279{col 33}{space 2} .2021195{col 44}{space 1}   -0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.357{col 61}{space 4}-.5824749{col 74}{space 3}  .209819
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1823 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.stateA i.stateB, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:41.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateA} omitted and 3696 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateA} omitted and 3671 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateA} omitted and 3646 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateA} omitted and 3621 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateA} omitted and 3596 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateA} omitted and 3471 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateA} omitted and 3396 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateA} omitted and 3371 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateA} omitted and 3346 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateA} omitted and 3138 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateA} omitted and 3247 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateA} omitted and 3222 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateA} omitted and 3197 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateA} omitted and 3172 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateA} omitted and 3147 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateA} omitted and 1098 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateA} omitted and 417 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateA} omitted and 309 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateA} omitted and 296 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateA} omitted and 470 obs not used.

note: {bf:600.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:600.stateA} omitted and 1192 obs not used.

note: {bf:630.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:630.stateA} omitted and 1067 obs not used.

note: {bf:640.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:640.stateA} omitted and 1042 obs not used.

note: {bf:651.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:651.stateA} omitted and 999 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateA} omitted and 974 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateA} omitted and 378 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateA} omitted and 122 obs not used.

note: {bf:679.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:679.stateA} omitted and 742 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateA} omitted and 148 obs not used.

note: {bf:698.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:698.stateA} omitted and 736 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateA} omitted and 345 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateA} omitted and 554 obs not used.

note: {bf:750.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:750.stateA} omitted and 454 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateA} omitted and 429 obs not used.

note: {bf:770.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:770.stateA} omitted and 404 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateA} omitted and 304 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateA} omitted and 279 obs not used.

note: {bf:812.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:812.stateA} omitted and 232 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateA} omitted and 207 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateA} omitted and 182 obs not used.

note: {bf:840.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:840.stateA} omitted and 157 obs not used.

note: {bf:860.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:860.stateA} omitted and 39 obs not used.

note: {bf:910.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:910.stateA} omitted and 74 obs not used.

note: {bf:920.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:920.stateA} omitted and 49 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateA} omitted and 24 obs not used.

note: {bf:40.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:40.stateB} omitted and 50 obs not used.

note: {bf:41.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:90.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:90.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateB} omitted and 175 obs not used.

note: {bf:100.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:100.stateB} omitted and 200 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:130.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:130.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:135.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:135.stateB} omitted and 250 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateB} omitted and 264 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateB} omitted and 153 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateB} omitted and 76 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateB} omitted and 57 obs not used.

note: {bf:343.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:343.stateB} omitted and 461 obs not used.

note: {bf:346.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:346.stateB} omitted and 59 obs not used.

note: {bf:402.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:402.stateB} omitted and 1120 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateB} omitted and 311 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateB} omitted and 536 obs not used.

note: {bf:645.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:645.stateB} omitted and 1617 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateB} omitted and 891 obs not used.

note: {bf:663.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:663.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateB} omitted and 332 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateB} omitted and 416 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateB} omitted and 1190 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:731.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:731.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:771.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:771.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:775.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:775.stateB} omitted and 2723 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:850.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:850.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateB} omitted and 2727 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -14107.03}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11144.945}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -10316.49}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10206.134}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10195.895}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10195.402}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10195.401}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 55}{lalign 14:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:177,583}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(258)}}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10195.401}{col 55}{lalign 14:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2773}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:8,105} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.171982{col 33}{space 2} .1545523{col 44}{space 1}    7.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .8690654{col 74}{space 3} 1.474899
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1001165{col 33}{space 2} .0695364{col 44}{space 1}   -1.44{col 53}{space 3}0.150{col 61}{space 4}-.2364053{col 74}{space 3} .0361724
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1230604{col 33}{space 2} .0506494{col 44}{space 1}   -2.43{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4}-.2223315{col 74}{space 3}-.0237893
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0452344{col 33}{space 2} .0217725{col 44}{space 1}    2.08{col 53}{space 3}0.038{col 61}{space 4} .0025611{col 74}{space 3} .0879076
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.103903{col 33}{space 2}  .048339{col 44}{space 1}   -2.15{col 53}{space 3}0.032{col 61}{space 4}-.1986458{col 74}{space 3}-.0091602
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0092885{col 33}{space 2} .0025427{col 44}{space 1}   -3.65{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0142722{col 74}{space 3}-.0043049
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -1.34338{col 33}{space 2} .1933658{col 44}{space 1}   -6.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -1.72237{col 74}{space 3}-.9643898
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2983864{col 33}{space 2} .0133971{col 44}{space 1}  -22.27{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3246442{col 74}{space 3}-.2721286
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   .33923{col 33}{space 2}  .104162{col 44}{space 1}    3.26{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .1350762{col 74}{space 3} .5433838
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0044243{col 33}{space 2} .0039067{col 44}{space 1}    1.13{col 53}{space 3}0.257{col 61}{space 4}-.0032327{col 74}{space 3} .0120813
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0171264{col 33}{space 2} .0369546{col 44}{space 1}    0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.643{col 61}{space 4}-.0553032{col 74}{space 3}  .089556
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0809402{col 33}{space 2} .0254083{col 44}{space 1}   -3.19{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.1307395{col 74}{space 3}-.0311409
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0282322{col 33}{space 2} .0047491{col 44}{space 1}   -5.94{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0375402{col 74}{space 3}-.0189242
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .011175{col 33}{space 2} .0083715{col 44}{space 1}    1.33{col 53}{space 3}0.182{col 61}{space 4}-.0052329{col 74}{space 3} .0275828
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1683507{col 33}{space 2} .0100439{col 44}{space 1}   16.76{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1486651{col 74}{space 3} .1880364
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0172899{col 33}{space 2} .0028641{col 44}{space 1}    6.04{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0116764{col 74}{space 3} .0229035
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000926{col 33}{space 2} .0000467{col 44}{space 1}   -1.99{col 53}{space 3}0.047{col 61}{space 4}-.0001841{col 74}{space 3}-1.18e-06
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.02e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.83e-07{col 44}{space 1}    0.56{col 53}{space 3}0.577{col 61}{space 4}-2.57e-07{col 74}{space 3} 4.61e-07
{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 13}stateA {c |}
{space 16}20  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.417871{col 33}{space 2} .2018813{col 44}{space 1}   -7.02{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.813551{col 74}{space 3}-1.022191
{txt}{space 16}40  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.064786{col 33}{space 2} .3185035{col 44}{space 1}   -6.48{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.689041{col 74}{space 3}-1.440531
{txt}{space 16}41  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}42  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}51  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}52  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}70  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}90  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.024074{col 33}{space 2} .2259703{col 44}{space 1}   -8.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.466968{col 74}{space 3} -1.58118
{txt}{space 16}91  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.944244{col 33}{space 2} .2567758{col 44}{space 1}   -7.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.447515{col 74}{space 3}-1.440972
{txt}{space 16}92  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.168633{col 33}{space 2} .2413256{col 44}{space 1}   -8.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.641623{col 74}{space 3}-1.695644
{txt}{space 16}93  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.365732{col 33}{space 2} .2852421{col 44}{space 1}   -8.29{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.924797{col 74}{space 3}-1.806668
{txt}{space 16}94  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 16}95  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -2.06034{col 33}{space 2} .3854178{col 44}{space 1}   -5.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.815745{col 74}{space 3}-1.304935
{txt}{space 15}100  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.084585{col 33}{space 2} .3791385{col 44}{space 1}   -5.50{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.827683{col 74}{space 3}-1.341487
{txt}{space 15}101  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}110  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}115  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
{space 15}130  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.034832{col 33}{space 2} .3549833{col 44}{space 1}   -5.73{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.730586{col 74}{space 3}-1.339077
{txt}{space 15}135  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.854107{col 33}{space 2} .3669314{col 44}{space 1}   -5.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -2.57328{col 74}{space 3}-1.134935
{txt}{space 15}140  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}530  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}541  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3951311{col 33}{space 2}  .161309{col 44}{space 1}    2.45{col 53}{space 3}0.014{col 61}{space 4} .0789713{col 74}{space 3} .7112909
{txt}{space 15}551  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .138785{col 33}{space 2}  .157783{col 44}{space 1}    0.88{col 53}{space 3}0.379{col 61}{space 4}-.1704641{col 74}{space 3}  .448034
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{txt}{space 15}560  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2529352{col 33}{space 2} .1661734{col 44}{space 1}    1.52{col 53}{space 3}0.128{col 61}{space 4}-.0727587{col 74}{space 3} .5786291
{txt}{space 15}565  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4170064{col 33}{space 2} .1494013{col 44}{space 1}    2.79{col 53}{space 3}0.005{col 61}{space 4} .1241851{col 74}{space 3} .7098276
{txt}{space 15}570  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2970469{col 33}{space 2} .1558628{col 44}{space 1}    1.91{col 53}{space 3}0.057{col 61}{space 4}-.0084386{col 74}{space 3} .6025325
{txt}{space 15}571  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0723762{col 33}{space 2}  .157014{col 44}{space 1}    0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.645{col 61}{space 4}-.2353656{col 74}{space 3}  .380118
{txt}{space 15}572  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1248991{col 33}{space 2} .1588627{col 44}{space 1}    0.79{col 53}{space 3}0.432{col 61}{space 4} -.186466{col 74}{space 3} .4362642
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{txt}{space 15}581  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1180095{col 33}{space 2} .1631918{col 44}{space 1}    0.72{col 53}{space 3}0.470{col 61}{space 4}-.2018404{col 74}{space 3} .4378595
{txt}{space 15}590  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4328715{col 33}{space 2} .1681113{col 44}{space 1}    2.57{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .1033794{col 74}{space 3} .7623635
{txt}{space 15}600  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.724458{col 33}{space 2} .3469905{col 44}{space 1}   -4.97{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.404547{col 74}{space 3}-1.044369
{txt}{space 15}615  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .039342{col 33}{space 2} .1581264{col 44}{space 1}    0.25{col 53}{space 3}0.804{col 61}{space 4}  -.27058{col 74}{space 3}  .349264
{txt}{space 15}616  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0284293{col 33}{space 2} .1543528{col 44}{space 1}    0.18{col 53}{space 3}0.854{col 61}{space 4}-.2740967{col 74}{space 3} .3309553
{txt}{space 15}620  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.164505{col 33}{space 2} .1567379{col 44}{space 1}   -1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.294{col 61}{space 4}-.4717056{col 74}{space 3} .1426956
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{txt}{space 15}700  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}702  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3143129{col 33}{space 2} .2235225{col 44}{space 1}    1.41{col 53}{space 3}0.160{col 61}{space 4}-.1237832{col 74}{space 3}  .752409
{txt}{space 15}703  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4397232{col 33}{space 2} .2291433{col 44}{space 1}    1.92{col 53}{space 3}0.055{col 61}{space 4}-.0093894{col 74}{space 3} .8888358
{txt}{space 15}704  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4554979{col 33}{space 2} .2042799{col 44}{space 1}    2.23{col 53}{space 3}0.026{col 61}{space 4} .0551167{col 74}{space 3}  .855879
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{txt}{space 15}710  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.738027{col 33}{space 2} .2792713{col 44}{space 1}    6.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.190665{col 74}{space 3} 2.285389
{txt}{space 15}712  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.9208716{col 33}{space 2} .3181041{col 44}{space 1}   -2.89{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-1.544344{col 74}{space 3}-.2973989
{txt}{space 15}713  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}740  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.8064735{col 33}{space 2} .3243042{col 44}{space 1}   -2.49{col 53}{space 3}0.013{col 61}{space 4}-1.442098{col 74}{space 3}-.1708489
{txt}{space 15}750  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6698331{col 33}{space 2}  .261092{col 44}{space 1}   -2.57{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4}-1.181564{col 74}{space 3}-.1581021
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{txt}{space 15}771  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}820  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}850  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (empty)
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{txt}{space 15}920  {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.5258618{col 33}{space 2} .4840954{col 44}{space 1}   -1.09{col 53}{space 3}0.277{col 61}{space 4}-1.474671{col 74}{space 3} .4229477
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{txt}{space 19} {c |}
{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1530152{col 33}{space 2} .2073024{col 44}{space 1}   -0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.460{col 61}{space 4}-.5593204{col 74}{space 3} .2532901
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1736 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub i.stateA i.stateB, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:41.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateA} omitted and 3696 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateA} omitted and 3671 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateA} omitted and 3646 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateA} omitted and 3621 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateA} omitted and 3596 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateA} omitted and 3471 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateA} omitted and 3396 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateA} omitted and 3371 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateA} omitted and 3346 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateA} omitted and 3138 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateA} omitted and 3247 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateA} omitted and 3222 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateA} omitted and 3197 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateA} omitted and 3172 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateA} omitted and 3147 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateA} omitted and 1098 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateA} omitted and 417 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateA} omitted and 309 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateA} omitted and 296 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateA} omitted and 470 obs not used.

note: {bf:600.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:600.stateA} omitted and 1192 obs not used.

note: {bf:630.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:630.stateA} omitted and 1067 obs not used.

note: {bf:640.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:640.stateA} omitted and 1042 obs not used.

note: {bf:651.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:651.stateA} omitted and 999 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateA} omitted and 974 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateA} omitted and 378 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateA} omitted and 122 obs not used.

note: {bf:679.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:679.stateA} omitted and 742 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateA} omitted and 148 obs not used.

note: {bf:698.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:698.stateA} omitted and 736 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateA} omitted and 345 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateA} omitted and 554 obs not used.

note: {bf:750.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:750.stateA} omitted and 454 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateA} omitted and 429 obs not used.

note: {bf:770.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:770.stateA} omitted and 404 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateA} omitted and 304 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateA} omitted and 279 obs not used.

note: {bf:812.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:812.stateA} omitted and 232 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateA} omitted and 207 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateA} omitted and 182 obs not used.

note: {bf:840.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:840.stateA} omitted and 157 obs not used.

note: {bf:860.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:860.stateA} omitted and 39 obs not used.

note: {bf:910.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:910.stateA} omitted and 74 obs not used.

note: {bf:920.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:920.stateA} omitted and 49 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateA} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateA} omitted and 24 obs not used.

note: {bf:40.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:40.stateB} omitted and 50 obs not used.

note: {bf:41.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:41.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:42.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:42.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:51.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:51.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:52.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:52.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:70.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:70.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:90.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:90.stateB} omitted and 75 obs not used.

note: {bf:94.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:94.stateB} omitted and 175 obs not used.

note: {bf:100.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:100.stateB} omitted and 200 obs not used.

note: {bf:101.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:101.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:110.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:110.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:115.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:115.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:130.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:130.stateB} omitted and 225 obs not used.

note: {bf:135.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:135.stateB} omitted and 250 obs not used.

note: {bf:140.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:140.stateB} omitted and 264 obs not used.

note: {bf:145.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:145.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:150.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:150.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:155.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:155.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:160.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:160.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:165.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:165.stateB} omitted and 275 obs not used.

note: {bf:225.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:225.stateB} omitted and 153 obs not used.

note: {bf:260.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:260.stateB} omitted and 76 obs not used.

note: {bf:265.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:265.stateB} omitted and 57 obs not used.

note: {bf:343.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:343.stateB} omitted and 461 obs not used.

note: {bf:346.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:346.stateB} omitted and 59 obs not used.

note: {bf:402.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:402.stateB} omitted and 1120 obs not used.

note: {bf:520.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:520.stateB} omitted and 311 obs not used.

note: {bf:530.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:530.stateB} omitted and 536 obs not used.

note: {bf:645.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:645.stateB} omitted and 1617 obs not used.

note: {bf:652.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:652.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:660.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:660.stateB} omitted and 891 obs not used.

note: {bf:663.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:663.stateB} omitted and 2300 obs not used.

note: {bf:678.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:678.stateB} omitted and 332 obs not used.

note: {bf:680.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:680.stateB} omitted and 416 obs not used.

note: {bf:700.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:700.stateB} omitted and 1190 obs not used.

note: {bf:713.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:713.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:731.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:731.stateB} omitted and 2623 obs not used.

note: {bf:760.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:760.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:771.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:771.stateB} omitted and 2698 obs not used.

note: {bf:775.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:775.stateB} omitted and 2723 obs not used.

note: {bf:790.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:790.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:800.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:800.stateB} omitted and 2773 obs not used.

note: {bf:820.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:820.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:830.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:830.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:850.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:850.stateB} omitted and 2795 obs not used.

note: {bf:940.stateB} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:940.stateB} omitted and 2727 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -14107.03}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -11152.66}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10314.444}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10203.395}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10192.859}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10192.355}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10192.354}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10192.354}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 55}{lalign 14:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:177,583}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(258)}}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}{col 55}{lalign 14:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:.}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10192.354}{col 55}{lalign 14:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2775}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:8,105} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.192609{col 35}{space 2} .1109061{col 46}{space 1}   10.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .9752368{col 76}{space 3} 1.409981
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0451848{col 35}{space 2} .0524211{col 46}{space 1}    0.86{col 55}{space 3}0.389{col 63}{space 4}-.0575586{col 76}{space 3} .1479282
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1622598{col 35}{space 2}  .040968{col 46}{space 1}   -3.96{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2425556{col 76}{space 3}-.0819639
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0100383{col 35}{space 2} .0091573{col 46}{space 1}   -1.10{col 55}{space 3}0.273{col 63}{space 4}-.0279862{col 76}{space 3} .0079096
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.100937{col 35}{space 2} .0484038{col 46}{space 1}   -2.09{col 55}{space 3}0.037{col 63}{space 4}-.1958067{col 76}{space 3}-.0060673
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0090355{col 35}{space 2} .0025448{col 46}{space 1}   -3.55{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0140232{col 76}{space 3}-.0040478
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.384119{col 35}{space 2}  .192215{col 46}{space 1}   -7.20{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.760854{col 76}{space 3}-1.007385
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3001936{col 35}{space 2} .0131223{col 46}{space 1}  -22.88{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3259128{col 76}{space 3}-.2744744
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3377117{col 35}{space 2} .1046498{col 46}{space 1}    3.23{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}  .132602{col 76}{space 3} .5428215
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0046291{col 35}{space 2} .0038975{col 46}{space 1}    1.19{col 55}{space 3}0.235{col 63}{space 4}-.0030099{col 76}{space 3}  .012268
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0157486{col 35}{space 2} .0369065{col 46}{space 1}    0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.670{col 63}{space 4}-.0565869{col 76}{space 3}  .088084
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0770463{col 35}{space 2} .0251081{col 46}{space 1}   -3.07{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.1262572{col 76}{space 3}-.0278353
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0261357{col 35}{space 2} .0044292{col 46}{space 1}   -5.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0348167{col 76}{space 3}-.0174548
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0124077{col 35}{space 2}  .008356{col 46}{space 1}    1.48{col 55}{space 3}0.138{col 63}{space 4}-.0039697{col 76}{space 3} .0287852
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1699622{col 35}{space 2} .0100388{col 46}{space 1}   16.93{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1502865{col 76}{space 3}  .189638
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0174478{col 35}{space 2}  .002867{col 46}{space 1}    6.09{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0118286{col 76}{space 3} .0230669
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000965{col 35}{space 2} .0000468{col 46}{space 1}   -2.06{col 55}{space 3}0.039{col 63}{space 4}-.0001882{col 76}{space 3}-4.91e-06
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.18e-07{col 35}{space 2} 1.83e-07{col 46}{space 1}    0.64{col 55}{space 3}0.519{col 63}{space 4}-2.41e-07{col 76}{space 3} 4.78e-07
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 15}stateA {c |}
{space 18}20  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.481062{col 35}{space 2} .2019948{col 46}{space 1}   -7.33{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.876964{col 76}{space 3}-1.085159
{txt}{space 18}40  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.178569{col 35}{space 2} .3191746{col 46}{space 1}   -6.83{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.804139{col 76}{space 3}-1.552998
{txt}{space 18}41  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}42  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}51  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}52  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}70  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}90  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.102137{col 35}{space 2} .2269747{col 46}{space 1}   -9.26{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.546999{col 76}{space 3}-1.657275
{txt}{space 18}91  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.026964{col 35}{space 2} .2565886{col 46}{space 1}   -7.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.529869{col 76}{space 3} -1.52406
{txt}{space 18}92  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.249039{col 35}{space 2} .2412697{col 46}{space 1}   -9.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.721919{col 76}{space 3}-1.776159
{txt}{space 18}93  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.447135{col 35}{space 2}  .284593{col 46}{space 1}   -8.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-3.004927{col 76}{space 3}-1.889343
{txt}{space 18}94  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 18}95  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.137666{col 35}{space 2} .3869592{col 46}{space 1}   -5.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.896092{col 76}{space 3} -1.37924
{txt}{space 17}100  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.166289{col 35}{space 2} .3808896{col 46}{space 1}   -5.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.912819{col 76}{space 3}-1.419759
{txt}{space 17}101  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}110  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}115  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
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{space 17}155  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}160  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}165  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}200  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.155566{col 35}{space 2} .1255545{col 46}{space 1}   -9.20{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.401648{col 76}{space 3}-.9094833
{txt}{space 17}205  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.405897{col 35}{space 2}  .207948{col 46}{space 1}  -11.57{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.813468{col 76}{space 3}-1.998326
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{txt}{space 17}260  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
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{space 17}732  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4808457{col 35}{space 2} .4802748{col 46}{space 1}   -1.00{col 55}{space 3}0.317{col 63}{space 4}-1.422167{col 76}{space 3} .4604756
{txt}{space 17}740  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6814201{col 35}{space 2} .3144371{col 46}{space 1}   -2.17{col 55}{space 3}0.030{col 63}{space 4}-1.297705{col 76}{space 3}-.0651348
{txt}{space 17}750  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.551528{col 35}{space 2} .2520952{col 46}{space 1}   -2.19{col 55}{space 3}0.029{col 63}{space 4}-1.045626{col 76}{space 3}-.0574304
{txt}{space 17}760  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}770  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.062675{col 35}{space 2} .2530306{col 46}{space 1}   -4.20{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.558606{col 76}{space 3}-.5667438
{txt}{space 17}771  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}775  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}780  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.448106{col 35}{space 2} .2990558{col 46}{space 1}   -4.84{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.034245{col 76}{space 3}-.8619673
{txt}{space 17}790  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}800  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}811  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.621651{col 35}{space 2} .3949112{col 46}{space 1}   -4.11{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.395662{col 76}{space 3}-.8476392
{txt}{space 17}812  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.666742{col 35}{space 2} .3995168{col 46}{space 1}   -4.17{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -2.44978{col 76}{space 3}-.8837033
{txt}{space 17}820  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}830  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}840  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.072755{col 35}{space 2} .5937489{col 46}{space 1}   -1.81{col 55}{space 3}0.071{col 63}{space 4}-2.236482{col 76}{space 3} .0909713
{txt}{space 17}850  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}860  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1108144{col 35}{space 2}  .355564{col 46}{space 1}   -0.31{col 55}{space 3}0.755{col 63}{space 4} -.807707{col 76}{space 3} .5860782
{txt}{space 17}900  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3188631{col 35}{space 2} .3573981{col 46}{space 1}   -0.89{col 55}{space 3}0.372{col 63}{space 4}-1.019351{col 76}{space 3} .3816243
{txt}{space 17}910  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5101991{col 35}{space 2} .3408663{col 46}{space 1}   -1.50{col 55}{space 3}0.134{col 63}{space 4}-1.178285{col 76}{space 3} .1578865
{txt}{space 17}920  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3916754{col 35}{space 2} .4758472{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.410{col 63}{space 4}-1.324319{col 76}{space 3}  .540968
{txt}{space 17}940  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (empty)
{space 17}950  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4118385{col 35}{space 2} .5097252{col 46}{space 1}   -0.81{col 55}{space 3}0.419{col 63}{space 4}-1.410882{col 76}{space 3} .5872046
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1831449{col 35}{space 2}  .202028{col 46}{space 1}   -0.91{col 55}{space 3}0.365{col 63}{space 4}-.5791124{col 76}{space 3} .2128227
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1883 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 7;
. *dyad fixed effects;
. xtset dyad year
{res}
{col 1}{txt:Panel variable: }{res:dyadid}{txt: (unbalanced)}
{p 1 16 2}{txt:Time variable: }{res:year}{txt:, }{res:{bind:1986}}{txt: to }{res:{bind:2010}}{p_end}
{txt}{col 10}Delta: {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. xtlogit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 12,159 groups (248,058 obs) omitted because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
note: {bf:distance} omitted because of no within-group variance.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7439.7752}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -7094.136}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7088.6069}  (backed up)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7085.1662}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7082.5479}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -7082.534}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -7082.534}  
{res}
{txt}{col 1}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:39,691}
{txt}{col 1}{txt}Group variable: {res}dyadid{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of groups}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1,703}

{txt}{col 53}Obs per group:
{col 53}{ralign 16:min}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:avg}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:23.3}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:max}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:25}

{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:LR chi2({res:15})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1183.61}
{txt}Log likelihood = {res:-7082.534}{col 53}{lalign 16:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  Std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.812948{col 33}{space 2} .1558933{col 44}{space 1}   11.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.507403{col 74}{space 3} 2.118494
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0551945{col 33}{space 2} .0987475{col 44}{space 1}    0.56{col 53}{space 3}0.576{col 61}{space 4}-.1383471{col 74}{space 3}  .248736
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3938463{col 33}{space 2} .1162994{col 44}{space 1}   -3.39{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.6217889{col 74}{space 3}-.1659037
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0088614{col 33}{space 2} .0071649{col 44}{space 1}   -1.24{col 53}{space 3}0.216{col 61}{space 4}-.0229044{col 74}{space 3} .0051815
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.001624{col 33}{space 2} 1.091667{col 44}{space 1}   -6.41{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-9.141252{col 74}{space 3}-4.861996
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2412671{col 33}{space 2} .3041104{col 44}{space 1}    0.79{col 53}{space 3}0.428{col 61}{space 4}-.3547783{col 74}{space 3} .8373125
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0106349{col 33}{space 2} .0138483{col 44}{space 1}   -0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.443{col 61}{space 4} -.037777{col 74}{space 3} .0165073
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.260209{col 33}{space 2}  .307249{col 44}{space 1}   -4.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.862406{col 74}{space 3}-.6580117
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.202699{col 33}{space 2} .0493486{col 44}{space 1}   -4.11{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2994205{col 74}{space 3}-.1059775
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2554734{col 33}{space 2} .0172967{col 44}{space 1}  -14.77{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2893744{col 74}{space 3}-.2215725
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5557427{col 33}{space 2} .0619961{col 44}{space 1}    8.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4342327{col 74}{space 3} .6772528
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7537177{col 33}{space 2} .0408675{col 44}{space 1}   18.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6736188{col 74}{space 3} .8338165
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0804842{col 33}{space 2} .0096896{col 44}{space 1}    8.31{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .061493{col 74}{space 3} .0994755
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0004803{col 33}{space 2} .0001876{col 44}{space 1}   -2.56{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4}-.0008479{col 74}{space 3}-.0001126
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.26e-07{col 33}{space 2} 9.03e-07{col 44}{space 1}   -0.80{col 53}{space 3}0.421{col 61}{space 4}-2.50e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.04e-06
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. xtlogit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 12,159 groups (248,058 obs) omitted because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
note: {bf:distance} omitted because of no within-group variance.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7431.6555}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7086.0921}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -7080.557}  (backed up)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7077.0516}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7074.3415}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7074.3276}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7074.3276}  
{res}
{txt}{col 1}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:39,691}
{txt}{col 1}{txt}Group variable: {res}dyadid{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of groups}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1,703}

{txt}{col 53}Obs per group:
{col 53}{ralign 16:min}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:avg}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:23.3}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:max}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:25}

{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:LR chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1200.02}
{txt}Log likelihood = {res:-7074.3276}{col 53}{lalign 16:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  Std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.890693{col 33}{space 2} .3299276{col 44}{space 1}    8.76{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 2.244046{col 74}{space 3} 3.537339
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.014606{col 33}{space 2} .1890914{col 44}{space 1}   -0.08{col 53}{space 3}0.938{col 61}{space 4}-.3852183{col 74}{space 3} .3560062
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4688946{col 33}{space 2} .1290479{col 44}{space 1}   -3.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.7218239{col 74}{space 3}-.2159654
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0313444{col 33}{space 2} .0684327{col 44}{space 1}    0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.647{col 61}{space 4}-.1027812{col 74}{space 3} .1654699
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3993035{col 33}{space 2} .1163229{col 44}{space 1}   -3.43{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.6272922{col 74}{space 3}-.1713149
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0091807{col 33}{space 2} .0071766{col 44}{space 1}   -1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.201{col 61}{space 4}-.0232467{col 74}{space 3} .0048852
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.020919{col 33}{space 2} 1.094764{col 44}{space 1}   -6.41{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-9.166618{col 74}{space 3}-4.875221
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2346188{col 33}{space 2} .3051972{col 44}{space 1}    0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.442{col 61}{space 4}-.3635567{col 74}{space 3} .8327944
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0114418{col 33}{space 2} .0141021{col 44}{space 1}   -0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.417{col 61}{space 4}-.0390814{col 74}{space 3} .0161977
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.266887{col 33}{space 2}  .307724{col 44}{space 1}   -4.12{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.870015{col 74}{space 3}-.6637586
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2082965{col 33}{space 2} .0496559{col 44}{space 1}   -4.19{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3056202{col 74}{space 3}-.1109728
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2568853{col 33}{space 2} .0173588{col 44}{space 1}  -14.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.290908{col 74}{space 3}-.2228627
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5597188{col 33}{space 2} .0621237{col 44}{space 1}    9.01{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4379586{col 74}{space 3} .6814791
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .753106{col 33}{space 2} .0408967{col 44}{space 1}   18.41{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6729499{col 74}{space 3} .8332622
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0799614{col 33}{space 2}    .0097{col 44}{space 1}    8.24{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0609497{col 74}{space 3} .0989731
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0004684{col 33}{space 2} .0001877{col 44}{space 1}   -2.50{col 53}{space 3}0.013{col 61}{space 4}-.0008362{col 74}{space 3}-.0001006
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.66e-07{col 33}{space 2} 9.02e-07{col 44}{space 1}   -0.85{col 53}{space 3}0.396{col 61}{space 4}-2.53e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.00e-06
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. xtlogit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 12,159 groups (248,058 obs) omitted because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
note: {bf:distance} omitted because of no within-group variance.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7437.0147}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7090.0299}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7083.8787}  (backed up)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7079.6968}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7078.1809}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7078.1662}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-7078.1662}  
{res}
{txt}{col 1}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:39,691}
{txt}{col 1}{txt}Group variable: {res}dyadid{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:Number of groups}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1,703}

{txt}{col 53}Obs per group:
{col 53}{ralign 16:min}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:avg}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:23.3}
{txt}{col 53}{ralign 16:max}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:25}

{txt}{col 53}{lalign 16:LR chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1192.35}
{txt}Log likelihood = {res:-7078.1662}{col 53}{lalign 16:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  Std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.285189{col 35}{space 2} .2306083{col 46}{space 1}    9.91{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.833205{col 76}{space 3} 2.737173
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1011364{col 35}{space 2} .1167603{col 46}{space 1}    0.87{col 55}{space 3}0.386{col 63}{space 4}-.1277096{col 76}{space 3} .3299824
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2554785{col 35}{space 2} .1012287{col 46}{space 1}   -2.52{col 55}{space 3}0.012{col 63}{space 4}-.4538831{col 76}{space 3} -.057074
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0121151{col 35}{space 2} .0210615{col 46}{space 1}   -0.58{col 55}{space 3}0.565{col 63}{space 4}-.0533948{col 76}{space 3} .0291646
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3871993{col 35}{space 2} .1163918{col 46}{space 1}   -3.33{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -.615323{col 76}{space 3}-.1590756
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0083964{col 35}{space 2} .0071679{col 46}{space 1}   -1.17{col 55}{space 3}0.241{col 63}{space 4}-.0224452{col 76}{space 3} .0056524
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.018185{col 35}{space 2} 1.092729{col 46}{space 1}   -6.42{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-9.159895{col 76}{space 3}-4.876475
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2467253{col 35}{space 2} .3046455{col 46}{space 1}    0.81{col 55}{space 3}0.418{col 63}{space 4}-.3503689{col 76}{space 3} .8438195
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0108568{col 35}{space 2} .0139198{col 46}{space 1}   -0.78{col 55}{space 3}0.435{col 63}{space 4}-.0381391{col 76}{space 3} .0164255
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.242309{col 35}{space 2} .3073005{col 46}{space 1}   -4.04{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.844607{col 76}{space 3}-.6400111
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2038735{col 35}{space 2} .0496516{col 46}{space 1}   -4.11{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3011889{col 76}{space 3}-.1065582
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2527119{col 35}{space 2} .0173426{col 46}{space 1}  -14.57{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2867028{col 76}{space 3}-.2187211
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5588017{col 35}{space 2} .0620929{col 46}{space 1}    9.00{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4371018{col 76}{space 3} .6805017
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7560061{col 35}{space 2} .0409301{col 46}{space 1}   18.47{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6757845{col 76}{space 3} .8362277
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0812125{col 35}{space 2} .0097128{col 46}{space 1}    8.36{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0621759{col 76}{space 3} .1002492
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0004948{col 35}{space 2} .0001879{col 46}{space 1}   -2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} -.000863{col 76}{space 3}-.0001266
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-6.78e-07{col 35}{space 2} 9.03e-07{col 46}{space 1}   -0.75{col 55}{space 3}0.453{col 63}{space 4}-2.45e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.09e-06
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 8;
. **Address Pro-Western Bias and Strategic Use of Madness Adjectives;
. *// Control for affinity with the US;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub affinity_us_a affinity_us_b, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15046.617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12983.99}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12433.928}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12416.727}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -12416.6}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -12416.6}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,315}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:3241.84}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12416.6}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1748}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,703} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5951362{col 33}{space 2} .0639484{col 44}{space 1}    9.31{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4697997{col 74}{space 3} .7204726
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1193349{col 33}{space 2} .0370536{col 44}{space 1}    3.22{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0467111{col 74}{space 3} .1919586
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2222549{col 33}{space 2} .0325784{col 44}{space 1}   -6.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2861073{col 74}{space 3}-.1584024
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0222588{col 33}{space 2}  .001967{col 44}{space 1}  -11.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0261141{col 74}{space 3}-.0184034
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2342949{col 33}{space 2} .0471692{col 44}{space 1}    4.97{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1418451{col 74}{space 3} .3267448
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2661581{col 33}{space 2} .0059463{col 44}{space 1}  -44.76{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2778126{col 74}{space 3}-.2545036
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .580496{col 33}{space 2} .1230296{col 44}{space 1}    4.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3393624{col 74}{space 3} .8216296
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0216868{col 33}{space 2} .0067216{col 44}{space 1}   -3.23{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0348609{col 74}{space 3}-.0085128
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0519551{col 33}{space 2} .0352638{col 44}{space 1}   -1.47{col 53}{space 3}0.141{col 61}{space 4}-.1210708{col 74}{space 3} .0171607
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2039049{col 33}{space 2} .0199614{col 44}{space 1}  -10.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2430284{col 74}{space 3}-.1647813
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0015987{col 33}{space 2} .0038813{col 44}{space 1}   -0.41{col 53}{space 3}0.680{col 61}{space 4} -.009206{col 74}{space 3} .0060085
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0106468{col 33}{space 2} .0055206{col 44}{space 1}    1.93{col 53}{space 3}0.054{col 61}{space 4}-.0001734{col 74}{space 3}  .021467
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0772195{col 33}{space 2} .0097856{col 44}{space 1}    7.89{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}   .05804{col 74}{space 3}  .096399
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0218126{col 33}{space 2} .0021264{col 44}{space 1}   10.26{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0176449{col 74}{space 3} .0259803
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003536{col 33}{space 2} .0000353{col 44}{space 1}  -10.01{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004229{col 74}{space 3}-.0002844
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.37e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.56{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.09e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.65e-06
{txt}{space 6}affinity_us_a {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4683476{col 33}{space 2} .0379765{col 44}{space 1}  -12.33{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5427802{col 74}{space 3} -.393915
{txt}{space 6}affinity_us_b {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0723926{col 33}{space 2} .0322197{col 44}{space 1}    2.25{col 53}{space 3}0.025{col 61}{space 4} .0092431{col 74}{space 3} .1355422
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.705851{col 33}{space 2} .0485841{col 44}{space 1}  -35.11{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.801074{col 74}{space 3}-1.610628
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 44 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub affinity_us_a affinity_us_b, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15046.617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12976.04}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12424.473}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12405.965}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12405.824}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12405.824}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,315}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:20})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:3269.80}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12405.824}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1755}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,703} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9042496{col 33}{space 2} .1362985{col 44}{space 1}    6.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6371096{col 74}{space 3}  1.17139
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.041461{col 33}{space 2} .0581764{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.476{col 61}{space 4}-.1554846{col 74}{space 3} .0725627
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1217793{col 33}{space 2} .0470361{col 44}{space 1}   -2.59{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4}-.2139684{col 74}{space 3}-.0295901
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0621442{col 33}{space 2} .0154497{col 44}{space 1}    4.02{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0318633{col 74}{space 3} .0924251
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2232461{col 33}{space 2} .0325706{col 44}{space 1}   -6.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2870833{col 74}{space 3}-.1594089
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.022334{col 33}{space 2} .0019673{col 44}{space 1}  -11.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0261899{col 74}{space 3}-.0184781
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2401889{col 33}{space 2} .0467608{col 44}{space 1}    5.14{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1485394{col 74}{space 3} .3318384
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2680699{col 33}{space 2} .0061434{col 44}{space 1}  -43.64{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2801107{col 74}{space 3} -.256029
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5808999{col 33}{space 2} .1238114{col 44}{space 1}    4.69{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3382341{col 74}{space 3} .8235657
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0219119{col 33}{space 2} .0067783{col 44}{space 1}   -3.23{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0351972{col 74}{space 3}-.0086266
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0522112{col 33}{space 2} .0352877{col 44}{space 1}   -1.48{col 53}{space 3}0.139{col 61}{space 4}-.1213738{col 74}{space 3} .0169513
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2054657{col 33}{space 2} .0202643{col 44}{space 1}  -10.14{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.245183{col 74}{space 3}-.1657484
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0014611{col 33}{space 2} .0038604{col 44}{space 1}   -0.38{col 53}{space 3}0.705{col 61}{space 4}-.0090274{col 74}{space 3} .0061052
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0106252{col 33}{space 2} .0055184{col 44}{space 1}    1.93{col 53}{space 3}0.054{col 61}{space 4}-.0001907{col 74}{space 3} .0214411
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .077314{col 33}{space 2} .0097922{col 44}{space 1}    7.90{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0581216{col 74}{space 3} .0965064
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   .02198{col 33}{space 2} .0021347{col 44}{space 1}   10.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0177961{col 74}{space 3} .0261639
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.000357{col 33}{space 2} .0000354{col 44}{space 1}  -10.08{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004264{col 74}{space 3}-.0002875
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.38e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.67{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.10e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.66e-06
{txt}{space 6}affinity_us_a {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4656958{col 33}{space 2} .0378091{col 44}{space 1}  -12.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5398004{col 74}{space 3}-.3915913
{txt}{space 6}affinity_us_b {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0736406{col 33}{space 2} .0319146{col 44}{space 1}    2.31{col 53}{space 3}0.021{col 61}{space 4} .0110891{col 74}{space 3}  .136192
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.701536{col 33}{space 2} .0486842{col 44}{space 1}  -34.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.796955{col 74}{space 3}-1.606117
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 47 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub affinity_us_a affinity_us_b, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15046.617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12979.674}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12428.176}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12411.03}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12410.906}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12410.906}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,315}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:20})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:3333.58}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12410.906}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1752}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,703} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7734443{col 35}{space 2} .0785451{col 46}{space 1}    9.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6194987{col 76}{space 3} .9273899
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .087013{col 35}{space 2} .0529298{col 46}{space 1}    1.64{col 55}{space 3}0.100{col 63}{space 4}-.0167275{col 76}{space 3} .1907535
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1008924{col 35}{space 2} .0306859{col 46}{space 1}   -3.29{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.1610356{col 76}{space 3}-.0407491
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0101412{col 35}{space 2} .0113609{col 46}{space 1}    0.89{col 55}{space 3}0.372{col 63}{space 4}-.0121258{col 76}{space 3} .0324081
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2225294{col 35}{space 2} .0325424{col 46}{space 1}   -6.84{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2863114{col 76}{space 3}-.1587474
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0222903{col 35}{space 2} .0019695{col 46}{space 1}  -11.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0261504{col 76}{space 3}-.0184302
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .229579{col 35}{space 2} .0467729{col 46}{space 1}    4.91{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1379058{col 76}{space 3} .3212521
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.266271{col 35}{space 2} .0059277{col 46}{space 1}  -44.92{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2778891{col 76}{space 3}-.2546528
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5761415{col 35}{space 2} .1232114{col 46}{space 1}    4.68{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3346517{col 76}{space 3} .8176314
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0214501{col 35}{space 2} .0067154{col 46}{space 1}   -3.19{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0346121{col 76}{space 3}-.0082881
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0534323{col 35}{space 2} .0353214{col 46}{space 1}   -1.51{col 55}{space 3}0.130{col 63}{space 4} -.122661{col 76}{space 3} .0157965
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2030782{col 35}{space 2} .0196282{col 46}{space 1}  -10.35{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2415487{col 76}{space 3}-.1646077
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0020213{col 35}{space 2} .0033519{col 46}{space 1}   -0.60{col 55}{space 3}0.546{col 63}{space 4}-.0085909{col 76}{space 3} .0045483
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0105714{col 35}{space 2} .0055021{col 46}{space 1}    1.92{col 55}{space 3}0.055{col 63}{space 4}-.0002125{col 76}{space 3} .0213552
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0780872{col 35}{space 2} .0097417{col 46}{space 1}    8.02{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0589938{col 76}{space 3} .0971806
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0216713{col 35}{space 2} .0021269{col 46}{space 1}   10.19{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0175026{col 76}{space 3}   .02584
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003512{col 35}{space 2} .0000353{col 46}{space 1}   -9.95{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0004204{col 76}{space 3}-.0002821
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.36e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.08e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.64e-06
{txt}{space 8}affinity_us_a {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4673987{col 35}{space 2} .0379648{col 46}{space 1}  -12.31{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.5418084{col 76}{space 3} -.392989
{txt}{space 8}affinity_us_b {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .070928{col 35}{space 2} .0322558{col 46}{space 1}    2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4} .0077078{col 76}{space 3} .1341483
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.702303{col 35}{space 2} .0472296{col 46}{space 1}  -36.04{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.794872{col 76}{space 3}-1.609735
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 43 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 9;
. // Use only non-US sources
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15_nonus modcrazy15_nonus joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13487.262}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12952.529}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12937.11}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12936.978}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12936.978}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2771.15}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12936.978}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1617}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
reallycrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5445548{col 33}{space 2}   .05866{col 44}{space 1}    9.28{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4295833{col 74}{space 3} .6595263
{txt}{space 3}modcrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1071877{col 33}{space 2}  .037299{col 44}{space 1}    2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .0340829{col 74}{space 3} .1802925
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3264159{col 33}{space 2} .0279858{col 44}{space 1}  -11.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.381267{col 74}{space 3}-.2715648
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0294771{col 33}{space 2} .0017526{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0329121{col 74}{space 3}-.0260422
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0688261{col 33}{space 2} .0465666{col 44}{space 1}    1.48{col 53}{space 3}0.139{col 61}{space 4}-.0224428{col 74}{space 3}  .160095
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.260962{col 33}{space 2} .0060551{col 44}{space 1}  -43.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2728298{col 74}{space 3}-.2490943
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5740696{col 33}{space 2} .1188554{col 44}{space 1}    4.83{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3411173{col 74}{space 3} .8070218
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0207536{col 33}{space 2} .0066437{col 44}{space 1}   -3.12{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0337749{col 74}{space 3}-.0077322
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0364982{col 33}{space 2} .0346866{col 44}{space 1}   -1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.293{col 61}{space 4}-.1044827{col 74}{space 3} .0314863
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1193436{col 33}{space 2} .0203701{col 44}{space 1}   -5.86{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1592682{col 74}{space 3} -.079419
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0116135{col 33}{space 2}   .00404{col 44}{space 1}   -2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0195317{col 74}{space 3}-.0036954
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070971{col 33}{space 2} .0055454{col 44}{space 1}    1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.201{col 61}{space 4}-.0037717{col 74}{space 3} .0179659
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0758556{col 33}{space 2}  .009671{col 44}{space 1}    7.84{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0569008{col 74}{space 3} .0948104
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0198634{col 33}{space 2} .0020125{col 44}{space 1}    9.87{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .015919{col 74}{space 3} .0238078
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003317{col 33}{space 2} .0000345{col 44}{space 1}   -9.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003993{col 74}{space 3}-.0002642
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.29{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.55e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.522823{col 33}{space 2} .0438983{col 44}{space 1}  -34.69{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.608862{col 74}{space 3}-1.436784
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15_nonus modcrazy15_nonus reallycrazydistance_nonus modcrazydistance_nonus joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13483.602}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12944.97}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12926.522}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12926.348}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12926.348}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2809.06}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12926.348}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1624}

{txt}{ralign 91:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 26}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 27}{c |}{col 39}    Robust
{col 1}                   nonagg{col 27}{c |} Coefficient{col 39}  std. err.{col 51}      z{col 59}   P>|z|{col 67}     [95% con{col 80}f. interval]
{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .7949083{col 39}{space 2} .1210117{col 50}{space 1}    6.57{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .5577298{col 80}{space 3} 1.032087
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0704932{col 39}{space 2} .0568397{col 50}{space 1}   -1.24{col 59}{space 3}0.215{col 67}{space 4} -.181897{col 80}{space 3} .0409106
{txt}reallycrazydistance_nonus {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.1010894{col 39}{space 2} .0431195{col 50}{space 1}   -2.34{col 59}{space 3}0.019{col 67}{space 4}-.1856021{col 80}{space 3}-.0165766
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistance_nonus {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0690818{col 39}{space 2} .0147543{col 50}{space 1}    4.68{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .0401638{col 80}{space 3} .0979998
{txt}{space 10}joint_democracy {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} -.326836{col 39}{space 2} .0279495{col 50}{space 1}  -11.69{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.3816161{col 80}{space 3}-.2720559
{txt}{space 14}polity_diff {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0295232{col 39}{space 2} .0017537{col 50}{space 1}  -16.83{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.0329604{col 80}{space 3}-.0260859
{txt}{space 15}majorpower {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0752993{col 39}{space 2} .0459926{col 50}{space 1}    1.64{col 59}{space 3}0.102{col 67}{space 4}-.0148445{col 80}{space 3} .1654431
{txt}{space 17}distance {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.2638521{col 39}{space 2} .0062901{col 50}{space 1}  -41.95{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.2761804{col 80}{space 3}-.2515238
{txt}{space 18}rivalry {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .5739049{col 39}{space 2} .1195559{col 50}{space 1}    4.80{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .3395797{col 80}{space 3} .8082301
{txt}{space 13}rivalry_time {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0209164{col 39}{space 2} .0067165{col 50}{space 1}   -3.11{col 59}{space 3}0.002{col 67}{space 4}-.0340804{col 80}{space 3}-.0077524
{txt}{space 21}cinc {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0368221{col 39}{space 2} .0347188{col 50}{space 1}   -1.06{col 59}{space 3}0.289{col 67}{space 4}-.1048697{col 80}{space 3} .0312254
{txt}{space 13}madrecentmid {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.1204548{col 39}{space 2} .0204117{col 50}{space 1}   -5.90{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.1604611{col 80}{space 3}-.0804486
{txt}{space 6}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0114722{col 39}{space 2} .0040235{col 50}{space 1}   -2.85{col 59}{space 3}0.004{col 67}{space 4}-.0193582{col 80}{space 3}-.0035863
{txt}{space 8}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0070768{col 39}{space 2} .0055407{col 50}{space 1}    1.28{col 59}{space 3}0.202{col 67}{space 4}-.0037828{col 80}{space 3} .0179364
{txt}{space 8}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0759204{col 39}{space 2} .0096717{col 50}{space 1}    7.85{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .0569642{col 80}{space 3} .0948767
{txt}{space 17}peaceyrs {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0199632{col 39}{space 2} .0020141{col 50}{space 1}    9.91{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .0160156{col 80}{space 3} .0239108
{txt}{space 14}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} -.000334{col 39}{space 2} .0000344{col 50}{space 1}   -9.71{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.0004014{col 80}{space 3}-.0002666
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 39}{space 2} 1.37e-07{col 50}{space 1}    9.42{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} 1.02e-06{col 80}{space 3} 1.56e-06
{txt}{space 20}_cons {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-1.517217{col 39}{space 2} .0439748{col 50}{space 1}  -34.50{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-1.603406{col 80}{space 3}-1.431028
{txt}{hline 26}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15_nonus modcrazy15_nonus reallycrazynumberally_nonus modcrazynumberally_nonus joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13481.556}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12944.244}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12928.88}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12928.75}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12928.75}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2872.30}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12928.75}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1623}

{txt}{ralign 93:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 29}{c |}{col 41}    Robust
{col 1}                     nonagg{col 29}{c |} Coefficient{col 41}  std. err.{col 53}      z{col 61}   P>|z|{col 69}     [95% con{col 82}f. interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .7724662{col 41}{space 2} .0720341{col 52}{space 1}   10.72{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}  .631282{col 82}{space 3} .9136505
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15_nonus {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .1038252{col 41}{space 2} .0549854{col 52}{space 1}    1.89{col 61}{space 3}0.059{col 69}{space 4}-.0039442{col 82}{space 3} .2115945
{txt}reallycrazynumberally_nonus {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.1222311{col 41}{space 2} .0269731{col 52}{space 1}   -4.53{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.1750975{col 82}{space 3}-.0693647
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally_nonus {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0010727{col 41}{space 2} .0130349{col 52}{space 1}    0.08{col 61}{space 3}0.934{col 69}{space 4}-.0244753{col 82}{space 3} .0266207
{txt}{space 12}joint_democracy {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.3262446{col 41}{space 2} .0279302{col 52}{space 1}  -11.68{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.3809868{col 82}{space 3}-.2715024
{txt}{space 16}polity_diff {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} -.029497{col 41}{space 2} .0017553{col 52}{space 1}  -16.80{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.0329373{col 82}{space 3}-.0260566
{txt}{space 17}majorpower {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0665615{col 41}{space 2} .0460385{col 52}{space 1}    1.45{col 61}{space 3}0.148{col 69}{space 4}-.0236723{col 82}{space 3} .1567953
{txt}{space 19}distance {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.2611804{col 41}{space 2} .0060595{col 52}{space 1}  -43.10{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.2730567{col 82}{space 3}-.2493041
{txt}{space 20}rivalry {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .5701742{col 41}{space 2}  .118784{col 52}{space 1}    4.80{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} .3373619{col 82}{space 3} .8029865
{txt}{space 15}rivalry_time {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0205494{col 41}{space 2} .0066248{col 52}{space 1}   -3.10{col 61}{space 3}0.002{col 69}{space 4}-.0335338{col 82}{space 3}-.0075649
{txt}{space 23}cinc {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0376767{col 41}{space 2} .0347332{col 52}{space 1}   -1.08{col 61}{space 3}0.278{col 69}{space 4}-.1057525{col 82}{space 3} .0303991
{txt}{space 15}madrecentmid {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.1190608{col 41}{space 2} .0202309{col 52}{space 1}   -5.89{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.1587127{col 82}{space 3} -.079409
{txt}{space 8}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0106944{col 41}{space 2} .0034514{col 52}{space 1}   -3.10{col 61}{space 3}0.002{col 69}{space 4}-.0174589{col 82}{space 3}-.0039299
{txt}{space 10}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0070441{col 41}{space 2} .0055321{col 52}{space 1}    1.27{col 61}{space 3}0.203{col 69}{space 4}-.0037986{col 82}{space 3} .0178868
{txt}{space 10}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}  .076265{col 41}{space 2} .0096563{col 52}{space 1}    7.90{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} .0573389{col 82}{space 3}  .095191
{txt}{space 19}peaceyrs {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0198134{col 41}{space 2} .0020113{col 52}{space 1}    9.85{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} .0158714{col 82}{space 3} .0237554
{txt}{space 16}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0003315{col 41}{space 2} .0000344{col 52}{space 1}   -9.63{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-.0003989{col 82}{space 3} -.000264
{txt}{space 15}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 41}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 52}{space 1}    9.30{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 82}{space 3} 1.55e-06
{txt}{space 22}_cons {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-1.522853{col 41}{space 2} .0427468{col 52}{space 1}  -35.62{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4}-1.606636{col 82}{space 3}-1.439071
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 10;
. // Drop Major Western Countries;
. drop if stateA==2 | stateA==20 | stateA==200 | stateA==255 | stateA==220 | stateA==325 | stateA==740 | stateB==2 | stateB==20 | stateB==200 | stateB==255 | stateB==220 | stateB==325 | stateB==740
{txt}(27,696 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14482.761}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12601.878}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12039.751}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12025.602}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12025.461}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12025.461}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,374}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2638.10}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12025.461}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1697}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,717} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .585966{col 33}{space 2} .0618235{col 44}{space 1}    9.48{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4647942{col 74}{space 3} .7071378
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0529884{col 33}{space 2} .0444227{col 44}{space 1}    1.19{col 53}{space 3}0.233{col 61}{space 4}-.0340785{col 74}{space 3} .1400554
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3293395{col 33}{space 2} .0298144{col 44}{space 1}  -11.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3877745{col 74}{space 3}-.2709044
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0253697{col 33}{space 2}  .001802{col 44}{space 1}  -14.08{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0289016{col 74}{space 3}-.0218378
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4484245{col 33}{space 2} .0853976{col 44}{space 1}    5.25{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2810483{col 74}{space 3} .6158008
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2716468{col 33}{space 2} .0064569{col 44}{space 1}  -42.07{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2843022{col 74}{space 3}-.2589914
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5892057{col 33}{space 2} .1198914{col 44}{space 1}    4.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3542228{col 74}{space 3} .8241886
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0212044{col 33}{space 2} .0064468{col 44}{space 1}   -3.29{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0338398{col 74}{space 3} -.008569
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0671727{col 33}{space 2} .0363289{col 44}{space 1}   -1.85{col 53}{space 3}0.064{col 61}{space 4}-.1383761{col 74}{space 3} .0040306
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2067773{col 33}{space 2} .0197082{col 44}{space 1}  -10.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2454046{col 74}{space 3}  -.16815
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0098006{col 33}{space 2} .0043576{col 44}{space 1}   -2.25{col 53}{space 3}0.025{col 61}{space 4}-.0183412{col 74}{space 3}-.0012599
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0078552{col 33}{space 2}  .005851{col 44}{space 1}    1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.179{col 61}{space 4}-.0036126{col 74}{space 3} .0193229
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0903191{col 33}{space 2} .0098564{col 44}{space 1}    9.16{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0710008{col 74}{space 3} .1096374
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0250217{col 33}{space 2} .0023347{col 44}{space 1}   10.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0204458{col 74}{space 3} .0295977
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0004337{col 33}{space 2} .0000422{col 44}{space 1}  -10.27{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0005164{col 74}{space 3} -.000351
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.69e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.75e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.63{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.35e-06{col 74}{space 3} 2.03e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.551822{col 33}{space 2} .0482756{col 44}{space 1}  -32.15{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.646441{col 74}{space 3}-1.457204
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 65 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14482.761}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12597.637}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12034.133}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12018.273}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12018.118}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12018.118}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,374}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2693.98}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12018.118}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1702}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,717} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8128733{col 33}{space 2} .1263731{col 44}{space 1}    6.43{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5651866{col 74}{space 3}  1.06056
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1185792{col 33}{space 2} .0735037{col 44}{space 1}   -1.61{col 53}{space 3}0.107{col 61}{space 4}-.2626438{col 74}{space 3} .0254854
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0929444{col 33}{space 2} .0441531{col 44}{space 1}   -2.11{col 53}{space 3}0.035{col 61}{space 4}-.1794829{col 74}{space 3}-.0064059
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0679893{col 33}{space 2}  .019015{col 44}{space 1}    3.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0307205{col 74}{space 3} .1052581
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3298842{col 33}{space 2} .0298644{col 44}{space 1}  -11.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3884173{col 74}{space 3}-.2713511
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.025359{col 33}{space 2} .0018023{col 44}{space 1}  -14.07{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0288915{col 74}{space 3}-.0218265
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4518062{col 33}{space 2} .0852583{col 44}{space 1}    5.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .284703{col 74}{space 3} .6189094
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2728435{col 33}{space 2} .0066172{col 44}{space 1}  -41.23{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2858129{col 74}{space 3}-.2598741
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5903559{col 33}{space 2}   .12049{col 44}{space 1}    4.90{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3541998{col 74}{space 3}  .826512
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0213547{col 33}{space 2} .0065005{col 44}{space 1}   -3.29{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0340954{col 74}{space 3}-.0086139
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0672045{col 33}{space 2} .0363446{col 44}{space 1}   -1.85{col 53}{space 3}0.064{col 61}{space 4}-.1384386{col 74}{space 3} .0040297
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2076081{col 33}{space 2} .0199529{col 44}{space 1}  -10.40{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2467152{col 74}{space 3}-.1685011
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0097719{col 33}{space 2}  .004338{col 44}{space 1}   -2.25{col 53}{space 3}0.024{col 61}{space 4}-.0182742{col 74}{space 3}-.0012696
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0078402{col 33}{space 2} .0058489{col 44}{space 1}    1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.180{col 61}{space 4}-.0036234{col 74}{space 3} .0193037
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .090442{col 33}{space 2} .0098561{col 44}{space 1}    9.18{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0711244{col 74}{space 3} .1097596
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0250419{col 33}{space 2} .0023394{col 44}{space 1}   10.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0204567{col 74}{space 3} .0296271
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0004344{col 33}{space 2} .0000422{col 44}{space 1}  -10.29{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0005171{col 74}{space 3}-.0003516
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.69e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.75e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.35e-06{col 74}{space 3} 2.04e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.549056{col 33}{space 2} .0483222{col 44}{space 1}  -32.06{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.643766{col 74}{space 3}-1.454346
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 67 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14482.761}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12594.789}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12029.336}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12015.244}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12015.106}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12015.106}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:262,374}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2753.09}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12015.106}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1704}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,717} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8239882{col 35}{space 2} .0746272{col 46}{space 1}   11.04{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6777216{col 76}{space 3} .9702549
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0019995{col 35}{space 2} .0679144{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.977{col 63}{space 4}-.1311104{col 76}{space 3} .1351093
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1260696{col 35}{space 2}  .027025{col 46}{space 1}   -4.66{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1790377{col 76}{space 3}-.0731015
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0178668{col 35}{space 2} .0172705{col 46}{space 1}    1.03{col 55}{space 3}0.301{col 63}{space 4}-.0159828{col 76}{space 3} .0517164
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3285708{col 35}{space 2} .0298248{col 46}{space 1}  -11.02{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3870263{col 76}{space 3}-.2701153
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0254155{col 35}{space 2} .0018037{col 46}{space 1}  -14.09{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0289506{col 76}{space 3}-.0218804
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4427651{col 35}{space 2} .0841436{col 46}{space 1}    5.26{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .2778467{col 76}{space 3} .6076836
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2720433{col 35}{space 2} .0064384{col 46}{space 1}  -42.25{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2846623{col 76}{space 3}-.2594243
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5851997{col 35}{space 2} .1201072{col 46}{space 1}    4.87{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3497939{col 76}{space 3} .8206055
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0209531{col 35}{space 2} .0064357{col 46}{space 1}   -3.26{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0335668{col 76}{space 3}-.0083394
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0688826{col 35}{space 2} .0363876{col 46}{space 1}   -1.89{col 55}{space 3}0.058{col 63}{space 4}-.1402011{col 76}{space 3} .0024358
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2075676{col 35}{space 2}  .019219{col 46}{space 1}  -10.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.245236{col 76}{space 3}-.1698991
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0098354{col 35}{space 2} .0036017{col 46}{space 1}   -2.73{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4}-.0168947{col 76}{space 3}-.0027762
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0078009{col 35}{space 2} .0058172{col 46}{space 1}    1.34{col 55}{space 3}0.180{col 63}{space 4}-.0036007{col 76}{space 3} .0192025
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0912607{col 35}{space 2} .0098058{col 46}{space 1}    9.31{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0720417{col 76}{space 3} .1104797
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0249649{col 35}{space 2}  .002331{col 46}{space 1}   10.71{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0203962{col 76}{space 3} .0295336
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0004331{col 35}{space 2} .0000421{col 46}{space 1}  -10.29{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0005155{col 76}{space 3}-.0003506
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.69e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.75e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.66{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.35e-06{col 76}{space 3} 2.03e-06
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.548781{col 35}{space 2} .0465092{col 46}{space 1}  -33.30{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.639937{col 76}{space 3}-1.457625
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 67 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 11;
. use "C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. *drop rogue states;
. drop if rogue==1
{txt}(24,309 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14823.224}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12867.744}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12319.327}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12302.02}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12301.87}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12301.87}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:266,500}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2847.31}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12301.87}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1701}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,875} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8907903{col 33}{space 2} .0588207{col 44}{space 1}   15.14{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7755038{col 74}{space 3} 1.006077
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1117936{col 33}{space 2} .0391359{col 44}{space 1}    2.86{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .0350886{col 74}{space 3} .1884986
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3706635{col 33}{space 2} .0283261{col 44}{space 1}  -13.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.4261817{col 74}{space 3}-.3151454
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0304653{col 33}{space 2} .0018411{col 44}{space 1}  -16.55{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0340737{col 74}{space 3}-.0268569
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0208197{col 33}{space 2} .0468157{col 44}{space 1}    0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.657{col 61}{space 4}-.0709374{col 74}{space 3} .1125767
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2704428{col 33}{space 2} .0063181{col 44}{space 1}  -42.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.282826{col 74}{space 3}-.2580595
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4303889{col 33}{space 2} .1126426{col 44}{space 1}    3.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2096134{col 74}{space 3} .6511645
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0108037{col 33}{space 2} .0057268{col 44}{space 1}   -1.89{col 53}{space 3}0.059{col 61}{space 4} -.022028{col 74}{space 3} .0004206
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0475937{col 33}{space 2} .0356472{col 44}{space 1}   -1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.182{col 61}{space 4} -.117461{col 74}{space 3} .0222735
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0374061{col 33}{space 2} .0204562{col 44}{space 1}   -1.83{col 53}{space 3}0.067{col 61}{space 4}-.0774995{col 74}{space 3} .0026873
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0091528{col 33}{space 2} .0038313{col 44}{space 1}   -2.39{col 53}{space 3}0.017{col 61}{space 4} -.016662{col 74}{space 3}-.0016436
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0059609{col 33}{space 2}  .005658{col 44}{space 1}    1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.292{col 61}{space 4}-.0051286{col 74}{space 3} .0170504
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1020268{col 33}{space 2} .0096872{col 44}{space 1}   10.53{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0830403{col 74}{space 3} .1210134
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0193626{col 33}{space 2} .0020493{col 44}{space 1}    9.45{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0153461{col 74}{space 3} .0233791
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003168{col 33}{space 2} .0000348{col 44}{space 1}   -9.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.000385{col 74}{space 3}-.0002485
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.21e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.39e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 9.38e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.48e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.504351{col 33}{space 2} .0444578{col 44}{space 1}  -33.84{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.591487{col 74}{space 3}-1.417216
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14823.224}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12840.982}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12306.382}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12282.92}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12282.732}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12282.732}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:266,500}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2994.63}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12282.732}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1714}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,875} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.440219{col 33}{space 2} .1309913{col 44}{space 1}   10.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  1.18348{col 74}{space 3} 1.696957
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0699132{col 33}{space 2} .0586313{col 44}{space 1}   -1.19{col 53}{space 3}0.233{col 61}{space 4}-.1848285{col 74}{space 3} .0450021
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2002252{col 33}{space 2} .0501092{col 44}{space 1}   -4.00{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2984374{col 74}{space 3}-.1020129
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0698553{col 33}{space 2} .0153882{col 44}{space 1}    4.54{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0396951{col 74}{space 3} .1000156
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3707931{col 33}{space 2}  .028265{col 44}{space 1}  -13.12{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.4261915{col 74}{space 3}-.3153948
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0305286{col 33}{space 2} .0018411{col 44}{space 1}  -16.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0341372{col 74}{space 3}-.0269201
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0273538{col 33}{space 2} .0461488{col 44}{space 1}    0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.553{col 61}{space 4}-.0630962{col 74}{space 3} .1178039
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2715672{col 33}{space 2}  .006532{col 44}{space 1}  -41.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2843697{col 74}{space 3}-.2587647
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4257583{col 33}{space 2} .1119968{col 44}{space 1}    3.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2062486{col 74}{space 3} .6452681
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0105531{col 33}{space 2}  .005552{col 44}{space 1}   -1.90{col 53}{space 3}0.057{col 61}{space 4}-.0214348{col 74}{space 3} .0003285
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0476958{col 33}{space 2} .0357033{col 44}{space 1}   -1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.182{col 61}{space 4} -.117673{col 74}{space 3} .0222814
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0386638{col 33}{space 2} .0202251{col 44}{space 1}   -1.91{col 53}{space 3}0.056{col 61}{space 4}-.0783043{col 74}{space 3} .0009768
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0088946{col 33}{space 2} .0038096{col 44}{space 1}   -2.33{col 53}{space 3}0.020{col 61}{space 4}-.0163613{col 74}{space 3} -.001428
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0058897{col 33}{space 2} .0056473{col 44}{space 1}    1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.297{col 61}{space 4}-.0051788{col 74}{space 3} .0169582
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1023432{col 33}{space 2} .0096758{col 44}{space 1}   10.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0833791{col 74}{space 3} .1213074
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0193286{col 33}{space 2} .0020523{col 44}{space 1}    9.42{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0153062{col 74}{space 3}  .023351
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003166{col 33}{space 2} .0000348{col 44}{space 1}   -9.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003849{col 74}{space 3}-.0002484
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.21e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.76{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 9.41e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.48e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.501114{col 33}{space 2} .0445217{col 44}{space 1}  -33.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.588375{col 74}{space 3}-1.413853
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-14823.224}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12864.388}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12313.505}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12295.935}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12295.786}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12295.786}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:266,500}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2943.34}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12295.786}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1705}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:12,875} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  1.10097{col 35}{space 2} .0727179{col 46}{space 1}   15.14{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .9584457{col 76}{space 3} 1.243494
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0948048{col 35}{space 2} .0526223{col 46}{space 1}    1.80{col 55}{space 3}0.072{col 63}{space 4} -.008333{col 76}{space 3} .1979426
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1134822{col 35}{space 2} .0257531{col 46}{space 1}   -4.41{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1639573{col 76}{space 3}-.0630071
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0055251{col 35}{space 2}  .010598{col 46}{space 1}    0.52{col 55}{space 3}0.602{col 63}{space 4}-.0152466{col 76}{space 3} .0262967
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3687474{col 35}{space 2}  .028237{col 46}{space 1}  -13.06{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.4240909{col 76}{space 3} -.313404
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0304407{col 35}{space 2} .0018435{col 46}{space 1}  -16.51{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0340539{col 76}{space 3}-.0268275
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0178478{col 35}{space 2} .0465841{col 46}{space 1}    0.38{col 55}{space 3}0.702{col 63}{space 4}-.0734554{col 76}{space 3} .1091509
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2705242{col 35}{space 2} .0063086{col 46}{space 1}  -42.88{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2828888{col 76}{space 3}-.2581597
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4277618{col 35}{space 2} .1128235{col 46}{space 1}    3.79{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .2066317{col 76}{space 3} .6488918
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0107337{col 35}{space 2} .0057233{col 46}{space 1}   -1.88{col 55}{space 3}0.061{col 63}{space 4}-.0219512{col 76}{space 3} .0004838
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0481178{col 35}{space 2} .0356725{col 46}{space 1}   -1.35{col 55}{space 3}0.177{col 63}{space 4}-.1180345{col 76}{space 3}  .021799
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0377282{col 35}{space 2} .0204107{col 46}{space 1}   -1.85{col 55}{space 3}0.065{col 63}{space 4}-.0777324{col 76}{space 3} .0022759
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0091198{col 35}{space 2} .0033321{col 46}{space 1}   -2.74{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4}-.0156505{col 76}{space 3}-.0025891
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0058533{col 35}{space 2} .0056378{col 46}{space 1}    1.04{col 55}{space 3}0.299{col 63}{space 4}-.0051965{col 76}{space 3} .0169032
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1021219{col 35}{space 2} .0096954{col 46}{space 1}   10.53{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0831192{col 76}{space 3} .1211246
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0192817{col 35}{space 2} .0020465{col 46}{space 1}    9.42{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0152707{col 76}{space 3} .0232928
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003159{col 35}{space 2} .0000348{col 46}{space 1}   -9.09{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003841{col 76}{space 3}-.0002478
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.21e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.39e-07{col 46}{space 1}    8.72{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 9.36e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.48e-06
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.50235{col 35}{space 2} .0433828{col 46}{space 1}  -34.63{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.587378{col 76}{space 3}-1.417321
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 12;
. use "C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. *level of external threats;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincthreat, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13491.861}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12958.124}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12942.712}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12942.579}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12942.579}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2755.17}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12942.579}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1614}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5068792{col 33}{space 2}  .062928{col 44}{space 1}    8.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3835426{col 74}{space 3} .6302158
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .069723{col 33}{space 2} .0369312{col 44}{space 1}    1.89{col 53}{space 3}0.059{col 61}{space 4}-.0026608{col 74}{space 3} .1421068
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.315921{col 33}{space 2} .0291282{col 44}{space 1}  -10.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3730111{col 74}{space 3}-.2588308
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0292728{col 33}{space 2} .0017645{col 44}{space 1}  -16.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0327312{col 74}{space 3}-.0258145
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .076874{col 33}{space 2} .0462659{col 44}{space 1}    1.66{col 53}{space 3}0.097{col 61}{space 4}-.0138056{col 74}{space 3} .1675535
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2610977{col 33}{space 2} .0060703{col 44}{space 1}  -43.01{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2729953{col 74}{space 3}-.2492001
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5722929{col 33}{space 2} .1192446{col 44}{space 1}    4.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3385778{col 74}{space 3}  .806008
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0208998{col 33}{space 2} .0066826{col 44}{space 1}   -3.13{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0339976{col 74}{space 3}-.0078021
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0354456{col 33}{space 2} .0346893{col 44}{space 1}   -1.02{col 53}{space 3}0.307{col 61}{space 4}-.1034354{col 74}{space 3} .0325442
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1191318{col 33}{space 2} .0207843{col 44}{space 1}   -5.73{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1598683{col 74}{space 3}-.0783953
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0111735{col 33}{space 2}  .004066{col 44}{space 1}   -2.75{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}-.0191428{col 74}{space 3}-.0032043
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0072221{col 33}{space 2} .0055389{col 44}{space 1}    1.30{col 53}{space 3}0.192{col 61}{space 4}-.0036339{col 74}{space 3}  .018078
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0745206{col 33}{space 2} .0097094{col 44}{space 1}    7.68{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0554906{col 74}{space 3} .0935507
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0194074{col 33}{space 2} .0019844{col 44}{space 1}    9.78{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0155181{col 74}{space 3} .0232967
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003258{col 33}{space 2} .0000338{col 44}{space 1}   -9.64{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003921{col 74}{space 3}-.0002596
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.26e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.36e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.31{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 9.97e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.53e-06
{txt}{space 4}smallcincthreat {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0916629{col 33}{space 2}  .062899{col 44}{space 1}    1.46{col 53}{space 3}0.145{col 61}{space 4}-.0316168{col 74}{space 3} .2149427
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.542075{col 33}{space 2} .0473517{col 44}{space 1}  -32.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.634883{col 74}{space 3}-1.449268
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincthreat, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13487.685}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12949.99}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12932.02}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12931.852}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12931.852}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2787.42}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12931.852}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1621}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7239109{col 33}{space 2} .1303219{col 44}{space 1}    5.55{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4684846{col 74}{space 3} .9793371
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1186786{col 33}{space 2} .0564401{col 44}{space 1}   -2.10{col 53}{space 3}0.035{col 61}{space 4}-.2292992{col 74}{space 3}-.0080579
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0888905{col 33}{space 2} .0449522{col 44}{space 1}   -1.98{col 53}{space 3}0.048{col 61}{space 4}-.1769951{col 74}{space 3}-.0007858
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .073699{col 33}{space 2} .0148013{col 44}{space 1}    4.98{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .044689{col 74}{space 3}  .102709
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3163354{col 33}{space 2} .0291004{col 44}{space 1}  -10.87{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3733711{col 74}{space 3}-.2592997
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0292986{col 33}{space 2} .0017657{col 44}{space 1}  -16.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0327594{col 74}{space 3}-.0258378
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .083067{col 33}{space 2}  .045689{col 44}{space 1}    1.82{col 53}{space 3}0.069{col 61}{space 4}-.0064817{col 74}{space 3} .1726158
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2648194{col 33}{space 2} .0063086{col 44}{space 1}  -41.98{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.277184{col 74}{space 3}-.2524548
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5719267{col 33}{space 2} .1199348{col 44}{space 1}    4.77{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3368588{col 74}{space 3} .8069947
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0210692{col 33}{space 2}  .006758{col 44}{space 1}   -3.12{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.0343147{col 74}{space 3}-.0078238
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0357982{col 33}{space 2}   .03472{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.303{col 61}{space 4}-.1038482{col 74}{space 3} .0322517
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1204276{col 33}{space 2}  .020865{col 44}{space 1}   -5.77{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1613223{col 74}{space 3}-.0795329
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0110681{col 33}{space 2} .0040485{col 44}{space 1}   -2.73{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} -.019003{col 74}{space 3}-.0031333
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0071691{col 33}{space 2} .0055351{col 44}{space 1}    1.30{col 53}{space 3}0.195{col 61}{space 4}-.0036795{col 74}{space 3} .0180178
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0746789{col 33}{space 2} .0097083{col 44}{space 1}    7.69{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .055651{col 74}{space 3} .0937068
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .019513{col 33}{space 2} .0019892{col 44}{space 1}    9.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0156143{col 74}{space 3} .0234117
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003282{col 33}{space 2} .0000338{col 44}{space 1}   -9.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003945{col 74}{space 3} -.000262
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.35e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.54e-06
{txt}{space 4}smallcincthreat {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0911026{col 33}{space 2} .0628826{col 44}{space 1}    1.45{col 53}{space 3}0.147{col 61}{space 4}-.0321451{col 74}{space 3} .2143502
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.534303{col 33}{space 2} .0473115{col 44}{space 1}  -32.43{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.627032{col 74}{space 3}-1.441574
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincthreat, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13485.182}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12948.109}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12932.805}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12932.673}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12932.673}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2869.99}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12932.673}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1620}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .747439{col 35}{space 2} .0765755{col 46}{space 1}    9.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5973537{col 76}{space 3} .8975243
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0439814{col 35}{space 2} .0526663{col 46}{space 1}    0.84{col 55}{space 3}0.404{col 63}{space 4}-.0592427{col 76}{space 3} .1472055
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1279143{col 35}{space 2} .0280179{col 46}{space 1}   -4.57{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1828283{col 76}{space 3}-.0730003
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0082599{col 35}{space 2} .0112651{col 46}{space 1}    0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.463{col 63}{space 4}-.0138193{col 76}{space 3} .0303391
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3157164{col 35}{space 2} .0291084{col 46}{space 1}  -10.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3727679{col 76}{space 3} -.258665
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0292792{col 35}{space 2} .0017677{col 46}{space 1}  -16.56{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0327439{col 76}{space 3}-.0258144
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0725093{col 35}{space 2}  .045844{col 46}{space 1}    1.58{col 55}{space 3}0.114{col 63}{space 4}-.0173434{col 76}{space 3} .1623619
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2614426{col 35}{space 2} .0060612{col 46}{space 1}  -43.13{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2733224{col 76}{space 3}-.2495629
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5668407{col 35}{space 2} .1192477{col 46}{space 1}    4.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3331196{col 76}{space 3} .8005618
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0206143{col 35}{space 2} .0066582{col 46}{space 1}   -3.10{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.0336641{col 76}{space 3}-.0075644
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0372582{col 35}{space 2} .0347475{col 46}{space 1}   -1.07{col 55}{space 3}0.284{col 63}{space 4} -.105362{col 76}{space 3} .0308455
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1189249{col 35}{space 2}  .020626{col 46}{space 1}   -5.77{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1593512{col 76}{space 3}-.0784987
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.011033{col 35}{space 2} .0034647{col 46}{space 1}   -3.18{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0178237{col 76}{space 3}-.0042424
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0071647{col 35}{space 2} .0055127{col 46}{space 1}    1.30{col 55}{space 3}0.194{col 63}{space 4}-.0036401{col 76}{space 3} .0179695
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0753898{col 35}{space 2} .0096705{col 46}{space 1}    7.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0564359{col 76}{space 3} .0943437
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0193213{col 35}{space 2} .0019851{col 46}{space 1}    9.73{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0154306{col 76}{space 3}  .023212
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003248{col 35}{space 2} .0000338{col 46}{space 1}   -9.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.000391{col 76}{space 3}-.0002586
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.26e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.35e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.30{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 9.94e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.53e-06
{txt}{space 6}smallcincthreat {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0894864{col 35}{space 2}  .062662{col 46}{space 1}    1.43{col 55}{space 3}0.153{col 63}{space 4}-.0333289{col 76}{space 3} .2123016
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.538863{col 35}{space 2} .0458111{col 46}{space 1}  -33.59{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.628651{col 76}{space 3}-1.449075
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 13;
. *UN voting;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub UN_voting, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13920.887}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12040.569}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11555.023}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11534.382}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11534.294}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11534.294}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:272,478}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2965.50}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11534.294}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1714}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,661} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .610648{col 33}{space 2} .0621757{col 44}{space 1}    9.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4887858{col 74}{space 3} .7325101
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1569956{col 33}{space 2} .0382666{col 44}{space 1}    4.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0819944{col 74}{space 3} .2319969
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2320525{col 33}{space 2} .0304405{col 44}{space 1}   -7.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2917147{col 74}{space 3}-.1723902
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0140128{col 33}{space 2} .0020914{col 44}{space 1}   -6.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.018112{col 74}{space 3}-.0099137
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2278362{col 33}{space 2} .0463921{col 44}{space 1}    4.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1369094{col 74}{space 3}  .318763
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2402038{col 33}{space 2} .0059973{col 44}{space 1}  -40.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2519583{col 74}{space 3}-.2284493
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5272149{col 33}{space 2} .1173428{col 44}{space 1}    4.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2972272{col 74}{space 3} .7572026
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0164831{col 33}{space 2} .0067513{col 44}{space 1}   -2.44{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4}-.0297153{col 74}{space 3}-.0032508
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0668012{col 33}{space 2} .0362557{col 44}{space 1}   -1.84{col 53}{space 3}0.065{col 61}{space 4} -.137861{col 74}{space 3} .0042586
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1583117{col 33}{space 2} .0187604{col 44}{space 1}   -8.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1950813{col 74}{space 3} -.121542
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0094568{col 33}{space 2} .0042683{col 44}{space 1}   -2.22{col 53}{space 3}0.027{col 61}{space 4}-.0178226{col 74}{space 3}-.0010911
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0100413{col 33}{space 2} .0057564{col 44}{space 1}    1.74{col 53}{space 3}0.081{col 61}{space 4} -.001241{col 74}{space 3} .0213236
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0946952{col 33}{space 2} .0099973{col 44}{space 1}    9.47{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0751008{col 74}{space 3} .1142895
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0198564{col 33}{space 2} .0021521{col 44}{space 1}    9.23{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0156383{col 74}{space 3} .0240745
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003234{col 33}{space 2}  .000036{col 44}{space 1}   -8.98{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.000394{col 74}{space 3}-.0002528
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.25e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.44e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.67{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 9.67e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.53e-06
{txt}{space 10}UN_voting {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.599101{col 33}{space 2} .1017797{col 44}{space 1}   15.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.399616{col 74}{space 3} 1.798585
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.152029{col 33}{space 2} .1110999{col 44}{space 1}  -28.37{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -3.36978{col 74}{space 3}-2.934277
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1 failure and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub UN_voting, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13920.887}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12031.719}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11542.022}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11521.842}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11521.752}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11521.752}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:272,478}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:3011.55}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11521.752}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1723}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,661} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9265611{col 33}{space 2}  .127755{col 44}{space 1}    7.25{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .676166{col 74}{space 3} 1.176956
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0223168{col 33}{space 2} .0574801{col 44}{space 1}   -0.39{col 53}{space 3}0.698{col 61}{space 4}-.1349758{col 74}{space 3} .0903422
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1250682{col 33}{space 2} .0458164{col 44}{space 1}   -2.73{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}-.2148667{col 74}{space 3}-.0352698
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0690592{col 33}{space 2} .0144326{col 44}{space 1}    4.78{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0407718{col 74}{space 3} .0973467
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2318904{col 33}{space 2} .0304359{col 44}{space 1}   -7.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2915438{col 74}{space 3}-.1722371
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0140191{col 33}{space 2} .0020919{col 44}{space 1}   -6.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0181191{col 74}{space 3} -.009919
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2392156{col 33}{space 2} .0458853{col 44}{space 1}    5.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1492822{col 74}{space 3} .3291491
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2427023{col 33}{space 2} .0061898{col 44}{space 1}  -39.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2548342{col 74}{space 3}-.2305705
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5281527{col 33}{space 2}  .118305{col 44}{space 1}    4.46{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2962793{col 74}{space 3} .7600262
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0167809{col 33}{space 2} .0068088{col 44}{space 1}   -2.46{col 53}{space 3}0.014{col 61}{space 4}-.0301259{col 74}{space 3}-.0034358
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0672675{col 33}{space 2} .0362904{col 44}{space 1}   -1.85{col 53}{space 3}0.064{col 61}{space 4}-.1383955{col 74}{space 3} .0038604
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1598921{col 33}{space 2} .0189437{col 44}{space 1}   -8.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.197021{col 74}{space 3}-.1227632
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0093441{col 33}{space 2} .0042436{col 44}{space 1}   -2.20{col 53}{space 3}0.028{col 61}{space 4}-.0176614{col 74}{space 3}-.0010268
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0100479{col 33}{space 2} .0057545{col 44}{space 1}    1.75{col 53}{space 3}0.081{col 61}{space 4}-.0012308{col 74}{space 3} .0213266
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0945468{col 33}{space 2} .0100195{col 44}{space 1}    9.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0749088{col 74}{space 3} .1141847
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0200098{col 33}{space 2} .0021563{col 44}{space 1}    9.28{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0157836{col 74}{space 3} .0242361
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003263{col 33}{space 2}  .000036{col 44}{space 1}   -9.07{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003968{col 74}{space 3}-.0002558
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.26e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 9.82e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.54e-06
{txt}{space 10}UN_voting {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.604964{col 33}{space 2} .1016954{col 44}{space 1}   15.78{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.405645{col 74}{space 3} 1.804283
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -3.15401{col 33}{space 2} .1111623{col 44}{space 1}  -28.37{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.371884{col 74}{space 3}-2.936136
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1 failure and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub UN_voting, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13920.887}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12034.114}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11545.938}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11524.875}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11524.787}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11524.787}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:272,478}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:3058.56}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11524.787}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1721}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,661} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8881364{col 35}{space 2} .0788287{col 46}{space 1}   11.27{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .7336349{col 76}{space 3} 1.042638
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1515512{col 35}{space 2} .0565419{col 46}{space 1}    2.68{col 55}{space 3}0.007{col 63}{space 4} .0407311{col 76}{space 3} .2623714
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1500812{col 35}{space 2} .0334916{col 46}{space 1}   -4.48{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2157236{col 76}{space 3}-.0844388
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0017121{col 35}{space 2} .0132465{col 46}{space 1}    0.13{col 55}{space 3}0.897{col 63}{space 4}-.0242506{col 76}{space 3} .0276749
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.232205{col 35}{space 2} .0303806{col 46}{space 1}   -7.64{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2917498{col 76}{space 3}-.1726601
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0141246{col 35}{space 2} .0020927{col 46}{space 1}   -6.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0182262{col 76}{space 3} -.010023
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2242434{col 35}{space 2} .0460123{col 46}{space 1}    4.87{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1340609{col 76}{space 3} .3144259
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2405656{col 35}{space 2} .0059792{col 46}{space 1}  -40.23{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2522846{col 76}{space 3}-.2288466
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5207388{col 35}{space 2} .1172996{col 46}{space 1}    4.44{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .2908357{col 76}{space 3} .7506418
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0161774{col 35}{space 2} .0067191{col 46}{space 1}   -2.41{col 55}{space 3}0.016{col 63}{space 4}-.0293465{col 76}{space 3}-.0030083
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0679909{col 35}{space 2} .0363144{col 46}{space 1}   -1.87{col 55}{space 3}0.061{col 63}{space 4}-.1391658{col 76}{space 3} .0031839
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1577377{col 35}{space 2} .0184335{col 46}{space 1}   -8.56{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1938668{col 76}{space 3}-.1216087
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0086038{col 35}{space 2} .0036111{col 46}{space 1}   -2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-.0156814{col 76}{space 3}-.0015262
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0100068{col 35}{space 2} .0057332{col 46}{space 1}    1.75{col 55}{space 3}0.081{col 63}{space 4}-.0012301{col 76}{space 3} .0212436
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0956039{col 35}{space 2} .0099625{col 46}{space 1}    9.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0760777{col 76}{space 3}   .11513
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0198201{col 35}{space 2} .0021511{col 46}{space 1}    9.21{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .015604{col 76}{space 3} .0240361
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003235{col 35}{space 2}  .000036{col 46}{space 1}   -8.99{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.000394{col 76}{space 3} -.000253
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.25e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.44e-07{col 46}{space 1}    8.70{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 9.69e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.53e-06
{txt}{space 12}UN_voting {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.590555{col 35}{space 2} .1013304{col 46}{space 1}   15.70{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.391951{col 76}{space 3} 1.789159
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.143522{col 35}{space 2} .1092536{col 46}{space 1}  -28.77{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-3.357656{col 76}{space 3}-2.929389
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 14;
. *addtional controls;
. *interaction between cinc_per and number of alliances;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincallycincper, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -13489.09}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12956.092}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12940.434}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12940.298}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12940.298}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2760.14}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12940.298}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1615}

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}              nonagg{col 22}{c |} Coefficient{col 34}  std. err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% con{col 75}f. interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5095623{col 34}{space 2} .0629182{col 45}{space 1}    8.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .3862448{col 75}{space 3} .6328798
{txt}{space 10}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0739758{col 34}{space 2}  .036698{col 45}{space 1}    2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}  .002049{col 75}{space 3} .1459025
{txt}{space 5}joint_democracy {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3224676{col 34}{space 2} .0277843{col 45}{space 1}  -11.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3769238{col 75}{space 3}-.2680114
{txt}{space 9}polity_diff {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0293462{col 34}{space 2}  .001748{col 45}{space 1}  -16.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0327722{col 75}{space 3}-.0259202
{txt}{space 10}majorpower {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0697636{col 34}{space 2} .0451542{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.122{col 62}{space 4} -.018737{col 75}{space 3} .1582642
{txt}{space 12}distance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2600374{col 34}{space 2}  .006041{col 45}{space 1}  -43.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2718775{col 75}{space 3}-.2481972
{txt}{space 13}rivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5806005{col 34}{space 2} .1202978{col 45}{space 1}    4.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .3448213{col 75}{space 3} .8163798
{txt}{space 8}rivalry_time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0207735{col 34}{space 2}   .00664{col 45}{space 1}   -3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.0337876{col 75}{space 3}-.0077594
{txt}{space 16}cinc {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0230127{col 34}{space 2} .0445667{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.606{col 62}{space 4}-.0643365{col 75}{space 3} .1103619
{txt}{space 8}madrecentmid {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1219391{col 34}{space 2} .0208039{col 45}{space 1}   -5.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.162714{col 75}{space 3}-.0811641
{txt}{space 1}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0027168{col 34}{space 2} .0061801{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.660{col 62}{space 4}-.0148295{col 75}{space 3} .0093959
{txt}{space 3}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0066705{col 34}{space 2} .0055543{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.230{col 62}{space 4}-.0042158{col 75}{space 3} .0175568
{txt}{space 3}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0751108{col 34}{space 2} .0096993{col 45}{space 1}    7.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0561005{col 75}{space 3} .0941212
{txt}{space 12}peaceyrs {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0202632{col 34}{space 2} .0020168{col 45}{space 1}   10.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0163103{col 75}{space 3} .0242161
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.000338{col 34}{space 2} .0000345{col 45}{space 1}   -9.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0004057{col 75}{space 3}-.0002704
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.31e-06{col 34}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 45}{space 1}    9.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1.04e-06{col 75}{space 3} 1.58e-06
{txt}smallcincallycincper {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0239582{col 34}{space 2} .0123056{col 45}{space 1}   -1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-.0480767{col 75}{space 3} .0001603
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.548549{col 34}{space 2} .0450878{col 45}{space 1}  -34.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1.63692{col 75}{space 3}-1.460179
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincallycincper, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -13484.89}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12947.919}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12929.735}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12929.564}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12929.564}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2794.60}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12929.564}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1622}

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}              nonagg{col 22}{c |} Coefficient{col 34}  std. err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% con{col 75}f. interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .730083{col 34}{space 2} .1303831{col 45}{space 1}    5.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .4745368{col 75}{space 3} .9856292
{txt}{space 10}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1130879{col 34}{space 2} .0562657{col 45}{space 1}   -2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-.2233666{col 75}{space 3}-.0028093
{txt}{space 1}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0902756{col 34}{space 2} .0450174{col 45}{space 1}   -2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} -.178508{col 75}{space 3}-.0020432
{txt}{space 4}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0730981{col 34}{space 2} .0147801{col 45}{space 1}    4.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0441296{col 75}{space 3} .1020666
{txt}{space 5}joint_democracy {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3228367{col 34}{space 2}  .027764{col 45}{space 1}  -11.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.377253{col 75}{space 3}-.2684203
{txt}{space 9}polity_diff {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0293718{col 34}{space 2} .0017492{col 45}{space 1}  -16.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0328002{col 75}{space 3}-.0259434
{txt}{space 10}majorpower {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0761033{col 34}{space 2} .0445921{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-.0112955{col 75}{space 3} .1635022
{txt}{space 12}distance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2636807{col 34}{space 2} .0062716{col 45}{space 1}  -42.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2759728{col 75}{space 3}-.2513886
{txt}{space 13}rivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5802536{col 34}{space 2} .1209781{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .343141{col 75}{space 3} .8173663
{txt}{space 8}rivalry_time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0209452{col 34}{space 2} .0067142{col 45}{space 1}   -3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.0341048{col 75}{space 3}-.0077855
{txt}{space 16}cinc {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .022675{col 34}{space 2}  .044675{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.612{col 62}{space 4}-.0648863{col 75}{space 3} .1102363
{txt}{space 8}madrecentmid {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1232126{col 34}{space 2} .0208849{col 45}{space 1}   -5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1641462{col 75}{space 3}-.0822789
{txt}{space 1}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0026229{col 34}{space 2} .0061721{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.671{col 62}{space 4}-.0147199{col 75}{space 3} .0094741
{txt}{space 3}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0066225{col 34}{space 2} .0055513{col 45}{space 1}    1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-.0042577{col 75}{space 3} .0175028
{txt}{space 3}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .075259{col 34}{space 2} .0096988{col 45}{space 1}    7.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0562497{col 75}{space 3} .0942683
{txt}{space 12}peaceyrs {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0203596{col 34}{space 2} .0020196{col 45}{space 1}   10.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0164013{col 75}{space 3} .0243179
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0003403{col 34}{space 2} .0000345{col 45}{space 1}   -9.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0004078{col 75}{space 3}-.0002727
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.32e-06{col 34}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 45}{space 1}    9.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1.05e-06{col 75}{space 3} 1.59e-06
{txt}smallcincallycincper {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -.02399{col 34}{space 2} .0123504{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-.0481964{col 75}{space 3} .0002164
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.540985{col 34}{space 2} .0451359{col 45}{space 1}  -34.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1.62945{col 75}{space 3}-1.452521
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub smallcincallycincper, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13482.184}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12945.746}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12930.212}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12930.078}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12930.078}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2881.49}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12930.078}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1622}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7530017{col 35}{space 2} .0763194{col 46}{space 1}    9.87{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6034185{col 76}{space 3} .9025849
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .048452{col 35}{space 2} .0533181{col 46}{space 1}    0.91{col 55}{space 3}0.363{col 63}{space 4}-.0560496{col 76}{space 3} .1529536
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1285866{col 35}{space 2} .0276088{col 46}{space 1}   -4.66{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1826988{col 76}{space 3}-.0744745
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0081464{col 35}{space 2} .0117205{col 46}{space 1}    0.70{col 55}{space 3}0.487{col 63}{space 4}-.0148253{col 76}{space 3} .0311182
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3219467{col 35}{space 2} .0277198{col 46}{space 1}  -11.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3762766{col 76}{space 3}-.2676169
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0293443{col 35}{space 2} .0017509{col 46}{space 1}  -16.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0327761{col 76}{space 3}-.0259125
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0651531{col 35}{space 2} .0447237{col 46}{space 1}    1.46{col 55}{space 3}0.145{col 63}{space 4}-.0225037{col 76}{space 3}   .15281
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2603877{col 35}{space 2} .0060228{col 46}{space 1}  -43.23{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2721922{col 76}{space 3}-.2485833
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5752336{col 35}{space 2} .1203553{col 46}{space 1}    4.78{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3393415{col 76}{space 3} .8111257
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.020495{col 35}{space 2} .0066179{col 46}{space 1}   -3.10{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.0334658{col 76}{space 3}-.0075242
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0229319{col 35}{space 2} .0443145{col 46}{space 1}    0.52{col 55}{space 3}0.605{col 63}{space 4}-.0639229{col 76}{space 3} .1097867
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1217566{col 35}{space 2} .0206361{col 46}{space 1}   -5.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1622026{col 76}{space 3}-.0813106
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0022419{col 35}{space 2} .0057799{col 46}{space 1}   -0.39{col 55}{space 3}0.698{col 63}{space 4}-.0135704{col 76}{space 3} .0090865
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0066057{col 35}{space 2} .0055289{col 46}{space 1}    1.19{col 55}{space 3}0.232{col 63}{space 4}-.0042308{col 76}{space 3} .0174421
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0759253{col 35}{space 2} .0096677{col 46}{space 1}    7.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0569769{col 76}{space 3} .0948737
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0201841{col 35}{space 2} .0020146{col 46}{space 1}   10.02{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0162355{col 76}{space 3} .0241327
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003372{col 35}{space 2} .0000344{col 46}{space 1}   -9.79{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0004048{col 76}{space 3}-.0002697
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.31e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.47{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.04e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.58e-06
{txt}{space 1}smallcincallycincper {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0246481{col 35}{space 2} .0121231{col 46}{space 1}   -2.03{col 55}{space 3}0.042{col 63}{space 4} -.048409{col 76}{space 3}-.0008872
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.546727{col 35}{space 2} .0437298{col 46}{space 1}  -35.37{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.632436{col 76}{space 3}-1.461018
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 1 failure and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *****Table 15;
. *years in the office;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub moremadyrs_in_ofc, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13448.648}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12900.411}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12884.659}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12884.527}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12884.527}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:17})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2882.11}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12884.527}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1651}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4259073{col 33}{space 2} .0620213{col 44}{space 1}    6.87{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3043478{col 74}{space 3} .5474668
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0488162{col 33}{space 2} .0378369{col 44}{space 1}    1.29{col 53}{space 3}0.197{col 61}{space 4}-.0253428{col 74}{space 3} .1229751
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2753839{col 33}{space 2} .0292329{col 44}{space 1}   -9.42{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3326793{col 74}{space 3}-.2180886
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.030611{col 33}{space 2} .0017697{col 44}{space 1}  -17.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0340796{col 74}{space 3}-.0271424
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0839337{col 33}{space 2}   .04661{col 44}{space 1}    1.80{col 53}{space 3}0.072{col 61}{space 4}-.0074203{col 74}{space 3} .1752877
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2608358{col 33}{space 2} .0061419{col 44}{space 1}  -42.47{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2728737{col 74}{space 3}-.2487979
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5303628{col 33}{space 2} .1197108{col 44}{space 1}    4.43{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2957339{col 74}{space 3} .7649918
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0197562{col 33}{space 2}  .006765{col 44}{space 1}   -2.92{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.0330153{col 74}{space 3} -.006497
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0541483{col 33}{space 2} .0350048{col 44}{space 1}   -1.55{col 53}{space 3}0.122{col 61}{space 4}-.1227565{col 74}{space 3} .0144599
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1081829{col 33}{space 2} .0203678{col 44}{space 1}   -5.31{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1481032{col 74}{space 3}-.0682627
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0122749{col 33}{space 2}  .004133{col 44}{space 1}   -2.97{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.0203753{col 74}{space 3}-.0041744
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0064433{col 33}{space 2} .0056821{col 44}{space 1}    1.13{col 53}{space 3}0.257{col 61}{space 4}-.0046934{col 74}{space 3}   .01758
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .073774{col 33}{space 2} .0097233{col 44}{space 1}    7.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0547167{col 74}{space 3} .0928314
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0179749{col 33}{space 2} .0020224{col 44}{space 1}    8.89{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0140112{col 74}{space 3} .0219387
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0002987{col 33}{space 2} .0000346{col 44}{space 1}   -8.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0003666{col 74}{space 3}-.0002308
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.16e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.39e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 8.84e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.43e-06
{txt}{space 2}moremadyrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0138745{col 33}{space 2} .0014468{col 44}{space 1}    9.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0110387{col 74}{space 3} .0167102
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.610645{col 33}{space 2} .0458076{col 44}{space 1}  -35.16{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.700426{col 74}{space 3}-1.520864
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydistance modcrazydistnace joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub moremadyrs_in_ofc, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13443.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12891.462}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12873.546}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12873.387}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12873.387}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2895.80}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12873.387}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1658}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6514101{col 33}{space 2} .1270251{col 44}{space 1}    5.13{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4024455{col 74}{space 3} .9003747
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1421604{col 33}{space 2} .0576334{col 44}{space 1}   -2.47{col 53}{space 3}0.014{col 61}{space 4}-.2551198{col 74}{space 3}-.0292011
{txt}reallycrazydistance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0923833{col 33}{space 2}  .044697{col 44}{space 1}   -2.07{col 53}{space 3}0.039{col 61}{space 4}-.1799878{col 74}{space 3}-.0047788
{txt}{space 3}modcrazydistnace {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0745326{col 33}{space 2}  .014949{col 44}{space 1}    4.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0452331{col 74}{space 3}  .103832
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2755447{col 33}{space 2} .0292191{col 44}{space 1}   -9.43{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3328131{col 74}{space 3}-.2182762
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0306333{col 33}{space 2} .0017712{col 44}{space 1}  -17.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0341048{col 74}{space 3}-.0271618
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0908072{col 33}{space 2} .0460233{col 44}{space 1}    1.97{col 53}{space 3}0.048{col 61}{space 4} .0006032{col 74}{space 3} .1810112
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2647107{col 33}{space 2} .0063829{col 44}{space 1}  -41.47{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2772209{col 74}{space 3}-.2522005
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5300537{col 33}{space 2} .1204404{col 44}{space 1}    4.40{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2939948{col 74}{space 3} .7661127
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0199464{col 33}{space 2} .0068455{col 44}{space 1}   -2.91{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0333634{col 74}{space 3}-.0065294
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0546403{col 33}{space 2} .0350359{col 44}{space 1}   -1.56{col 53}{space 3}0.119{col 61}{space 4}-.1233094{col 74}{space 3} .0140288
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1094053{col 33}{space 2} .0204469{col 44}{space 1}   -5.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1494805{col 74}{space 3}  -.06933
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.012179{col 33}{space 2} .0041161{col 44}{space 1}   -2.96{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.0202464{col 74}{space 3}-.0041115
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0063962{col 33}{space 2} .0056794{col 44}{space 1}    1.13{col 53}{space 3}0.260{col 61}{space 4}-.0047353{col 74}{space 3} .0175276
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0739176{col 33}{space 2} .0097264{col 44}{space 1}    7.60{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0548542{col 74}{space 3}  .092981
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0180772{col 33}{space 2} .0020256{col 44}{space 1}    8.92{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0141071{col 74}{space 3} .0220473
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003011{col 33}{space 2} .0000346{col 44}{space 1}   -8.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.000369{col 74}{space 3}-.0002333
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.17e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    8.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 8.97e-07{col 74}{space 3} 1.44e-06
{txt}{space 2}moremadyrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .013929{col 33}{space 2} .0014474{col 44}{space 1}    9.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0110921{col 74}{space 3}  .016766
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.603219{col 33}{space 2} .0458792{col 44}{space 1}  -34.94{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -1.69314{col 74}{space 3}-1.513297
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynumberally modcrazynumberally joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub moremadyrs_in_ofc, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13442.741}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12891.685}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12876.018}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12875.889}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12875.889}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2985.15}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12875.889}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1657}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6444254{col 35}{space 2} .0761229{col 46}{space 1}    8.47{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4952273{col 76}{space 3} .7936236
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0164751{col 35}{space 2} .0534629{col 46}{space 1}    0.31{col 55}{space 3}0.758{col 63}{space 4}-.0883104{col 76}{space 3} .1212605
{txt}reallycrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1166956{col 35}{space 2}  .027642{col 46}{space 1}   -4.22{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1708729{col 76}{space 3}-.0625183
{txt}{space 3}modcrazynumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .010554{col 35}{space 2} .0113353{col 46}{space 1}    0.93{col 55}{space 3}0.352{col 63}{space 4}-.0116628{col 76}{space 3} .0327708
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2754061{col 35}{space 2} .0291615{col 46}{space 1}   -9.44{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3325617{col 76}{space 3}-.2182506
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0305931{col 35}{space 2} .0017724{col 46}{space 1}  -17.26{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.034067{col 76}{space 3}-.0271192
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0790794{col 35}{space 2} .0462219{col 46}{space 1}    1.71{col 55}{space 3}0.087{col 63}{space 4}-.0115139{col 76}{space 3} .1696727
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2611443{col 35}{space 2} .0061211{col 46}{space 1}  -42.66{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2731415{col 76}{space 3}-.2491471
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5256467{col 35}{space 2} .1197548{col 46}{space 1}    4.39{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .2909315{col 76}{space 3} .7603618
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0194922{col 35}{space 2} .0067404{col 46}{space 1}   -2.89{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-.0327032{col 76}{space 3}-.0062813
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0555827{col 35}{space 2} .0350567{col 46}{space 1}   -1.59{col 55}{space 3}0.113{col 63}{space 4}-.1242926{col 76}{space 3} .0131272
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.108179{col 35}{space 2} .0202342{col 46}{space 1}   -5.35{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1478373{col 76}{space 3}-.0685206
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0124944{col 35}{space 2} .0035493{col 46}{space 1}   -3.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0194509{col 76}{space 3}-.0055379
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .006356{col 35}{space 2} .0056516{col 46}{space 1}    1.12{col 55}{space 3}0.261{col 63}{space 4} -.004721{col 76}{space 3} .0174331
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .074577{col 35}{space 2} .0096896{col 46}{space 1}    7.70{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0555857{col 76}{space 3} .0935684
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0178742{col 35}{space 2} .0020194{col 46}{space 1}    8.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0139163{col 76}{space 3} .0218322
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0002974{col 35}{space 2} .0000346{col 46}{space 1}   -8.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003651{col 76}{space 3}-.0002297
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.15e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 46}{space 1}    8.32{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 8.80e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.42e-06
{txt}{space 4}moremadyrs_in_ofc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0137459{col 35}{space 2} .0014547{col 46}{space 1}    9.45{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0108948{col 76}{space 3} .0165969
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.605914{col 35}{space 2} .0445422{col 46}{space 1}  -36.05{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.693216{col 76}{space 3}-1.518613
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *****Table 16;
. *addtional interactions;
. *rivals;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazyrival modcrazyrival joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13492.962}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12958.267}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12941.853}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12941.687}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12941.686}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2770.34}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12941.686}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1614}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5181535{col 33}{space 2} .0636829{col 44}{space 1}    8.14{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3933374{col 74}{space 3} .6429697
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0823167{col 33}{space 2} .0369197{col 44}{space 1}    2.23{col 53}{space 3}0.026{col 61}{space 4} .0099555{col 74}{space 3}  .154678
{txt}{space 3}reallycrazyrival {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2886981{col 33}{space 2} .3146209{col 44}{space 1}   -0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.359{col 61}{space 4}-.9053437{col 74}{space 3} .3279476
{txt}{space 6}modcrazyrival {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4619353{col 33}{space 2} .2852176{col 44}{space 1}   -1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.105{col 61}{space 4}-1.020951{col 74}{space 3} .0970808
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3248415{col 33}{space 2} .0279909{col 44}{space 1}  -11.61{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3797026{col 74}{space 3}-.2699804
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0295015{col 33}{space 2}  .001753{col 44}{space 1}  -16.83{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0329374{col 74}{space 3}-.0260657
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0741196{col 33}{space 2} .0465919{col 44}{space 1}    1.59{col 53}{space 3}0.112{col 61}{space 4}-.0171988{col 74}{space 3}  .165438
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2605532{col 33}{space 2} .0060468{col 44}{space 1}  -43.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2724046{col 74}{space 3}-.2487018
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6067028{col 33}{space 2} .1230168{col 44}{space 1}    4.93{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3655943{col 74}{space 3} .8478112
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0201046{col 33}{space 2} .0067281{col 44}{space 1}   -2.99{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.0332914{col 74}{space 3}-.0069178
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0351026{col 33}{space 2} .0346978{col 44}{space 1}   -1.01{col 53}{space 3}0.312{col 61}{space 4} -.103109{col 74}{space 3} .0329038
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1206578{col 33}{space 2} .0207517{col 44}{space 1}   -5.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1613303{col 74}{space 3}-.0799853
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0116231{col 33}{space 2} .0040444{col 44}{space 1}   -2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0195499{col 74}{space 3}-.0036964
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0070028{col 33}{space 2} .0055446{col 44}{space 1}    1.26{col 53}{space 3}0.207{col 61}{space 4}-.0038644{col 74}{space 3} .0178701
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0759967{col 33}{space 2}  .009681{col 44}{space 1}    7.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0570222{col 74}{space 3} .0949711
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0199684{col 33}{space 2} .0020132{col 44}{space 1}    9.92{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0160227{col 74}{space 3} .0239141
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003331{col 33}{space 2} .0000344{col 44}{space 1}   -9.67{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004006{col 74}{space 3}-.0002655
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.33{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.02e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.56e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.524436{col 33}{space 2} .0439168{col 44}{space 1}  -34.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.610511{col 74}{space 3} -1.43836
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *geographic neighbors
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazycontiguous modcrazycontiguous joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13502.215}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12956.19}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12936.227}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12935.956}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12935.956}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2848.15}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12935.956}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1618}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4651055{col 35}{space 2} .0654256{col 46}{space 1}    7.11{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3368738{col 76}{space 3} .5933373
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0428755{col 35}{space 2}  .039116{col 46}{space 1}    1.10{col 55}{space 3}0.273{col 63}{space 4}-.0337904{col 76}{space 3} .1195414
{txt}reallycrazycontiguous {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .4333072{col 35}{space 2} .2027041{col 46}{space 1}    2.14{col 55}{space 3}0.033{col 63}{space 4} .0360144{col 76}{space 3}    .8306
{txt}{space 3}modcrazycontiguous {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .306635{col 35}{space 2}  .127657{col 46}{space 1}    2.40{col 55}{space 3}0.016{col 63}{space 4} .0564319{col 76}{space 3} .5568381
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3246046{col 35}{space 2} .0278553{col 46}{space 1}  -11.65{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}   -.3792{col 76}{space 3}-.2700091
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0294474{col 35}{space 2} .0017506{col 46}{space 1}  -16.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0328784{col 76}{space 3}-.0260163
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0747286{col 35}{space 2} .0464528{col 46}{space 1}    1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.108{col 63}{space 4}-.0163172{col 76}{space 3} .1657743
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2586986{col 35}{space 2}  .006058{col 46}{space 1}  -42.70{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2705721{col 76}{space 3}-.2468252
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5821482{col 35}{space 2} .1190957{col 46}{space 1}    4.89{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3487249{col 76}{space 3} .8155715
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0219199{col 35}{space 2} .0067374{col 46}{space 1}   -3.25{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -.035125{col 76}{space 3}-.0087147
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0362931{col 35}{space 2} .0346385{col 46}{space 1}   -1.05{col 55}{space 3}0.295{col 63}{space 4}-.1041834{col 76}{space 3} .0315971
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.121262{col 35}{space 2}  .020823{col 46}{space 1}   -5.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1620744{col 76}{space 3}-.0804496
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0115269{col 35}{space 2} .0039654{col 46}{space 1}   -2.91{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-.0192989{col 76}{space 3}-.0037549
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0066358{col 35}{space 2} .0055242{col 46}{space 1}    1.20{col 55}{space 3}0.230{col 63}{space 4}-.0041914{col 76}{space 3}  .017463
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0757153{col 35}{space 2} .0096809{col 46}{space 1}    7.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0567411{col 76}{space 3} .0946896
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0202744{col 35}{space 2} .0020265{col 46}{space 1}   10.00{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0163026{col 76}{space 3} .0242463
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003367{col 35}{space 2} .0000347{col 46}{space 1}   -9.71{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0004047{col 76}{space 3}-.0002688
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.30e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.39e-07{col 46}{space 1}    9.36{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.03e-06{col 76}{space 3} 1.57e-06
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.531855{col 35}{space 2} .0441094{col 46}{space 1}  -34.73{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.618308{col 76}{space 3}-1.445402
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *recent mid;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazyrecentmid modcrazyrecentmid joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13453.062}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12898.946}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12881.35}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12880.735}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12880.726}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12880.726}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2932.77}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12880.726}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1654}

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}              nonagg{col 22}{c |} Coefficient{col 34}  std. err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% con{col 75}f. interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.120853{col 34}{space 2} .0578642{col 45}{space 1}   19.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1.007441{col 75}{space 3} 1.234265
{txt}{space 10}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0460221{col 34}{space 2} .0538691{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.393{col 62}{space 4}-.0595595{col 75}{space 3} .1516036
{txt}reallycrazyrecentmid {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.198391{col 34}{space 2}  .088232{col 45}{space 1}  -13.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.371323{col 75}{space 3} -1.02546
{txt}{space 3}modcrazyrecentmid {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0151272{col 34}{space 2} .0450045{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.737{col 62}{space 4}  -.07308{col 75}{space 3} .1033344
{txt}{space 5}joint_democracy {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3284196{col 34}{space 2} .0276551{col 45}{space 1}  -11.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3826227{col 75}{space 3}-.2742165
{txt}{space 9}polity_diff {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.029418{col 34}{space 2} .0017607{col 45}{space 1}  -16.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0328689{col 75}{space 3}-.0259671
{txt}{space 10}majorpower {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0619545{col 34}{space 2} .0445496{col 45}{space 1}    1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.164{col 62}{space 4}-.0253612{col 75}{space 3} .1492702
{txt}{space 12}distance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2626728{col 34}{space 2} .0060902{col 45}{space 1}  -43.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2746093{col 75}{space 3}-.2507362
{txt}{space 13}rivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5535926{col 34}{space 2} .1184357{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .3214629{col 75}{space 3} .7857223
{txt}{space 8}rivalry_time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0194063{col 34}{space 2} .0065398{col 45}{space 1}   -2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-.0322241{col 75}{space 3}-.0065886
{txt}{space 16}cinc {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0372398{col 34}{space 2} .0348243{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.285{col 62}{space 4}-.1054943{col 75}{space 3} .0310146
{txt}{space 8}madrecentmid {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0894737{col 34}{space 2} .0217324{col 45}{space 1}   -4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1320684{col 75}{space 3}-.0468789
{txt}{space 1}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0116802{col 34}{space 2} .0040094{col 45}{space 1}   -2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-.0195385{col 75}{space 3} -.003822
{txt}{space 3}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .006541{col 34}{space 2} .0055653{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.240{col 62}{space 4}-.0043667{col 75}{space 3} .0174488
{txt}{space 3}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0767243{col 34}{space 2} .0096229{col 45}{space 1}    7.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0578638{col 75}{space 3} .0955848
{txt}{space 12}peaceyrs {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0198051{col 34}{space 2} .0020149{col 45}{space 1}    9.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0158559{col 75}{space 3} .0237542
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.000331{col 34}{space 2} .0000344{col 45}{space 1}   -9.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0003985{col 75}{space 3}-.0002636
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.28e-06{col 34}{space 2} 1.38e-07{col 45}{space 1}    9.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1.01e-06{col 75}{space 3} 1.55e-06
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.525116{col 34}{space 2} .0437302{col 45}{space 1}  -34.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.610825{col 75}{space 3}-1.439406
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 369 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *nato/warsaw member;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazynatowarsaw modcrazynatowarsaw joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub lessmadnatowarsaw, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:reallycrazynatowarsaw} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:reallycrazynatowarsaw} omitted and 517 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15427.834}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13466.694}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12932.268}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12916.309}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12916.179}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12916.179}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,232}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:18})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2850.05}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12916.179}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1628}

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}               nonagg{col 23}{c |} Coefficient{col 35}  std. err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% con{col 76}f. interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5775336{col 35}{space 2} .0634581{col 46}{space 1}    9.10{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .4531581{col 76}{space 3} .7019092
{txt}{space 11}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .065437{col 35}{space 2}  .040881{col 46}{space 1}    1.60{col 55}{space 3}0.109{col 63}{space 4}-.0146882{col 76}{space 3} .1455623
{txt}reallycrazynatowarsaw {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}        0{col 35}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 3}modcrazynatowarsaw {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0039502{col 35}{space 2} .0823003{col 46}{space 1}    0.05{col 55}{space 3}0.962{col 63}{space 4}-.1573555{col 76}{space 3}  .165256
{txt}{space 6}joint_democracy {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3823512{col 35}{space 2} .0308215{col 46}{space 1}  -12.41{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.4427603{col 76}{space 3}-.3219422
{txt}{space 10}polity_diff {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0292539{col 35}{space 2} .0017533{col 46}{space 1}  -16.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0326902{col 76}{space 3}-.0258175
{txt}{space 11}majorpower {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0632711{col 35}{space 2} .0482264{col 46}{space 1}    1.31{col 55}{space 3}0.190{col 63}{space 4}-.0312508{col 76}{space 3}  .157793
{txt}{space 13}distance {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2572826{col 35}{space 2} .0060021{col 46}{space 1}  -42.87{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2690466{col 76}{space 3}-.2455187
{txt}{space 14}rivalry {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5794156{col 35}{space 2} .1181747{col 46}{space 1}    4.90{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .3477975{col 76}{space 3} .8110337
{txt}{space 9}rivalry_time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0210993{col 35}{space 2} .0065702{col 46}{space 1}   -3.21{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.0339767{col 76}{space 3} -.008222
{txt}{space 17}cinc {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0412443{col 35}{space 2}  .034695{col 46}{space 1}   -1.19{col 55}{space 3}0.235{col 63}{space 4}-.1092453{col 76}{space 3} .0267567
{txt}{space 9}madrecentmid {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1302998{col 35}{space 2} .0211609{col 46}{space 1}   -6.16{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.1717744{col 76}{space 3}-.0888252
{txt}{space 2}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0136655{col 35}{space 2} .0042896{col 46}{space 1}   -3.19{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -.022073{col 76}{space 3} -.005258
{txt}{space 4}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .007595{col 35}{space 2} .0055645{col 46}{space 1}    1.36{col 55}{space 3}0.172{col 63}{space 4}-.0033112{col 76}{space 3} .0185011
{txt}{space 4}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0772423{col 35}{space 2} .0096708{col 46}{space 1}    7.99{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0582879{col 76}{space 3} .0961967
{txt}{space 13}peaceyrs {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0191407{col 35}{space 2} .0020354{col 46}{space 1}    9.40{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0151514{col 76}{space 3} .0231301
{txt}{space 10}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0003212{col 35}{space 2}  .000035{col 46}{space 1}   -9.18{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0003897{col 76}{space 3}-.0002526
{txt}{space 9}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.24e-06{col 35}{space 2} 1.40e-07{col 46}{space 1}    8.83{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 9.63e-07{col 76}{space 3} 1.51e-06
{txt}{space 4}lessmadnatowarsaw {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1995483{col 35}{space 2} .0302468{col 46}{space 1}    6.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1402657{col 76}{space 3}  .258831
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.516056{col 35}{space 2}   .04445{col 46}{space 1}  -34.11{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-1.603176{col 76}{space 3}-1.428935
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *nuclear weapons;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazymdc modcrazymdc joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub lessmadmdc, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13486.978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12951.363}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12935.94}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12935.81}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12935.81}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2872.08}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12935.81}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1618}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5241236{col 33}{space 2} .0631285{col 44}{space 1}    8.30{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .400394{col 74}{space 3} .6478531
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0708208{col 33}{space 2} .0376716{col 44}{space 1}    1.88{col 53}{space 3}0.060{col 61}{space 4}-.0030142{col 74}{space 3} .1446557
{txt}{space 5}reallycrazymdc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.483595{col 33}{space 2} .4517477{col 44}{space 1}   -1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.284{col 61}{space 4}-1.369004{col 74}{space 3} .4018142
{txt}{space 8}modcrazymdc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1753947{col 33}{space 2} .1857266{col 44}{space 1}    0.94{col 53}{space 3}0.345{col 61}{space 4}-.1886227{col 74}{space 3} .5394122
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3211818{col 33}{space 2} .0277011{col 44}{space 1}  -11.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3754749{col 74}{space 3}-.2668886
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0292575{col 33}{space 2}  .001739{col 44}{space 1}  -16.82{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0326659{col 74}{space 3}-.0258491
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0394946{col 33}{space 2} .0481726{col 44}{space 1}    0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.412{col 61}{space 4}-.0549219{col 74}{space 3}  .133911
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2610462{col 33}{space 2}  .005976{col 44}{space 1}  -43.68{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2727588{col 74}{space 3}-.2493335
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5815279{col 33}{space 2} .1192398{col 44}{space 1}    4.88{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3478222{col 74}{space 3} .8152336
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0217557{col 33}{space 2} .0066393{col 44}{space 1}   -3.28{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0347686{col 74}{space 3}-.0087429
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0359889{col 33}{space 2} .0346514{col 44}{space 1}   -1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.299{col 61}{space 4}-.1039044{col 74}{space 3} .0319266
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.126863{col 33}{space 2} .0211879{col 44}{space 1}   -5.99{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1683905{col 74}{space 3}-.0853355
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.012449{col 33}{space 2} .0038152{col 44}{space 1}   -3.26{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0199266{col 74}{space 3}-.0049713
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0074304{col 33}{space 2} .0055279{col 44}{space 1}    1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.179{col 61}{space 4}-.0034039{col 74}{space 3} .0182648
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0748941{col 33}{space 2} .0097437{col 44}{space 1}    7.69{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0557968{col 74}{space 3} .0939913
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0199373{col 33}{space 2} .0020107{col 44}{space 1}    9.92{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0159963{col 74}{space 3} .0238783
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003333{col 33}{space 2} .0000343{col 44}{space 1}   -9.71{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004006{col 74}{space 3} -.000266
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.37e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.02e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.56e-06
{txt}{space 9}lessmadmdc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2229612{col 33}{space 2} .1075449{col 44}{space 1}    2.07{col 53}{space 3}0.038{col 61}{space 4} .0121771{col 74}{space 3} .4337452
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.521035{col 33}{space 2} .0434068{col 44}{space 1}  -35.04{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.606111{col 74}{space 3} -1.43596
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *democracy;
. probit nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 reallycrazydem modcrazydem joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub lessmaddem, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-15432.767}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13475.165}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12936.769}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12920.643}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12920.51}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -12920.51}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:19})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2819.83}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12920.51}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1628}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5683885{col 33}{space 2} .0708375{col 44}{space 1}    8.02{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4295495{col 74}{space 3} .7072274
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0874584{col 33}{space 2} .0471373{col 44}{space 1}    1.86{col 53}{space 3}0.064{col 61}{space 4} -.004929{col 74}{space 3} .1798458
{txt}{space 5}reallycrazydem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2625159{col 33}{space 2} .1406408{col 44}{space 1}   -1.87{col 53}{space 3}0.062{col 61}{space 4}-.5381668{col 74}{space 3} .0131349
{txt}{space 8}modcrazydem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0523245{col 33}{space 2} .0725988{col 44}{space 1}   -0.72{col 53}{space 3}0.471{col 61}{space 4}-.1946154{col 74}{space 3} .0899665
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4503527{col 33}{space 2} .0368526{col 44}{space 1}  -12.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5225824{col 74}{space 3} -.378123
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0306814{col 33}{space 2} .0017842{col 44}{space 1}  -17.20{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0341784{col 74}{space 3}-.0271844
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0786158{col 33}{space 2} .0472225{col 44}{space 1}    1.66{col 53}{space 3}0.096{col 61}{space 4}-.0139387{col 74}{space 3} .1711702
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2596735{col 33}{space 2} .0059888{col 44}{space 1}  -43.36{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2714113{col 74}{space 3}-.2479357
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5939882{col 33}{space 2} .1180564{col 44}{space 1}    5.03{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .362602{col 74}{space 3} .8253744
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0216857{col 33}{space 2} .0064951{col 44}{space 1}   -3.34{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.0344159{col 74}{space 3}-.0089555
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0312715{col 33}{space 2} .0346089{col 44}{space 1}   -0.90{col 53}{space 3}0.366{col 61}{space 4}-.0991036{col 74}{space 3} .0365607
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1252659{col 33}{space 2} .0210309{col 44}{space 1}   -5.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1664858{col 74}{space 3} -.084046
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0115428{col 33}{space 2}  .004047{col 44}{space 1}   -2.85{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0194747{col 74}{space 3}-.0036108
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   .00902{col 33}{space 2} .0054509{col 44}{space 1}    1.65{col 53}{space 3}0.098{col 61}{space 4}-.0016636{col 74}{space 3} .0197037
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0753203{col 33}{space 2} .0097351{col 44}{space 1}    7.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0562399{col 74}{space 3} .0944007
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0203547{col 33}{space 2} .0020343{col 44}{space 1}   10.01{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0163675{col 74}{space 3} .0243419
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003461{col 33}{space 2}  .000035{col 44}{space 1}   -9.88{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0004147{col 74}{space 3}-.0002774
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.34e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.41e-07{col 44}{space 1}    9.56{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.07e-06{col 74}{space 3} 1.62e-06
{txt}{space 9}lessmaddem {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1703614{col 33}{space 2} .0292319{col 44}{space 1}    5.83{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1130679{col 74}{space 3} .2276549
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -1.54552{col 33}{space 2} .0445577{col 44}{space 1}  -34.69{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.632851{col 74}{space 3}-1.458188
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *****Table 17;
. *placebo test;
. *defense pacts;
. probit defense reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4876.1585}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4044.6346}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3573.4972}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3515.2542}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3510.6397}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3510.6288}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3510.6288}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1375.23}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3510.6288}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2800}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}            defense{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8029279{col 33}{space 2} .0886477{col 44}{space 1}    9.06{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .6291815{col 74}{space 3} .9766742
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.131375{col 33}{space 2} .0674003{col 44}{space 1}   -1.95{col 53}{space 3}0.051{col 61}{space 4}-.2634772{col 74}{space 3} .0007273
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1040525{col 33}{space 2} .0378274{col 44}{space 1}    2.75{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}  .029912{col 74}{space 3} .1781929
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0348817{col 33}{space 2} .0036454{col 44}{space 1}   -9.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0420265{col 74}{space 3}-.0277369
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1959291{col 33}{space 2} .0589497{col 44}{space 1}    3.32{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0803898{col 74}{space 3} .3114685
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4545239{col 33}{space 2} .0195699{col 44}{space 1}  -23.23{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.4928802{col 74}{space 3}-.4161677
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6671277{col 33}{space 2} .1503714{col 44}{space 1}    4.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3724051{col 74}{space 3} .9618503
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.032865{col 33}{space 2} .0075611{col 44}{space 1}   -4.35{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0476846{col 74}{space 3}-.0180455
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0745161{col 33}{space 2} .0590846{col 44}{space 1}   -1.26{col 53}{space 3}0.207{col 61}{space 4}-.1903197{col 74}{space 3} .0412875
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3666459{col 33}{space 2} .0396987{col 44}{space 1}   -9.24{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.4444539{col 74}{space 3}-.2888379
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0224351{col 33}{space 2} .0025359{col 44}{space 1}    8.85{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0174648{col 74}{space 3} .0274055
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0279365{col 33}{space 2}  .008661{col 44}{space 1}    3.23{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0109612{col 74}{space 3} .0449118
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0180074{col 33}{space 2} .0198048{col 44}{space 1}    0.91{col 53}{space 3}0.363{col 61}{space 4}-.0208094{col 74}{space 3} .0568241
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0085444{col 33}{space 2} .0031179{col 44}{space 1}    2.74{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .0024334{col 74}{space 3} .0146554
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0001391{col 33}{space 2} .0000486{col 44}{space 1}   -2.86{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-.0002343{col 74}{space 3}-.0000439
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.39e-07{col 33}{space 2} 1.89e-07{col 44}{space 1}    2.85{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} 1.68e-07{col 74}{space 3} 9.09e-07
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.843532{col 33}{space 2} .0691239{col 44}{space 1}  -26.67{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.979012{col 74}{space 3}-1.708051
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 28958 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *neutral pacts;
. probit neutral reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{txt}note: {bf:reallycrazy15} != 0 predicts failure perfectly;
      {bf:reallycrazy15} omitted and 3827 obs not used.

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-482.21719}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.12167}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-366.13466}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-354.95334}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -352.812}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-352.79076}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-352.79076}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:283,922}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:15})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:217.20}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-352.79076}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.2684}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}            neutral{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}        0{col 33}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1900802{col 33}{space 2} .2106927{col 44}{space 1}   -0.90{col 53}{space 3}0.367{col 61}{space 4}-.6030303{col 74}{space 3} .2228699
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2998226{col 33}{space 2} .1282217{col 44}{space 1}   -2.34{col 53}{space 3}0.019{col 61}{space 4}-.5511326{col 74}{space 3}-.0485126
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0209822{col 33}{space 2} .0091564{col 44}{space 1}   -2.29{col 53}{space 3}0.022{col 61}{space 4}-.0389285{col 74}{space 3} -.003036
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1551396{col 33}{space 2} .1350634{col 44}{space 1}    1.15{col 53}{space 3}0.251{col 61}{space 4}-.1095798{col 74}{space 3}  .419859
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3753758{col 33}{space 2} .0696092{col 44}{space 1}   -5.39{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5118074{col 74}{space 3}-.2389442
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2484753{col 33}{space 2}  .325748{col 44}{space 1}   -0.76{col 53}{space 3}0.446{col 61}{space 4}-.8869297{col 74}{space 3}  .389979
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0007737{col 33}{space 2} .0060823{col 44}{space 1}   -0.13{col 53}{space 3}0.899{col 61}{space 4}-.0126948{col 74}{space 3} .0111473
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6305054{col 33}{space 2} .2215077{col 44}{space 1}   -2.85{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-1.064652{col 74}{space 3}-.1963583
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0201773{col 33}{space 2} .0437484{col 44}{space 1}   -0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.645{col 61}{space 4}-.1059225{col 74}{space 3} .0655679
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0263072{col 33}{space 2} .0072189{col 44}{space 1}    3.64{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0121584{col 74}{space 3} .0404561
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0452104{col 33}{space 2} .0254457{col 44}{space 1}    1.78{col 53}{space 3}0.076{col 61}{space 4}-.0046623{col 74}{space 3} .0950831
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0462342{col 33}{space 2} .0485104{col 44}{space 1}    0.95{col 53}{space 3}0.341{col 61}{space 4}-.0488445{col 74}{space 3} .1413129
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0550477{col 33}{space 2} .0108038{col 44}{space 1}   -5.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0762227{col 74}{space 3}-.0338727
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0008233{col 33}{space 2}  .000212{col 44}{space 1}    3.88{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0004078{col 74}{space 3} .0012388
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.07e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.11e-06{col 44}{space 1}   -2.76{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}-5.25e-06{col 74}{space 3}-8.94e-07
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.135047{col 33}{space 2} .1555492{col 44}{space 1}  -13.73{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.439918{col 74}{space 3}-1.830176
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 51178 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *consul pacts;
. probit consul reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5247.0087}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4308.986}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3722.0995}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3643.5262}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3636.7753}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3636.746}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3636.746}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:1904.22}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3636.746}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.3069}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}             consul{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .774252{col 33}{space 2}  .093731{col 44}{space 1}    8.26{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5905427{col 74}{space 3} .9579614
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1557131{col 33}{space 2} .0613775{col 44}{space 1}   -2.54{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4}-.2760107{col 74}{space 3}-.0354155
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2261312{col 33}{space 2} .0447881{col 44}{space 1}    5.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1383481{col 74}{space 3} .3139144
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0278683{col 33}{space 2} .0041059{col 44}{space 1}   -6.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0359157{col 74}{space 3}-.0198208
{txt}{space 9}majorpower {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4413577{col 33}{space 2}  .050336{col 44}{space 1}    8.77{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .342701{col 74}{space 3} .5400144
{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4137288{col 33}{space 2} .0169705{col 44}{space 1}  -24.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.4469904{col 74}{space 3}-.3804673
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3705892{col 33}{space 2}  .270924{col 44}{space 1}    1.37{col 53}{space 3}0.171{col 61}{space 4} -.160412{col 74}{space 3} .9015904
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.013994{col 33}{space 2}  .010749{col 44}{space 1}   -1.30{col 53}{space 3}0.193{col 61}{space 4}-.0350617{col 74}{space 3} .0070736
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1751264{col 33}{space 2} .0686703{col 44}{space 1}   -2.55{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4}-.3097176{col 74}{space 3}-.0405351
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.158535{col 33}{space 2} .0287918{col 44}{space 1}   -5.51{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} -.214966{col 74}{space 3}-.1021041
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0406821{col 33}{space 2}  .003081{col 44}{space 1}   13.20{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0346435{col 74}{space 3} .0467208
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0087524{col 33}{space 2} .0093767{col 44}{space 1}   -0.93{col 53}{space 3}0.351{col 61}{space 4}-.0271304{col 74}{space 3} .0096255
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0996002{col 33}{space 2} .0409912{col 44}{space 1}   -2.43{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4}-.1799415{col 74}{space 3} -.019259
{txt}{space 11}peaceyrs {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0054351{col 33}{space 2} .0027261{col 44}{space 1}   -1.99{col 53}{space 3}0.046{col 61}{space 4}-.0107782{col 74}{space 3} -.000092
{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0000421{col 33}{space 2}  .000042{col 44}{space 1}    1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.316{col 61}{space 4}-.0000402{col 74}{space 3} .0001245
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.39e-08{col 33}{space 2} 1.63e-07{col 44}{space 1}   -0.33{col 53}{space 3}0.740{col 61}{space 4}-3.72e-07{col 74}{space 3} 2.65e-07
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.773058{col 33}{space 2} .0742161{col 44}{space 1}  -23.89{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.918519{col 74}{space 3}-1.627597
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 17295 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. 
. *pure nonaggression pacts;
. probit pure_nonagg reallycrazy15 modcrazy15 joint_democracy polity_diff majorpower distance rivalry rivalry_time cinc madrecentmid smallcincnumberally smallcincneighbor smallercincrivals peaceyrs peaceyrs_sq peaceyrs_cub, cluster(dyadid)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-13233.722}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11629.305}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11225.259}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11212.904}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11212.848}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11212.848}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 56}{lalign 13:Number of obs}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:287,749}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Wald chi2({res:16})}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:2642.15}
{txt}{col 56}{lalign 13:Prob > chi2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.0000}
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res:-11212.848}{col 56}{lalign 13:Pseudo R2}{col 69} = {res}{ralign 7:0.1527}

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. err. adjusted for {res:13,862} clusters in {res:dyadid})}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}        pure_nonagg{col 21}{c |} Coefficient{col 33}  std. err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% con{col 74}f. interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}reallycrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4459548{col 33}{space 2} .0617347{col 44}{space 1}    7.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3249571{col 74}{space 3} .5669526
{txt}{space 9}modcrazy15 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1473035{col 33}{space 2} .0372734{col 44}{space 1}    3.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .074249{col 74}{space 3}  .220358
{txt}{space 4}joint_democracy {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2794175{col 33}{space 2} .0265479{col 44}{space 1}  -10.53{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.3314504{col 74}{space 3}-.2273847
{txt}{space 8}polity_diff {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0284359{col 33}{space 2}  .001777{col 44}{space 1}  -16.00{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0319188{col 74}{space 3}-.0249529
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{txt}{space 11}distance {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2330062{col 33}{space 2} .0054733{col 44}{space 1}  -42.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.2437337{col 74}{space 3}-.2222787
{txt}{space 12}rivalry {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .490947{col 33}{space 2} .1212473{col 44}{space 1}    4.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .2533066{col 74}{space 3} .7285874
{txt}{space 7}rivalry_time {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0175429{col 33}{space 2} .0072628{col 44}{space 1}   -2.42{col 53}{space 3}0.016{col 61}{space 4}-.0317777{col 74}{space 3}-.0033082
{txt}{space 15}cinc {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0137689{col 33}{space 2} .0341321{col 44}{space 1}   -0.40{col 53}{space 3}0.687{col 61}{space 4}-.0806665{col 74}{space 3} .0531286
{txt}{space 7}madrecentmid {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1236598{col 33}{space 2} .0237382{col 44}{space 1}   -5.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.1701858{col 74}{space 3}-.0771338
{txt}smallcincnumberally {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0361996{col 33}{space 2} .0049747{col 44}{space 1}   -7.28{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0459498{col 74}{space 3}-.0264495
{txt}{space 2}smallcincneighbor {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0006772{col 33}{space 2} .0053607{col 44}{space 1}   -0.13{col 53}{space 3}0.899{col 61}{space 4}-.0111841{col 74}{space 3} .0098296
{txt}{space 2}smallercincrivals {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0869876{col 33}{space 2} .0094512{col 44}{space 1}    9.20{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0684636{col 74}{space 3} .1055116
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{txt}{space 8}peaceyrs_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.000453{col 33}{space 2} .0000375{col 44}{space 1}  -12.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0005264{col 74}{space 3}-.0003796
{txt}{space 7}peaceyrs_cub {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.73e-06{col 33}{space 2} 1.50e-07{col 44}{space 1}   11.57{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 1.44e-06{col 74}{space 3} 2.03e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.738108{col 33}{space 2} .0437398{col 44}{space 1}  -39.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-1.823837{col 74}{space 3} -1.65238
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

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      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\FPA Replication\LiFPArep.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}26 Sep 2024, 17:42:34
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